Grubby-Nondisclosure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$741

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

2,118

Trades

8,132

lifetime

Volume

$46.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 10-23 00:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

100% 52% +$744

Politics

0% 67% $0

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?	25	$324	185	185	+0	Yes	+$29	06-22 13:54
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 22c	17	$299	196	194	+2	No	+$6	04-16 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?	18	$251	165	155	+10	No	+$5	09-21 06:36
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?	7	$241	150	150	+0	Yes	+$53	10-01 00:59
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 22?	8	$236	136	136	+0	Yes	+$7	06-22 15:09
highest temperature in tokyo on april 14 2026 21c	14	$210	116	115	+1	Yes	+$14	04-14 07:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	10	$194	108	108	+0	Yes	+$20	10-02 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7?	51	$190	295	295	+0	Yes	+$17	08-07 07:36
highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 18c	9	$184	98	98	+0	No	+$5	04-14 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?	16	$182	136	136	+0	Yes	+$14	08-22 07:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?	11	$181	106	106	+0	Yes	+$2	09-19 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 23?	26	$175	193	174	+19	No	-$15	07-23 00:52
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	8	$170	103	103	+0	Yes	+$6	10-06 07:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18?	18	$163	120	120	+0	Yes	+$16	09-18 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	33	$159	267	267	+0	Yes	+$30	07-02 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?	3	$157	80	80	+0	No	+$3	07-12 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?	9	$156	101	101	+0	Yes	+$8	09-22 07:33
highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 23c	17	$150	97	96	+1	Yes	+$7	04-21 07:44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?	12	$147	86	86	+0	No	-$4	06-19 05:36
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 11?	19	$146	154	140	+14	Yes	+$20	08-11 12:58
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 17c	13	$142	90	89	+1	No	+$36	04-15 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?	12	$139	88	88	+0	Yes	+$18	08-15 08:57
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or below on July 17?	23	$138	97	97	+0	Yes	+$1	07-17 13:49
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 5?	12	$137	99	99	+0	Yes	+$14	08-04 23:59
highest temperature in beijing on april 13 2026 18c	16	$137	75	81	-6	Yes	+$7	04-13 09:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	15	$137	85	85	+0	Yes	+$0	06-05 12:12
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 29?	8	$136	82	82	+0	No	+$0	09-28 20:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	14	$136	140	140	+0	No	-$20	09-29 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?	7	$134	76	76	+0	Yes	+$12	09-17 07:18
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 28?	3	$134	70	70	+0	Yes	+$6	09-28 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 00:06:44	Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x42855e…
10-22 14:07:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdc6279…
10-22 12:40:54	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4133b8…
10-22 12:02:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfcb69a…
10-22 12:02:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x54221a…
10-22 10:57:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x369351…
10-22 08:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x957510…
10-22 08:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x21f2c6…
10-22 07:25:41	Will the biggest earthquake on October 22, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x83b118…
10-22 06:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xa91073…
10-22 05:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 22?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xdf0e84…
10-22 05:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x2e413f…
10-22 03:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x2405b3…
10-22 02:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x68e34e…
10-22 02:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8f47a4…
10-22 02:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x593ebf…
10-22 01:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb8bb65…
10-22 01:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd53b89…
10-22 01:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa1f95d…
10-21 09:52:09	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xe10e06…
10-21 04:21:41	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe45e50…
10-20 06:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x26a6cc…
10-20 04:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x323c9c…
10-20 04:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0x4e7168…
10-20 04:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x905eb8…
10-20 04:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0xc1c551…
10-20 04:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xc078dc…
10-20 04:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x96c43d…
10-20 04:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x785dc7…
10-20 04:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xcdb23e…
10-20 04:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x4a69a1…
10-20 03:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xebf73f…
10-20 03:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x65d38e…
10-19 15:11:00	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa19051…
10-19 04:00:15	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x3a8043…
10-19 03:42:27	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x86cfcf…
10-19 01:14:23	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xa6269f…
10-18 15:51:26	Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xf3dc9a…
10-16 08:16:48	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xbe5bc8…
10-16 05:20:33	Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd4d6b6…
10-16 05:18:03	Will the biggest earthquake on October 15, 2026 be 6.1 or more?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6dbc3c…
10-16 04:12:42	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6e362b…
10-16 03:38:34	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xfe629f…
10-14 18:28:12	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xb84734…
10-14 18:13:10	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2813cc…
10-14 15:34:28	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd1efe3…
10-14 14:23:11	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x899f47…
10-14 13:03:44	Will the biggest earthquake on October 14, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x1a3b27…
10-13 15:54:04	Will the biggest earthquake on October 12, 2026 be 5.9 to 6.0?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x0d2d2b…
10-13 06:14:25	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x8e93b5…
10-13 06:08:40	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x6dc712…
10-13 06:02:01	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x1c99f6…
10-13 06:01:45	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x90b108…
10-13 04:00:06	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x110e49…
10-12 04:39:57	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xe49b37…
10-12 03:00:39	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x640e34…
10-12 02:29:06	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x17e502…
10-11 14:14:24	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6104f7…
10-10 03:08:14	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcf172c…
10-10 02:51:15	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x313ba5…
10-09 20:27:28	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x18892e…
10-09 01:49:27	Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?	No	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0xa2bf6e…
10-08 09:47:09	Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xef41f7…
10-08 08:41:16	Will the biggest earthquake on October 8, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x75fa4a…
10-08 08:08:58	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x02c6b3…
10-08 08:08:54	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xcfb3a2…
10-08 07:03:17	Will the biggest earthquake on October 8, 2026 be under 5.3?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x32b475…
10-08 06:46:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x990425…
10-08 06:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xbc189d…
10-08 05:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x3d06f2…
10-08 04:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x627501…
10-08 04:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x46a17d…
10-08 04:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xe33958…
10-08 04:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x23215c…
10-08 04:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x9e9de5…
10-08 03:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2df6a4…
10-08 00:04:50	Will the biggest earthquake on October 7, 2026 be under 5.3?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x05dc0f…
10-07 06:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xc1c89a…
10-07 06:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x67ba53…
10-07 06:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xb4d488…
10-07 06:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x4d1738…
10-07 06:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0xf7e62b…
10-07 06:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc93c32…
10-07 06:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x797ad0…
10-07 05:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe7b6e9…
10-07 05:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xfd7d77…
10-07 04:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xe1a5e7…
10-07 03:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf2e2d9…
10-07 03:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xde4737…
10-07 03:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x8439cf…
10-07 02:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x21faa2…
10-07 02:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xbb1e4c…
10-07 02:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x278121…
10-07 01:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x43b37d…
10-07 00:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 7?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xc42e2b…
10-07 00:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x4c4fb9…
10-07 00:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc07ea8…
10-07 00:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x0bd0d2…
10-07 00:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb65bae…
10-07 00:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x30af85…