Major-Lizard — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$576

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved (90d)

1,151

Trades (90d)

4,318

20,116 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.0K

$140.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 06:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 272 days

Categories

Sports

56% 83% +$2,138

Other

44% 70% +$4,652

Politics

0% 50% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes		-15	-$1	8¢	$-1	+$0	10-20 15:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	628	$5.3K	12,442	11,841	+600	No	-$20	05-27 03:13
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	448	$2.1K	7,750	7,796	-46	No	+$65	05-03 22:05
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	125	$1.6K	1,783	1,329	+455	Yes	+$351	05-27 08:20
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	150	$1.4K	3,320	2,380	+940	No	-$362	06-11 06:28
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	126	$1.3K	2,333	1,833	+500	No	-$69	05-28 01:12
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	111	$1.3K	2,350	1,450	+900	Yes	+$571	06-10 21:07
ahl cal san 2026 01 31	49	$887	413	540	-126	San Jose Barracuda	+$65	02-02 10:21
khl sha hcs 2026 01 12	73	$834	564	549	+15	HC Sochi	+$47	04-24 21:57
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	261	$819	5,596	5,424	+171	No	+$15	04-27 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	76	$747	417	417	+0	Yes	+$68	05-13 16:39
nhl pit cal 2026 01 21	61	$677	634	766	-131	Penguins	+$58	01-21 02:24
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?	113	$661	1,938	1,749	+190	No	+$44	05-19 01:52
will atltico madrid advance to the round of 16	86	$533	194	469	-275	Yes	-$32	02-24 19:17
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	34	$508	229	285	-56	No	+$5	04-28 09:04
khl met sib 2026 03 24	15	$482	641	0	+641	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	+$160	03-24 16:09
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk	34	$478	563	88	+475	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	+$29	05-06 21:36
nhl bos dal 2026 01 20	28	$473	301	491	-190	Stars	-$64	01-19 17:33
nhl buf car 2026 01 19	53	$468	472	270	+201	Hurricanes	+$84	01-19 03:35
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	32	$463	596	227	+368	No	+$168	03-06 03:30
khl sal hcd 2026 03 13	22	$456	710	10	+700	HC Dynamo Moscow	+$264	03-13 16:55
nhl edm sj 2026 04 08	45	$456	227	248	-21	Oilers	+$1	04-09 04:00
khl hcs amu 2026 03 15	13	$453	268	268	+0	Amur Khabarovsk	+$7	03-15 13:50
will galatasaray reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	22	$447	350	300	+50	No	+$20	03-18 13:55
nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	27	$441	440	450	-10	Senators	+$4	04-06 22:06
nhl mon tb 2026 03 31	19	$439	377	350	+28	Canadiens	-$12	03-30 22:16
khl met sib 2026 03 26	50	$434	686	39	+647	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	+$50	03-26 15:47
will club brugge advance to the round of 16	46	$433	228	327	-100	No	+$9	02-24 07:25
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	96	$420	2,935	2,122	+813	No	-$69	05-28 03:02
khl ava nef 2026 03 24	19	$404	519	0	+519	Avangard Omsk	+$114	03-24 15:41
mwoh fin ita 2026 02 14	19	$402	174	249	-75	Finland	+$4	02-13 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 06:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x07a7dc…
11-01 06:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x628281…
11-01 05:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd03bbd…
11-01 04:37:10	Flames vs. Avalanche: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a4d4c…
11-01 04:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4c8f1c…
11-01 04:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf078d6…
11-01 04:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa53586…
11-01 00:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x438917…
10-31 22:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x963768…
10-31 21:37:16	Will the New York Rangers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x32aeb1…
10-31 20:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xeb0002…
10-31 20:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcd4fab…
10-31 20:31:18	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a4a38…
10-31 20:31:12	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0b1c3…
10-31 20:17:45	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26366e…
10-31 20:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xdc9b5c…
10-31 19:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcf8d0d…
10-31 19:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xdbb94b…
10-31 19:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbc063d…
10-31 19:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x950839…
10-31 19:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x732f30…
10-31 19:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xa06e68…
10-31 18:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x392b27…
10-31 18:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x26a9ef…
10-31 18:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf0a41c…
10-31 18:45:16	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd0696…
10-31 18:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x290003…
10-31 18:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xcbbdd3…
10-31 18:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6a32d0…
10-31 18:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb30ab2…
10-31 18:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xaf5fc4…
10-31 18:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x0e4e0a…
10-31 18:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6f0fe5…
10-31 18:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1024cb…
10-31 17:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbc6bc2…
10-31 17:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbffed1…
10-31 17:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe23f22…
10-31 17:07:06	Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x41edf9…
10-31 14:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xbefc03…
10-31 14:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xab1478…
10-31 14:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x745dd9…
10-31 13:45:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x11fefc…
10-31 13:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7fe8ab…
10-31 12:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaa6bb2…
10-31 12:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbaef1b…
10-31 12:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x34aa81…
10-31 12:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x33b19a…
10-31 11:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x55477c…
10-31 11:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc4a43e…
10-31 11:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xbde405…
10-31 11:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9ed0c0…
10-31 10:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xefd4fc…
10-31 10:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x63e06c…
10-31 10:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4c8d77…
10-31 10:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x94610e…
10-31 10:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc3b48…
10-31 10:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf8d1a9…
10-31 10:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0edff2…
10-31 10:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x6f6a4f…
10-31 09:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbb34ad…
10-31 09:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc51c85…
10-31 09:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xde740e…
10-31 09:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdc2910…
10-31 09:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x87853b…
10-31 08:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x747b37…
10-31 08:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3b5567…
10-31 08:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb92395…
10-31 07:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3f378d…
10-31 07:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xabc163…
10-31 07:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3231da…
10-31 07:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on October 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe86d46…
10-31 07:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xabe4bc…
10-31 07:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x8ba052…
10-31 07:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xa35e65…
10-31 06:44:06	KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x775877…
10-31 06:44:04	KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x55c0d3…
10-31 06:34:34	KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcda25a…
10-31 06:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcb7110…
10-31 00:28:42	Will the Utah Mammoth be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xf68004…
10-31 00:04:40	KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7f685a…
10-30 23:57:30	Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe72b22…
10-30 23:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdeb1a9…
10-30 23:03:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a3303…
10-30 23:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x460545…
10-30 22:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x90dbb1…
10-30 22:27:09	Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc9cf2a…
10-30 20:22:00	KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk	Metallurg Magnitogorsk	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xb9fb08…
10-30 19:34:52	Jets vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3cd1e0…
10-30 19:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcf7ca8…
10-30 17:30:06	Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x91621a…
10-30 17:28:45	KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Avangard Omsk	Lada Togliatti	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe04e80…
10-30 17:26:58	KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Avangard Omsk	Avangard Omsk	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7b54c5…
10-30 16:46:12	KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Avangard Omsk	Lada Togliatti	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x2b3802…
10-30 16:46:09	KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Spartak Moscow	Severstal Cherepovets	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x774c67…
10-30 16:27:16	KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Barys Astana	Shanghai Dragons	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x847400…
10-30 16:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f6060…
10-30 16:00:12	KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. Barys Astana	Barys Astana	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc4e5ea…
10-30 15:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc928e8…
10-30 15:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f8966…
10-30 15:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xda7f1a…