Quick-Witted-Column — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$278

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-11 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-0

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

26% 67% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	06-02 04:37
Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No		+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	05-29 04:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:05
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	01-14 03:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 07:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 03:29
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 10:13
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:48
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 06:46
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:10
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:37
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:39
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 06:15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 07:49
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 04:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 03:37
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 08:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 08:31
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 03:53
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-11 08:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:50
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 00:58
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 06:32
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-13 03:27
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-18 05:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 06:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:26:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xde6f1e…
06-11 08:22:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x660280…
06-11 08:15:28	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x53e09e…
06-11 08:14:10	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x9930ff…
06-11 08:13:16	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x21d7bc…
06-09 03:30:42	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa5d0b4…
06-09 03:26:22	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x331193…
06-08 03:13:06	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c8012…
06-08 03:08:58	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb8897…
06-06 07:48:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xc96ef8…
06-06 07:25:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1ff699…
06-05 06:32:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x917836…
06-05 06:30:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x289489…
06-05 06:22:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1d5ae…
06-05 06:18:43	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfce3e6…
06-04 07:22:00	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8871b9…
06-04 07:02:16	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9326e6…
06-03 07:27:29	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6412c2…
06-03 07:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9aadd7…
06-03 06:51:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6a56ec…
06-03 06:26:27	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51c6aa…
06-02 06:12:20	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x542f69…
06-02 04:37:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x691a00…
06-02 04:34:52	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe7193d…
05-30 07:08:42	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1deee0…
05-29 04:55:36	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93892b…
05-28 07:14:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x07db4f…
05-28 07:13:48	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x691f1d…
05-28 07:02:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbc5c08…
05-28 06:57:45	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe7f68f…
05-27 08:19:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6f3796…
05-27 07:25:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24523b…
05-25 06:23:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1c35b5…
05-25 06:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9273ee…
05-22 07:50:33	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xafe1b6…
05-22 07:38:02	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf20ae7…
05-22 07:24:09	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa4304…
05-21 07:49:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x414dc2…
05-21 07:39:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcab6fd…
05-20 07:17:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x272a43…
05-20 06:53:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x167d17…
05-19 06:06:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3031d5…
05-19 04:46:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xab83ca…
05-18 08:15:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa67f94…
05-18 08:06:05	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x30e2ad…
05-16 06:46:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec8a2f…
05-16 06:40:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b8b0a…
05-15 06:20:13	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4a8e4c…
05-15 06:03:27	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x553386…
05-15 04:39:04	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x823acd…
05-14 06:45:09	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x12b4ee…
05-14 06:44:23	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xc61211…
05-14 06:37:07	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x438f52…
05-14 06:29:29	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8f95a9…
05-13 07:33:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x6893d0…
05-13 07:22:12	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd60b63…
05-12 07:24:27	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdf4ed3…
05-12 07:22:30	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa9c0e3…
05-12 07:15:02	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xedd356…
05-12 07:11:02	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0db017…
05-11 06:15:01	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2234b7…
05-11 04:45:24	Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d9dd3…
05-07 04:40:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa58eca…
05-07 03:44:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5ebf95…
05-05 04:42:06	DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc4d4fc…
05-05 04:21:42	DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xee0fd0…
05-04 04:03:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8646ba…
05-04 03:43:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa4ad33…
04-30 07:10:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xeec7fb…
04-30 07:00:54	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1531c4…
04-29 06:50:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x857281…
04-29 06:45:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfd2f1f…
04-29 06:34:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5db736…
04-29 06:30:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7e59da…
04-28 03:37:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3756cb…
04-28 03:35:50	Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xd2d60c…
04-28 03:27:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x95579e…
04-28 03:23:18	Will Trump say "Queen" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x918d67…
04-27 03:53:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3c1e90…
04-27 03:52:32	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xf63d62…
04-27 03:47:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc15fe0…
04-27 03:41:22	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2301f5…
04-25 06:10:26	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbcbac6…
04-25 06:09:50	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xd28d3f…
04-25 04:53:58	Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d0ef5…
04-25 04:50:22	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd2472d…
04-24 03:44:18	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x82d6ae…
04-24 03:36:18	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4b5153…
04-21 04:29:24	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5efaba…
04-21 04:28:24	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf619eb…
04-21 03:50:00	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91bdd4…
04-21 03:47:10	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1bcfa2…
04-20 08:35:02	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa65302…
04-20 08:31:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x76edd3…
04-20 08:28:22	Pharos FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x02a701…
04-20 08:23:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb22ce9…
04-18 05:59:46	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xd2770e…
04-18 05:57:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbdc374…
04-18 04:31:02	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfc9bb7…
04-18 04:29:02	Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x68d6bd…