Thirsty-Pony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$683

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-12 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	3	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	05-03 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	6	$63	37	37	+0	Up	+$9	05-10 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	05-03 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$32	209	0	+209	Up	$-28	05-10 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$15	05-08 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$19	31	31	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$6	05-10 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$11	24	24	+0	open	—	05-04 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$10	140	0	+140	Up	$-10	05-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	7	$10	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$5	05-09 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$8	39	9	+30	open	—	05-04 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	7	$8	30	15	+14	Up	+$0	05-04 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$8	10	0	+10	Down	+$2	05-10 07:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$7	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$7	45	0	+45	Down	$-7	05-08 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$7	14	0	+14	Up	$-7	05-10 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$7	9	0	+9	Up	+$2	05-10 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	05-02 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$6	29	10	+19	Down	+$0	05-09 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	Up	+$1	05-10 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 14:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3e8d15…
05-12 14:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x882039…
05-12 14:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2ccdb8…
05-12 14:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc0699d…
05-12 14:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3acb72…
05-12 14:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4761bd…
05-12 14:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x395b0b…
05-12 14:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc8cc71…
05-12 14:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x141812…
05-12 13:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5cc9aa…
05-10 12:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2affd0…
05-10 12:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2322be…
05-10 12:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2fd73c…
05-10 12:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd0e94d…
05-10 12:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf531b8…
05-10 12:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x426ad9…
05-10 12:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfd09fa…
05-10 11:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xba3d46…
05-10 11:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	151	7¢	$10	0xb5fcb1…
05-10 11:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf4890a…
05-10 11:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x57916a…
05-10 11:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfcd363…
05-10 11:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf39dca…
05-10 11:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0x2f3fc5…
05-10 11:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x2f10c7…
05-10 11:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x4a7427…
05-10 11:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xccf65e…
05-10 11:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54a981…
05-10 11:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa07903…
05-10 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7a7db1…
05-10 08:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe0d52f…
05-10 08:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x799c24…
05-10 08:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7c94b2…
05-10 08:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa84d33…
05-10 08:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc86f9f…
05-10 08:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc87608…
05-10 08:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xfc4427…
05-10 08:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf7d09d…
05-10 08:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x03f73c…
05-10 08:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x44061b…
05-10 08:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x46d4b2…
05-10 07:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x52994d…
05-10 07:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf44e27…
05-10 07:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd6026f…
05-10 07:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc0145f…
05-10 07:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x842b67…
05-10 07:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x90201f…
05-10 07:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7df24f…
05-10 07:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x817826…
05-10 07:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x74ba9e…
05-10 07:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4e6141…
05-10 03:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xdbe42c…
05-10 03:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x69b231…
05-10 03:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x79a4fb…
05-10 03:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x44dd67…
05-10 03:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfc037a…
05-10 03:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6715bb…
05-10 01:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x78c0f1…
05-10 01:56:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf51903…
05-10 01:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4fea9b…
05-10 01:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x792271…
05-10 01:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcffe1b…
05-10 01:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc34828…
05-10 01:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xa952b4…
05-10 01:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x886290…
05-10 00:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x79b8c2…
05-10 00:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x572228…
05-10 00:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x57101c…
05-10 00:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1fd2ef…
05-10 00:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x907940…
05-09 14:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x5a530c…
05-09 14:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf2fd6c…
05-09 14:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x16e010…
05-09 12:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x84db05…
05-09 12:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x79a013…
05-09 12:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x243624…
05-09 12:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf35cac…
05-09 12:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9ab76d…
05-09 12:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x03bf4f…
05-09 12:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd3c199…
05-09 08:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xd2467a…
05-09 08:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x862dad…
05-09 08:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdd6ada…
05-09 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xa9bd0e…
05-09 08:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x427f46…
05-09 07:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xb153c1…
05-09 07:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x1a9905…
05-09 07:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6da94a…
05-09 07:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8eeecd…
05-09 07:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd9d216…
05-09 07:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xea19a2…
05-09 07:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3c5f9a…
05-09 06:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xde75e6…
05-09 06:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x06e2ea…
05-09 06:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbefff3…
05-09 06:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x89192c…
05-09 06:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x64ea3f…
05-09 06:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb1680e…
05-09 06:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x53feb8…
05-09 06:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x36ebe3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	116	$25.4K	8,014	05-12 14:38
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	116	$22.4K	7,049	05-12 14:38
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	116	$21.1K	4,346	05-12 14:38
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	116	$18.2K	3,757	05-12 14:37
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	114	$73.9K	5,669	05-12 14:38
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	114	$26.0K	4,642	05-12 14:37
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	114	$9.48K	1,043	05-12 14:37
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	113	$122.7K	5,297	05-12 14:40