Quick-Witted-Column — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$327

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-04 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

37% 0% $-0

Politics

30% — —

Crypto

25% 67% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:05
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	01-14 03:26
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 07:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:56
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 03:29
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 10:13
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:48
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 06:46
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:10
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:37
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:39
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 06:15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 07:49
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 04:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 03:37
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 08:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 08:31
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 03:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-24 08:58
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-11 08:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 06:50
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-07 00:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-04 07:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-05 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 07:27:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x74e5bc…
07-04 07:12:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x835bfb…
07-03 09:21:56	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71700d…
07-03 09:09:37	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x733db4…
07-03 09:04:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x127da6…
07-03 08:57:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdb6ebc…
07-01 06:52:04	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x826ca3…
07-01 06:49:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe2b787…
07-01 06:35:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4fcfac…
07-01 06:30:23	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8026ee…
06-30 07:10:23	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa83ff0…
06-30 06:58:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeb4b2d…
06-29 08:02:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x8ba4a1…
06-29 07:50:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x32706d…
06-27 07:56:41	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbef141…
06-27 07:55:14	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x874fac…
06-27 07:45:58	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79af98…
06-27 07:31:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb7ee19…
06-26 08:40:55	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf6414a…
06-26 08:38:23	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa8da53…
06-26 08:27:35	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5a7642…
06-26 08:23:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x90b26a…
06-25 07:26:56	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0c3cd0…
06-25 07:25:40	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x62eb80…
06-25 07:14:29	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3081fb…
06-25 07:10:08	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ae410…
06-24 08:58:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e9dd3…
06-24 08:25:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeae108…
06-22 07:41:59	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7a890a…
06-22 07:40:41	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x115b71…
06-22 07:25:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd1bc6c…
06-22 07:19:28	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfe9b85…
06-21 07:37:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x11ed2a…
06-21 07:36:29	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9e648c…
06-21 07:22:17	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe0a7c7…
06-21 07:19:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdb487a…
06-18 07:50:38	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdfef3c…
06-18 07:35:17	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x04b85a…
06-17 07:32:16	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x92254a…
06-17 07:29:32	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcd279c…
06-17 07:13:58	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x13fc8d…
06-17 07:09:31	will jd vance attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204739	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x62cc2e…
06-16 07:48:42	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xefd555…
06-16 07:47:46	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x308169…
06-16 07:28:31	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2aca5…
06-16 07:23:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbc3664…
06-13 08:33:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x755038…
06-13 08:14:22	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x358b6c…
06-12 08:08:31	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x617135…
06-12 07:51:33	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7ea3aa…
06-11 08:26:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xde6f1e…
06-11 08:22:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x660280…
06-11 08:15:28	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0x53e09e…
06-11 08:14:10	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$0	0x9930ff…
06-11 08:13:16	tread fdv above 40m one day after launch	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x21d7bc…
06-09 03:30:42	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa5d0b4…
06-09 03:26:22	Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x331193…
06-08 03:13:06	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0c8012…
06-08 03:08:58	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb8897…
06-06 07:48:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xc96ef8…
06-06 07:25:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1ff699…
06-05 06:32:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x917836…
06-05 06:30:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x289489…
06-05 06:22:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1d5ae…
06-05 06:18:43	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfce3e6…
06-04 07:22:00	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8871b9…
06-04 07:02:16	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9326e6…
06-03 07:27:29	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6412c2…
06-03 07:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9aadd7…
06-03 06:51:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6a56ec…
06-03 06:26:27	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x51c6aa…
06-02 06:12:20	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x542f69…
06-02 04:37:43	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x691a00…
06-02 04:34:52	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe7193d…
05-30 07:08:42	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1deee0…
05-29 04:55:36	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x93892b…
05-28 07:14:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x07db4f…
05-28 07:13:48	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x691f1d…
05-28 07:02:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xbc5c08…
05-28 06:57:45	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe7f68f…
05-27 08:19:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6f3796…
05-27 07:25:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24523b…
05-25 06:23:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1c35b5…
05-25 06:05:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9273ee…
05-22 07:50:33	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xafe1b6…
05-22 07:38:02	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf20ae7…
05-22 07:24:09	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaa4304…
05-21 07:49:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x414dc2…
05-21 07:39:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcab6fd…
05-20 07:17:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x272a43…
05-20 06:53:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x167d17…
05-19 06:06:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3031d5…
05-19 04:46:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xab83ca…
05-18 08:15:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa67f94…
05-18 08:06:05	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x30e2ad…
05-16 06:46:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec8a2f…
05-16 06:40:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b8b0a…
05-15 06:20:13	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x4a8e4c…
05-15 06:03:27	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x553386…
05-15 04:39:04	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x823acd…