Realized P&L
-$1.72K
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
1,332
Trades
8,830
lifetime
Volume
$47.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$53
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 10-27 03:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Crypto
72% 56% -$907
Other
20% 26% -$375
Politics
7% 26% -$441
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 2509 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +52 $40 100¢ $52 +$12 10-24 18:20
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$1 10-05 14:06
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? Yes — +5 $1 7¢ $0 $0 10-06 20:57
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by december 31 Yes +1 $17 24¢ $0 -$17 10-05 17:33
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? Yes +1 $6 24¢ $0 -$6 10-05 13:56
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 10-05 22:21
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +0 $3 74¢ $0 -$3 10-05 22:53
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? Yes +1 -$2 5¢ $0 +$2 10-09 16:33
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? Yes +1 $42 4¢ $0 -$42 10-07 16:12
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +1 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 10-07 23:13
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 10-07 16:03
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No +0 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 10-07 19:02
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +0 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 10-07 00:31