Crafty-Dust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-01 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 100% +$1

Other

16% 67% $-2

Sports

15% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$261	131	131	+0	open	—	03-23 03:36
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	02-13 05:38
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$258	130	130	+0	open	—	02-13 06:11
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	02-04 07:40
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$258	130	130	+0	open	—	02-13 06:34
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$258	129	129	+0	open	—	02-02 07:59
ethereum above 1800 on march 5	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	03-05 11:56
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	03-07 10:13
will bitcoin dip to 56k february 23 march 1	1	$135	135	0	+135	open	—	03-01 12:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	1	$135	135	0	+135	open	—	03-20 06:30
ethereum above 2400 on march 19	1	$135	135	0	+135	open	—	03-19 11:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 17	1	$134	135	0	+135	open	—	03-17 13:03
ethereum above 2500 on march 16	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	03-16 09:13
will dear me diane warren relentless win best original song at the 98th academy awards	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	03-14 09:04
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	03-13 11:06
ethereum above 2200 on march 11	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	03-11 12:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	1	$133	134	0	+134	open	—	03-10 12:40
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	03-09 09:06
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	1	$131	132	0	+132	open	—	02-10 08:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 8	1	$131	132	0	+132	open	—	02-08 12:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 26	1	$131	131	0	+131	open	—	03-26 12:14
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	1	$131	131	0	+131	open	—	03-25 05:13
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	1	$131	131	0	+131	open	—	03-24 06:35
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	1	$130	131	0	+131	open	—	03-23 03:52
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on february 25	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	02-25 04:34
bitcoin above 78k on february 5	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	02-05 12:43
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	03-03 11:10
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 22	1	$129	130	0	+130	open	—	02-22 12:23
will the price of ethereum be less than 2600 on february 4	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	02-04 07:45
will turbotax file your tax return be 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	02-13 06:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 07:44:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x8ba36d…
06-01 07:37:15	Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro Riedi	Leandro Riedi	BUY	11	68¢	$8	0xc02d31…
05-30 08:19:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x769e42…
05-28 07:16:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x81a651…
05-28 06:53:16	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x669999…
05-27 08:25:28	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Turk Telekom	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xced36e…
05-24 12:55:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf9db09…
05-23 10:25:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x2243eb…
05-23 09:53:58	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x149219…
05-22 05:57:16	Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of May 18 above $325?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd84800…
05-20 12:22:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd61e32…
05-19 04:23:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd3197f…
05-18 10:54:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x7abd4b…
05-15 03:36:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x39de0e…
05-14 10:43:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x29569c…
05-13 12:52:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb0c183…
05-11 06:35:05	Oeiras 4: Darwin Blanch vs Jack Pinnington Jones	Darwin Blanch	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x587390…
05-10 12:03:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xbacf7a…
05-10 11:10:16	Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffs	Yawara Esports	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x977adc…
05-08 03:37:54	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x50eb33…
05-07 12:52:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x4d88fe…
05-06 12:54:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x83c8db…
05-04 08:11:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x6022c6…
05-03 09:02:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x751dff…
05-01 04:05:52	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $292 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf35626…
05-01 04:05:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xae4058…
05-01 04:04:40	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcaf1ff…
04-30 05:48:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x98e4e5…
04-28 10:15:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xc296b1…
04-27 14:27:02	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on April 27?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x9682cb…
04-26 08:22:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x47da0a…
04-26 07:40:08	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	FURIA Esports	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x160c27…
04-25 04:24:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x616b80…
04-25 04:13:30	Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x82ca4d…
04-24 07:25:46	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x8e1b1c…
04-23 06:00:16	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0xebdc42…
04-22 06:32:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x57db46…
04-21 11:29:58	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xcb0a1c…
04-20 11:27:54	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xc3c63b…
04-19 08:33:28	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5cff69…
04-16 06:58:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 16	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x0a2f71…
04-15 05:15:08	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x3e2e79…
04-12 11:26:47	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xc2e98a…
04-11 11:45:29	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0xb62cea…
04-09 11:12:45	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x909259…
04-08 10:18:27	ethereum above 2000 on april 8	No	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0xc6499c…
04-08 10:17:09	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	Yes	BUY	675	0¢	$1	0x18be2d…
04-07 12:37:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x0bf9ed…
04-06 08:54:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xf2e6d9…
04-06 08:36:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 6	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x711586…
04-05 07:26:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x63a645…
04-04 11:29:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 4	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xcd55b6…
04-04 11:25:11	mlb bal pit 2026 04 04	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xfea730…
04-03 03:33:19	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 3	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xf15e5c…
04-02 10:33:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	Yes	BUY	820	0¢	$2	0x585c79…
04-02 10:31:49	bitcoin above 70k on april 2	Yes	BUY	690	0¢	$1	0x29b116…
04-01 12:04:45	ethereum above 2000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x760c2f…
03-31 10:21:01	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xd4e172…
03-31 10:17:41	wta day badosa 2026 03 31	Kayla Day	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x490d0d…
03-30 05:19:10	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xe933ca…
03-29 10:52:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 29	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5e7bd2…
03-29 10:44:54	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x5fe5ee…
03-28 12:56:15	bitcoin above 70k on march 28	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x64bd9a…
03-27 10:41:21	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	Yes	BUY	695	0¢	$1	0xa63bc9…
03-27 10:37:35	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on march 27	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$2	0x3513e4…
03-27 10:35:37	atp martine busta 2026 03 27	Pedro Martinez	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7c84ef…
03-26 12:14:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 26	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x1c2991…
03-25 05:13:45	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xb4a0cf…
03-24 06:35:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x1ca937…
03-23 03:52:33	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x8788e8…
03-23 03:36:33	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0x4c74c1…
03-21 10:50:57	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xc5df3e…
03-21 10:49:03	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	No	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x5bc68a…
03-21 10:46:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 21	Yes	BUY	605	0¢	$1	0x926c55…
03-20 06:30:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x3b9160…
03-19 11:42:37	ethereum above 2400 on march 19	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x140184…
03-17 13:03:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 17	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x0f6cef…
03-16 09:13:53	ethereum above 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x454d4a…
03-14 09:04:55	will dear me diane warren relentless win best original song at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xb71f07…
03-13 11:06:47	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x7ce79d…
03-11 12:54:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 11	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x039ece…
03-10 12:40:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xb2be8e…
03-09 09:06:59	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xa92b39…
03-08 12:19:25	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 2 8	Yes	BUY	635	0¢	$1	0x1df22f…
03-08 12:17:19	will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	580	0¢	$1	0x3a812f…
03-07 10:13:23	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x6e22f0…
03-07 09:58:01	nhl nsh buf 2026 03 07	Predators	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x1d26f9…
03-05 11:56:31	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x14d299…
03-03 11:10:23	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xd3c81c…
03-03 11:07:25	nhl col ana 2026 03 03	Avalanche	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x561eec…
03-01 12:19:15	will bitcoin dip to 56k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x512b31…
02-28 09:08:07	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x60e06b…
02-28 08:58:09	nba tor was 2026 02 28	Wizards	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x4fcb8b…
02-27 07:48:15	andrew tate posts february 20 february 27 280 309	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x5685cc…
02-27 07:47:47	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	508	2¢	$12	0x00abaf…
02-27 07:44:05	nhl buf fla 2026 02 27	Sabres	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x0c1cd0…
02-26 11:20:32	solana above 100 on february 26	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xac5d03…
02-26 11:14:20	nhl cbj bos 2026 02 26	Bruins	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x30eff4…
02-25 04:34:32	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on february 25	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x30f609…
02-22 12:23:22	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 22	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xea9f06…