Definite-Cascade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,414

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-09 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

80% 96% +$1

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:52
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 12:45
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 14:49
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:12
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 12:45
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-17 03:23
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:58
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Counter-Strike: Omega vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	INOX Division	+$0	05-08 12:46
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 20:53
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 8 2026 15corhigher	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 11:25
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 02:16
mlb chc cle 2026 04 04	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-06 16:26
Set 1 Winner: Paul vs Etcheverry	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 19:59
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 05:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cbf41…
06-09 00:21:16	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8774e1…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x153ab3…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84bbd2…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x884e76…
06-07 19:21:19	Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b6881…
06-07 18:51:34	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26f6ac…
06-07 18:32:12	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cc921…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdfedf…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd389b…
06-07 13:09:43	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08c2e2…
06-07 10:06:34	r6siege tyloo kingzo 2026 06 07	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cceea…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe86e0d…
06-06 14:19:21	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25fdf7…
06-06 11:32:37	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70ab77…
06-06 11:32:27	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9029ec…
06-05 23:04:22	mlbb aterio tsaw 2026 06 05	Team Spirit Academy White	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf85857…
06-05 17:03:39	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09dba5…
06-05 01:53:27	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97c368…
06-03 21:32:37	DR Congo vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe896a7…
06-03 16:06:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b3d3c…
06-03 16:04:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5cccef…
06-03 13:38:28	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac0274…
06-03 07:01:16	T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Saudi Arabia vs United Arab Emirates	United Arab Emirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd5e7c…
06-03 04:48:42	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7c2bdc…
06-02 22:56:08	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbd1bf…
06-02 19:09:22	Jack Pinnington Jones vs. Aleksandar Vukic: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x460661…
06-02 15:24:40	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a1979…
06-02 14:02:01	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb07b3b…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b1c37…
05-31 17:31:50	T20 Blast: Nottinghamshire vs Durham	Nottinghamshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbcd49…
05-31 14:19:39	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe27e0f…
05-31 09:14:32	KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1a773…
05-31 08:38:40	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24d0af…
05-31 08:18:25	Blaublitz Akita vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xefa9d3…
05-31 01:28:06	Santos FC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5210ff…
05-30 21:44:55	Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier	Paris Gentle Mates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca37bc…
05-30 19:05:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd052f7…
05-30 17:59:00	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb644b3…
05-30 15:39:58	Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige - Map 2 Winner	Prestige	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbd871…
05-30 14:31:20	Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige - Map 2 Winner	Prestige	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x687584…
05-30 14:25:14	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61cfc1…
05-30 13:33:09	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd834c6…
05-30 10:58:06	Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs against All authority - Map 1 Winner	INOX Division	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b196e…
05-30 10:57:06	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d0088…
05-30 05:52:43	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2e3ea7…
05-30 04:48:40	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x60e324…
05-30 00:12:01	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a9e53…
05-29 21:01:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65720e…
05-29 20:25:29	Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)	North Macedonia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd785e3…
05-29 17:27:46	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c3458…
05-29 16:01:28	El Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. Modern SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb4943…
05-29 13:57:03	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ba537…
05-29 00:54:34	Centurion: Harold Mayot vs Millen Hurrion	Harold Mayot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35d5fd…
05-28 20:08:40	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x22df29…
05-28 16:52:23	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f35c3…
05-28 13:11:07	Facundo Acosta vs. Learner Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40e01f…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95f6a6…
05-28 02:32:33	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x568296…
05-27 13:48:51	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9749de…
05-27 02:14:30	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38a682…
05-27 00:15:58	CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76a3a3…
05-26 20:00:20	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67167a…
05-26 14:03:10	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73ef93…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x357de9…
05-26 06:28:01	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe527d7…
05-25 18:29:00	Ignacio Buse vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda3bdd…
05-25 10:12:42	Enhanced Games: Hafthor Bjornsson Heaviest Deadlift Over 510 Kg?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8e1e3…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x536760…
05-25 04:48:19	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x718e8d…
05-25 01:24:35	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f915b…
05-24 22:23:15	New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1af655…
05-24 20:19:00	Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Nishesh Basavareddy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c519…
05-24 19:24:12	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17825e…
05-24 17:20:25	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x44c450…
05-24 17:05:01	Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x727b11…
05-24 16:02:41	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e4948…
05-24 15:30:05	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4727d9…
05-24 08:02:48	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Supah Hot	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36e668…
05-24 04:52:10	Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a5b47…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c9340…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x426e91…
05-23 16:16:07	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb3541…
05-23 12:56:33	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x164382…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32dfc5…
05-22 21:50:02	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4df0d0…
05-22 20:37:17	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf99ff3…
05-22 19:58:40	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Rebels Gaming - Map 2 Winner	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x236dcb…
05-21 14:24:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x495c5f…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7fe38…
05-21 04:55:20	Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d9ae2…
05-21 04:00:51	Spread: Cusco FC (-1.5)	Independiente Medellín	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x989a75…
05-21 00:08:15	Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9e15b1…
05-21 00:08:04	Club Nacional de Football vs. Club Universitario de Deportes: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb38b45…
05-20 21:53:21	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14c553…
05-20 21:22:33	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf812d4…
05-20 21:17:30	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c6a7e…
05-20 20:56:30	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e7fdf…
05-20 19:13:52	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5df2d0…
05-20 11:46:58	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa945f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Snappy-Embossing 0x8cc4…39b8	762	$3.99K	804	06-09 17:22
Round-Shaw 0x28ad…d8e1	758	$3.88K	783	06-09 17:38
Cautious-Paint 0xe79d…159c	711	$36.3K	758	06-09 17:38
Messy-Breakfast 0x0f23…2511	710	$7.27K	737	06-09 17:24
Tough-Report 0x8f74…c469	708	$36.3K	764	06-07 13:09
Agonizing-Prevalence 0x787a…16c7	708	$3.62K	731	06-09 17:38
Familiar-Clinic 0xc69d…f3f2	705	$7.20K	732	06-09 17:24
Tragic-Economics 0x5e9d…6a86	704	$36.0K	780	06-06 23:10