Hurtful-Fahrenheit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$589

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-20 18:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 75% $-3

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	13	$15	15	7	+8	open	—	05-01 14:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	12	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 13:28
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$10	50	50	+0	open	—	05-07 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	8	$9	9	6	+3	Up	+$1	05-11 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	5	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	5	$8	5	4	+1	Down	+$1	05-11 08:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	7	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	7	$7	8	4	+4	open	—	04-30 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	6	$7	6	3	+3	open	—	04-30 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	6	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	04-30 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	4	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 12:37
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$6	4	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-07 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	5	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-30 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	4	$6	9	9	+0	open	—	04-28 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-28 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 13:42
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	5	$5	4	2	+1	open	—	04-30 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$5	5	2	+4	open	—	04-30 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	5	$5	5	2	+4	Down	+$1	05-07 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$5	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-11 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	5	$5	4	2	+1	open	—	05-01 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	5	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-30 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	05-20 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 18:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x0804f8…
05-20 18:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd05416…
05-20 18:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x1b4458…
05-20 18:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5225af…
05-20 18:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x33036d…
05-20 18:19:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xd24d2d…
05-20 18:18:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x57b54e…
05-20 18:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc9675e…
05-20 18:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7db3ad…
05-20 18:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x34179e…
05-20 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x719d56…
05-20 18:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8e9047…
05-20 18:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x9e7683…
05-20 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xfd44be…
05-20 18:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x54db17…
05-20 18:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdc6e1d…
05-20 17:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xebe278…
05-20 17:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf3a7a9…
05-20 17:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x621eca…
05-20 17:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8e69e3…
05-20 17:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xbfee98…
05-20 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x045a70…
05-20 17:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1345ff…
05-12 09:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf5c08f…
05-12 09:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0fac53…
05-12 09:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xe435c0…
05-12 09:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4744e5…
05-12 09:29:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9963bf…
05-12 09:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc70119…
05-12 09:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2775b4…
05-12 09:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x657e8b…
05-12 09:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x7d6126…
05-12 09:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x1c00e2…
05-12 09:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x88a28e…
05-12 08:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x285e97…
05-12 08:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x695fe0…
05-11 12:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xacd78b…
05-11 12:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe3facc…
05-11 12:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3e7355…
05-11 12:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbe7b8f…
05-11 12:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb9ba0c…
05-11 12:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x61766d…
05-11 12:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x608676…
05-11 08:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2deaba…
05-11 08:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3da0ba…
05-11 08:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5fe025…
05-11 08:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0x9bb2e1…
05-11 08:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xefb0bf…
05-11 08:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd1d181…
05-11 08:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x70edcc…
05-11 08:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xedab1b…
05-11 08:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xed9783…
05-11 08:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x506f1d…
05-11 08:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x0815e3…
05-11 08:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa3e853…
05-11 08:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xec8740…
05-11 08:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x56aec9…
05-11 08:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa564f5…
05-11 08:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x90b4f6…
05-11 08:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x740f52…
05-11 08:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeca8d0…
05-11 08:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x00e919…
05-11 08:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xbfc6f6…
05-11 08:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdaa45f…
05-11 08:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa02d84…
05-09 08:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbcb0aa…
05-09 08:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd1e9d2…
05-07 13:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7c68d1…
05-07 13:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa5782c…
05-07 13:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb3843c…
05-07 13:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa6f87e…
05-07 13:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x38bb1d…
05-07 13:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x449f86…
05-07 12:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x866ab8…
05-07 12:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xb46a59…
05-07 12:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb717b4…
05-07 12:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5165d8…
05-07 12:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2f094f…
05-07 12:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x69652c…
05-07 12:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8596d1…
05-07 12:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe7eab0…
05-07 12:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xdc6da1…
05-07 12:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xce5dbf…
05-07 12:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3d1ed5…
05-07 12:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xaea13f…
05-07 12:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc51779…
05-07 12:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x33273d…
05-07 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x005a7a…
05-07 12:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x841eec…
05-07 12:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1640fd…
05-07 12:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcef356…
05-07 12:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa17afe…
05-07 12:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0bec17…
05-07 12:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0d388b…
05-07 12:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf3d170…
05-07 12:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x60a558…
05-07 12:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xae8793…
05-07 12:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2a19fd…
05-07 12:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdd9656…
05-07 12:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x56e5ef…