Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

1,416

Trades

1,971

lifetime

Volume

$3.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-13

last 10-30 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 67% -$82

Politics

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 391 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	Yes	+4	$2	34¢	$1	$0	10-21 15:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+0	$0	50¢	$0	+$0	10-22 21:48
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	10-22 21:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:05 UTC	6	$35	29	18	+11	Down	+$11	10-16 14:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	12	$21	23	23	+0	open	—	10-22 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$18	12	11	+1	Down	+$5	10-15 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	2	$18	13	13	+0	Up	+$8	10-14 00:09
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$17	26	8	+18	Up	-$2	10-19 23:59
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	10-20 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:35 UTC	2	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	10-13 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$14	11	5	+6	Down	+$3	10-15 21:00
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	10-20 01:03
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	10-20 00:17
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$10	10-19 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$12	9	7	+2	Down	+$4	10-18 19:28
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$5	10-20 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	10-15 21:15
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	10-25 18:29
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	10-20 11:29
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	10-20 00:12
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	10-20 00:33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	6	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	10-24 07:28
Solana Up or Down - October 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	10-19 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	-$10	10-15 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	10-15 20:47
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	10-25 18:33
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	10-25 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-18 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$9	16	0	+16	Up	-$9	10-15 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$9	6	5	+1	Down	+$2	10-18 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$9	6	5	+1	Down	+$1	10-18 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$9	6	5	+1	Down	+$1	10-18 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 10:38:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcd465d…
10-30 10:27:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4739b8…
10-30 10:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x43e0c6…
10-30 10:24:51	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x08f90f…
10-30 10:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf8f612…
10-30 10:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfe4795…
10-30 10:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4c7789…
10-30 09:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6f12eb…
10-30 09:54:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x15dde6…
10-30 09:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x066765…
10-30 09:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd23e46…
10-30 09:13:34	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6590e1…
10-30 09:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x67c8de…
10-30 09:13:24	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc6cf48…
10-30 09:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0a2ba2…
10-30 09:10:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xecedfe…
10-30 09:10:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9a067c…
10-30 09:03:51	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x431815…
10-30 09:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x021840…
10-30 09:02:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x987413…
10-30 08:55:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5b64cb…
10-30 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x85be4e…
10-30 08:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0aa26b…
10-30 08:48:42	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbffdee…
10-30 08:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc7db45…
10-30 08:48:25	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0fdfce…
10-30 08:41:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc003e0…
10-30 08:40:45	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x339b4b…
10-30 08:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8f1319…
10-30 08:38:48	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9f18df…
10-30 08:38:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x303ea2…
10-30 08:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4f10e6…
10-30 08:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x58eb4e…
10-30 08:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xde8800…
10-30 08:23:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x44d6eb…
10-30 08:18:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd21beb…
10-30 08:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5d88a4…
10-30 08:10:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x34ca45…
10-30 08:08:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x38a3c2…
10-30 08:03:31	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4a80d3…
10-30 07:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd6fd35…
10-30 07:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5d15f1…
10-30 07:28:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3ea536…
10-30 07:27:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa66da1…
10-30 07:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0f829f…
10-30 07:18:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x38cbb3…
10-30 07:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa1f996…
10-30 07:11:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd508cb…
10-30 07:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa08426…
10-30 07:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd3a73e…
10-30 06:56:55	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x055215…
10-30 06:43:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x31105b…
10-30 06:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2ba765…
10-30 06:38:51	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x71be3d…
10-30 06:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf24df9…
10-30 06:33:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x471a82…
10-30 06:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbd5ddc…
10-30 06:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x473243…
10-30 06:26:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9fdbb4…
10-30 06:24:16	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0ed22c…
10-30 06:23:30	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3f7b20…
10-30 06:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8bb919…
10-30 06:12:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x97d1d0…
10-30 06:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa2992e…
10-30 06:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x06dab5…
10-30 06:03:34	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6cdd79…
10-30 06:03:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdd3dde…
10-30 06:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x98771f…
10-30 06:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xf9de4a…
10-30 05:48:48	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd78974…
10-30 05:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2a784a…
10-30 05:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x60ae58…
10-30 05:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfff021…
10-30 05:13:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x62d9d0…
10-30 05:08:27	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6cd9f6…
10-30 04:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x54e5f5…
10-30 04:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x132850…
10-30 04:48:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xb382fc…
10-30 04:48:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8e8364…
10-30 04:43:51	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xfe1647…
10-30 04:43:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf5c056…
10-30 04:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2d662f…
10-30 04:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd5ad5f…
10-30 04:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x671bc7…
10-30 04:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3b6985…
10-30 03:58:46	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x63c69a…
10-30 03:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8d1b47…
10-30 03:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfdc33f…
10-30 02:58:34	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x41248b…
10-30 02:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1febd3…
10-30 02:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x721670…
10-30 02:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3e3175…
10-30 01:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x046bca…
10-30 01:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa92a0c…
10-30 01:33:42	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x490f30…
10-30 01:28:31	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2931d7…
10-30 01:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc5f1fd…
10-30 01:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x148919…
10-30 00:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0ff7bc…
10-30 00:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x94becf…