Quirky-Grouper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-17 05:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Politics

66% 0% -$1

Sports

19% 0% $0

Other

11% 50% $0

Crypto

4% 93% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	3	$1.3K	707	707	+0	Yes	-$1	03-19 01:01
nba 2025 26 bpg leader dereck lively	3	$710	359	359	+0	No	$0	03-17 06:28
Will Ruwa Romman win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$607	305	305	+0	No	$0	03-17 02:32
Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	3	$554	290	290	+0	No	$0	03-17 06:48
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	2	$413	209	209	+0	No	$0	03-19 02:23
ethereum up or down april 16 2026 9pm et	1	$31	31	0	+31	Down	+$0	04-17 01:52
xrp up or down april 17 2026 4am et	1	$29	29	0	+29	Up	+$0	04-17 08:55
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 1am et	1	$15	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	04-15 05:53
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	04-15 03:51
xrp up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	2	$11	11	0	+11	Down	+$0	04-15 02:54
will bitcoin reach 80k on april 18	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-19 00:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	05-08 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	05-12 03:09
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-17 04:00 UTC	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	03-17 07:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-19 01:55
xrp up or down april 16 2026 8pm et	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	04-17 00:54
ethereum above 2275 on april 17 2026 6am et	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:21
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	2	$7	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-17 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	-$6	05-27 02:58
solana up or down march 16 2026 10pm et	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	03-17 02:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 5?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	05-04 09:16
ethereum up or down june 5 2026 4am et	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	06-05 08:57
will solana dip to 80 on april 16	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-17 00:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 05:14:32	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb40bb9…
06-15 08:00:21	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x280346…
06-05 08:57:36	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa4ddbd…
05-27 02:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x507d77…
05-19 01:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x250054…
05-12 03:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 45°F or below on May 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7806e…
05-08 03:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9edda5…
05-04 09:16:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb2e5d9…
04-19 00:08:16	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 18	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcf37ca…
04-17 09:21:32	ethereum above 2275 on april 17 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x55194f…
04-17 08:55:30	xrp up or down april 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1ce9f8…
04-17 01:52:20	ethereum up or down april 16 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9f2dd3…
04-17 00:54:06	xrp up or down april 16 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8543dd…
04-17 00:39:12	will solana dip to 80 on april 16	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x67556a…
04-15 05:53:48	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6fd1ae…
04-15 03:51:34	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x98968e…
04-15 02:54:48	xrp up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x604232…
04-15 02:51:30	xrp up or down april 14 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x83fa89…
03-19 02:23:27	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	No	SELL	209	99¢	$206	0xda1e3f…
03-19 02:12:57	will hezbollah disarm by march 31	No	BUY	209	99¢	$207	0x8250d9…
03-19 01:01:05	Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	311	95¢	$296	0xa7d87d…
03-19 01:00:41	Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	SELL	396	95¢	$377	0x6cb41d…
03-19 00:52:49	Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	707	95¢	$673	0x141d4f…
03-17 07:57:39	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6116e1…
03-17 06:48:05	Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	104	96¢	$99	0x78a4f8…
03-17 06:47:29	Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	SELL	186	96¢	$177	0x60d81e…
03-17 06:40:25	Will Tom Willis be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	No	BUY	290	96¢	$277	0xb13b40…
03-17 06:28:25	nba 2025 26 bpg leader dereck lively	No	SELL	347	99¢	$343	0x7ecff9…
03-17 06:23:37	nba 2025 26 bpg leader dereck lively	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x86bd36…
03-17 06:22:01	nba 2025 26 bpg leader dereck lively	No	BUY	359	99¢	$355	0x877080…
03-17 02:50:39	solana up or down march 16 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x5ea916…
03-17 02:32:35	Will Ruwa Romman win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	305	99¢	$303	0xf95a04…
03-17 02:22:27	Will Ruwa Romman win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	305	99¢	$303	0x3c475e…