Definite-Cascade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,504

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-30 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$1

Sports

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 14:49
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 12:45
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:12
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:52
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 02:47
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 12:45
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-17 03:23
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 03:59
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:58
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
mar1 asf uts 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-28 19:03
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-21 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:25
arg bar cas 2026 04 02 total 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-02 20:53
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-29 02:16
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 04:26:04	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a7dcc…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x636ec3…
06-30 01:45:55	mlb det nyy 2026 06 29 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3f36e…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55dc9b…
06-29 19:06:14	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e022d…
06-29 16:05:01	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcc7f8e…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd60a3f…
06-29 13:08:34	atp kovacev zandsch 2026 06 29 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8729c…
06-28 22:02:56	2026 travelers championship top10 matt mccarty	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd9a9a9…
06-28 19:10:58	mar1 fus rsb 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29885d…
06-28 19:03:35	mar1 asf uts 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc83857…
06-28 19:03:35	mar1 asf uts 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99c43a…
06-28 19:03:35	mar1 asf uts 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bce90…
06-28 15:10:35	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x371aa6…
06-28 05:22:58	world cup will the usa play iran 20260623182026129	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac8f9e…
06-28 04:05:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	Jordan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b66fe…
06-28 04:00:25	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4a85c…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3043dc…
06-28 02:03:22	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b3b02…
06-27 20:38:19	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0851ee…
06-26 18:44:50	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7744de…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce93b5…
06-25 22:21:11	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b81b9…
06-25 02:00:23	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc6c794…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x779e4b…
06-25 00:04:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x00410b…
06-25 00:00:59	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94c62a…
06-24 16:52:08	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03890e…
06-24 09:17:07	itf jiananx onyucho 2026 06 24 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb70bf7…
06-24 01:00:04	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed9f80…
06-23 20:00:59	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd5278…
06-23 18:25:10	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc190e6…
06-23 14:56:02	itf naw oetzbac 2026 06 23 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6e473…
06-23 04:13:38	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8defe4…
06-23 04:13:37	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a6e1f…
06-23 04:13:37	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x182621…
06-22 19:15:31	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfda6aa…
06-22 18:15:37	atp choinsk popyrin 2026 06 22 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eb3d5…
06-22 00:15:13	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06728c…
06-21 21:43:58	2026 us open top10 rory mcilroy	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8591f6…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4a42f…
06-20 22:09:08	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaea813…
06-20 20:06:44	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf66bd6…
06-20 19:15:35	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa58c44…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed783b…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5af2c9…
06-20 02:43:43	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners team home 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aae56…
06-20 02:42:59	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76aafc…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae724d…
06-20 00:27:28	mlb cws det 2026 06 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e2899…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe85553…
06-19 12:52:23	atp shelton fritz 2026 06 19 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d757a…
06-19 01:55:05	mlb nym phi 2026 06 18 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x363751…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6e2aa…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaeb830…
06-17 19:06:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21c74b…
06-17 19:05:32	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d0712…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa47976…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x384f40…
06-17 16:10:17	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadc978…
06-17 16:07:41	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4aaa05…
06-17 16:06:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f6fb7…
06-17 00:03:22	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8010f9…
06-16 13:45:55	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf0078…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ae7c7…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x600f13…
06-15 12:41:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5202b…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0bb08…
06-14 19:21:48	mlb mia pit 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Miami Marlins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eaebc…
06-14 19:03:09	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e9c5c…
06-14 19:02:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabe20f…
06-13 22:40:34	r6siege loud nip 2026 06 13	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x135292…
06-13 14:12:04	fin1 int aco 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ae49e…
06-13 11:10:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa0f3f5…
06-13 09:23:28	cs2 bmb gbl 2026 06 13 game2	BASEMENT BOYS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1f397…
06-13 01:54:58	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x126992…
06-12 23:44:45	2026 rbc canadian open top5 joel dahmen	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9692a2…
06-12 20:35:01	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95f47d…
06-12 20:34:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7822f5…
06-12 20:26:45	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x587188…
06-12 20:18:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x669982…
06-12 20:17:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d1249…
06-12 13:30:09	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x199ffc…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a4734…
06-11 21:14:07	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57f281…
06-11 21:14:01	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67552e…
06-11 16:53:27	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06e5af…
06-11 12:58:13	itf cuenin baroni 2026 06 11 first set total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4419c3…
06-10 20:16:55	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95f512…
06-10 20:05:10	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7430fe…
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cbf41…
06-09 00:21:16	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8774e1…
06-08 21:37:00	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x153ab3…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84bbd2…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x884e76…
06-07 19:21:19	Will Alexander Albon finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b6881…
06-07 18:51:34	Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x26f6ac…
06-07 18:32:12	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2cc921…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdfedf…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd389b…