Elated-Pastry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.07K

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

72.5%

Resolved

405

Trades

1,422

lifetime

Volume

$112.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$28

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 21:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Other

96% 45% -$3,878

Politics

4% 36% -$126

Sports

0% 17% -$53

Crypto

0% 50% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+200	$24	12¢	$25	+$1	10-25 11:35
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+57	$20	4¢	$3	-$17	05-25 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	5	$13.8K	7,012	7,012	+0	No	+$140	01-10 10:23
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	2	$7.0K	7,064	0	+7,064	No	+$83	01-10 13:01
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	13	$6.7K	6,857	0	+6,857	No	+$206	01-09 06:03
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	22	$5.6K	13,163	595	+12,568	Yes	-$4,419	01-19 17:28
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 460 479	7	$5.5K	5,602	0	+5,602	No	+$56	01-05 18:53
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 115 139	39	$4.2K	3,193	3,193	+0	Yes	+$222	01-12 14:53
elon musk 48h tweets january 5 january 7 140plus	23	$3.3K	4,578	0	+4,578	Yes	+$1,314	01-07 17:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	10	$3.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	$0	04-04 16:11
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	5	$2.5K	3,904	0	+3,904	Yes	-$2,489	01-17 16:35
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 500 519	16	$2.2K	2,489	0	+2,489	No	+$252	01-16 13:16
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	13	$2.2K	2,200	2,200	+0	Under	+$0	04-07 11:31
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	20	$2.1K	2,266	1,300	+966	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$84	04-26 18:12
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	8	$1.9K	1,957	0	+1,957	No	+$57	04-24 15:47
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	6	$1.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	Under	+$0	04-07 16:47
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	40	$1.8K	1,155	1,255	-100	Yes	+$572	04-29 20:28
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	2	$1.8K	1,937	0	+1,937	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$104	04-13 16:43
cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	27	$1.4K	1,485	200	+1,285	Rajasthan Royals	+$136	04-04 17:54
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	12	$1.3K	1,400	0	+1,400	Over	+$64	06-16 20:49
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	6	$1.2K	730	730	+0	Over	-$61	06-14 18:32
cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	1	$1.2K	1,328	0	+1,328	Lucknow Super Giants	+$106	04-05 12:13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?	10	$1.2K	1,949	1,949	+0	Yes	+$409	04-25 20:08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	2	$1.2K	865	865	+0	No	+$186	07-12 01:52
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	9	$1.1K	2,300	0	+2,300	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$1,080	04-25 16:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	5	$885	480	480	+0	No	+$74	08-18 14:52
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	31	$884	1,220	330	+890	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$461	04-29 17:16
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 spread away 1pt5	3	$880	2,000	2,000	+0	Real Madrid CF	+$0	04-07 14:42
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 948	2	$859	903	0	+903	No	+$44	01-08 14:13
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	8	$841	900	0	+900	Gujarat Titans	+$59	05-12 17:04
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	2	$834	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$166	04-21 14:25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?	27	$833	817	817	+0	No	+$16	04-25 19:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:08:39	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x47ec76…
10-25 20:34:42	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbb6283…
10-25 20:31:15	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xa11f00…
10-25 20:20:05	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	163	21¢	$34	0xb3b886…
10-25 20:17:32	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	31	21¢	$7	0x9e0a95…
10-25 20:17:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xb233d8…
10-25 20:08:15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x8ccc34…
10-25 18:12:47	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xf0ce5a…
10-25 18:12:26	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	90	26¢	$23	0xbaf670…
10-25 18:04:02	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	66	41¢	$27	0xde2ca1…
10-25 18:03:45	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x3d8d27…
10-25 17:51:21	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xbfb260…
10-25 17:34:06	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	93	71¢	$66	0xfd9b9c…
10-25 17:34:05	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xda14b6…
10-25 17:34:00	Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7a295f…
10-25 13:18:48	FC Internazionale Milano vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x5f2d69…
10-25 11:35:42	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	164	12¢	$20	0x2ec6ab…
10-25 11:18:26	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0xdb9711…
10-24 18:08:44	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x75edb9…
10-24 17:40:35	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	105	76¢	$80	0x9b1442…
10-24 17:40:32	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	295	76¢	$225	0x3b5c82…
10-24 17:35:44	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8cae43…
10-24 17:35:44	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	99	80¢	$79	0x520346…
10-24 17:06:38	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	86	30¢	$26	0x376d6a…
10-24 17:06:33	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x90e216…
