Quick-Witted-Column — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.6%

Resolved

Trades

391

lifetime

Volume

$388

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-25 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

30% — —

Crypto

25% 67% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:05
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	8	$8	4	4	-0	open	—	01-14 03:26
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-20 08:25
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 07:18
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-20 07:17
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 07:56
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 06:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 03:29
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 10:13
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 07:54
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 08:34
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-07 09:48
will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 06:46
bitcoin above 68k on march 14	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 06:10
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:37
Over $500k committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:39
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-11 06:15
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
will arirang bts be the billboard 200 1 album for the week of april 4	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 07:49
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 09:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 04:15
grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-08 07:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-28 03:37
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-27 08:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 20	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-20 08:31
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 03:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-24 08:58
israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-11 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 08:26:19	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x932eba…
07-25 08:20:04	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb354d9…
07-25 08:16:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x87add5…
07-25 08:11:25	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd71c32…
07-24 08:28:16	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x9fe210…
07-24 08:16:39	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 24 2026 20260714212508552	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5bfda9…
07-24 08:12:10	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x41d69c…
07-24 08:08:10	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe8debd…
07-23 08:45:30	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x140b6a…
07-23 08:39:09	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe81f10…
07-23 08:37:09	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe595f8…
07-23 08:33:03	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by december 31 20260722053445711	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x46cd1f…
07-22 08:19:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x46a4b4…
07-22 08:02:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd5232a…
07-22 07:57:30	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe19659…
07-22 07:48:18	over 22pt5m committed to the ripcars public sale	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x651c9a…
07-21 07:34:19	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe44404…
07-21 07:24:45	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc10e27…
07-20 08:25:18	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x557693…
07-20 08:15:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5be747…
07-20 08:09:09	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x7d0747…
07-20 08:06:57	iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd56fde…
07-18 08:10:01	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x911199…
07-18 08:01:18	will russia enter mykhailivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfe65d9…
07-18 07:54:49	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xdb1996…
07-18 07:45:45	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x35bf55…
07-17 07:31:18	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x890197…
07-17 07:21:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3206f5…
07-16 08:39:04	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe12a9e…
07-16 08:31:47	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfbebf3…
07-16 08:28:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x9d4aa4…
07-16 08:21:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x88e13a…
07-15 08:36:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf8b2f4…
07-15 08:27:20	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x48b99e…
07-15 08:24:07	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x104ad9…
07-15 08:14:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xaae326…
07-14 08:21:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf8fcd8…
07-14 08:12:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x97d02d…
07-14 08:00:41	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x48d120…
07-14 07:52:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x84bbe7…
07-13 08:15:22	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9c789d…
07-13 08:02:29	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x721583…
07-11 08:27:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1424b3…
07-11 08:19:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x251a7b…
07-10 08:49:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x45ef1e…
07-10 08:31:32	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9b84df…
07-10 08:26:44	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x00a92e…
07-10 08:15:22	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x19ca31…
07-09 07:53:41	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x87c3e5…
07-09 07:44:10	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7ba2c5…
07-09 07:37:11	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xedbbb6…
07-09 07:27:28	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt1b	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcd9cbf…
07-08 07:56:34	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf56a11…
07-08 07:46:16	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd077e…
07-08 07:41:55	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0c00f2…
07-08 07:33:29	Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfd7caa…
07-07 08:19:17	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x92d36a…
07-07 08:10:11	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in july 2026 976	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x43a8e2…
07-07 08:05:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x43ec4f…
07-07 07:57:25	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5e8108…
07-06 08:34:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3ad05c…
07-06 08:23:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5ebb04…
07-04 07:27:55	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x74e5bc…
07-04 07:12:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x835bfb…
07-03 09:21:56	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x71700d…
07-03 09:09:37	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x733db4…
07-03 09:04:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x127da6…
07-03 08:57:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdb6ebc…
07-01 06:52:04	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x826ca3…
07-01 06:49:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe2b787…
07-01 06:35:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4fcfac…
07-01 06:30:23	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8026ee…
06-30 07:10:23	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa83ff0…
06-30 06:58:19	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xeb4b2d…
06-29 08:02:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x8ba4a1…
06-29 07:50:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x32706d…
06-27 07:56:41	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbef141…
06-27 07:55:14	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x874fac…
06-27 07:45:58	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x79af98…
06-27 07:31:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb7ee19…
06-26 08:40:55	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf6414a…
06-26 08:38:23	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa8da53…
06-26 08:27:35	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5a7642…
06-26 08:23:10	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x90b26a…
06-25 07:26:56	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x0c3cd0…
06-25 07:25:40	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x62eb80…
06-25 07:14:29	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3081fb…
06-25 07:10:08	will trump speak to pope leo xiv in june	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ae410…
06-24 08:58:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9e9dd3…
06-24 08:25:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeae108…
06-22 07:41:59	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7a890a…
06-22 07:40:41	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x115b71…
06-22 07:25:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd1bc6c…
06-22 07:19:28	Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfe9b85…
06-21 07:37:17	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x11ed2a…
06-21 07:36:29	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9e648c…
06-21 07:22:17	will bitcoin dip to 62k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe0a7c7…
06-21 07:19:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdb487a…
06-18 07:50:38	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xdfef3c…
06-18 07:35:17	Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x04b85a…