10-24 17:06:32	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb60e23…
10-24 16:48:03	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x19a29e…
10-24 16:48:02	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x9c81cf…
10-24 15:25:05	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x4fec29…
10-24 15:13:06	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x6ecfaf…
10-24 15:08:06	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xcfe7ca…
10-24 13:18:03	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x13eda0…
10-24 13:07:35	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x155db2…
10-24 12:57:56	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xdc33a1…
10-24 12:45:51	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x69ed50…
10-24 12:38:03	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd4f8f5…
10-24 12:37:59	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0xca6060…
10-24 12:37:42	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0x76e0fd…
10-24 11:55:03	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x1f913e…
10-24 11:55:00	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xd0a265…
10-23 15:45:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf51db1…
10-23 15:41:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xff84f7…
10-22 16:13:08	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	89	29¢	$26	0x201db6…
10-22 16:13:06	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xe6bb53…
10-22 16:11:03	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xcc7ee4…
10-22 16:10:59	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc0d2a2…
10-22 16:10:48	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	97	60¢	$58	0x23f4d8…
10-22 16:10:14	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x473bb2…
10-18 14:07:02	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x8afa3e…
10-18 13:43:35	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x039459…
10-18 13:43:23	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x391248…
10-18 13:43:02	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	56	15¢	$8	0xd8b19c…
10-18 13:15:51	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	95	35¢	$33	0xabc9fe…
10-18 13:15:35	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x45d652…
10-17 14:19:17	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x182b69…
10-17 13:18:33	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x529664…
10-17 12:45:32	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x93dcb4…
10-14 21:03:25	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x033804…
10-14 21:03:12	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0653f1…
10-14 20:42:22	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x3c783f…
10-14 20:42:06	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x17d320…
10-14 20:30:54	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x9fbb03…
10-14 20:28:31	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	95	72¢	$68	0x9a4610…
10-14 20:28:01	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x801051…
10-14 20:21:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xb35172…
10-14 20:19:27	ucl mnc psg 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x1c65d1…
10-14 20:13:12	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa5bf6a…
10-14 20:07:30	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	47	81¢	$38	0x3285db…
10-14 20:07:13	ucl bet por 2026 10 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	53	81¢	$43	0x9594e1…
10-14 19:36:54	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	90	89¢	$80	0x61be90…
10-14 19:36:51	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5083ba…
10-14 18:07:49	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xaddb9b…
10-14 17:59:12	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	260	85¢	$221	0xa160aa…
10-14 17:59:04	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	132	85¢	$112	0x8ea740…
10-14 17:59:04	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x5c1d63…
10-14 16:41:33	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x45606c…
10-14 16:38:15	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x76f5f2…
10-14 16:38:12	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	73	11¢	$8	0x8896fb…
10-14 14:57:28	crint ind wst 2026 10 14	India	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x519940…
10-13 20:59:33	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x987ef1…
10-13 20:38:00	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	99	3¢	$3	0x5ecfc1…
10-13 20:37:04	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7055b9…
10-13 20:36:33	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x363b90…
10-13 20:23:22	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x57bbec…
10-11 16:34:51	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x3f95ac…
10-11 14:16:16	Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xe4432d…
10-11 13:37:13	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	42	81¢	$34	0x0b09b2…
10-11 13:37:10	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xa6a128…
10-11 13:37:10	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x4fe784…
10-11 13:37:10	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x1967ac…
10-11 13:36:57	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe329dc…
10-11 13:36:57	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x43732e…
10-11 13:36:57	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x36c6f0…
10-11 13:36:57	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x17cb1f…
10-11 13:36:57	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x107920…
10-10 18:21:36	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xa57911…
10-10 17:58:31	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x893bf3…
10-10 17:58:13	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0xb131bb…
10-10 17:10:30	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xe895a4…
10-10 17:10:30	Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0xbe7e75…