Empty-Hug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-04 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 100% +$1

Other

30% 86% -$27

Politics

12% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	1	$83	84	0	+84	Yes	+$0	01-08 03:08
ethereum above 2900 on january 4	1	$83	83	0	+83	Yes	+$0	01-04 03:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 13	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	01-13 09:18
bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	1	$59	59	0	+59	Yes	+$0	06-07 08:12
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	06-15 03:51
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$58	59	0	+59	No	+$0	05-29 09:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-20 03:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-25 09:11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-14 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-11 11:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-26 08:43
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-21 08:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-15 08:52
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-30 03:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	05-08 08:26
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$58	58	0	+58	No	+$0	04-07 08:22
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 240plus	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	03-26 02:35
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	03-18 07:51
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	03-09 08:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	1	$56	57	0	+57	No	+$0	03-04 06:52
bitcoin above 74k on march 1	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	03-01 06:31
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	02-02 03:45
bitcoin above 72k on february 12	1	$51	51	0	+51	No	+$0	02-12 07:19
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	09-19 11:21
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	1	$26	29	0	+29	Yes	-$26	01-21 08:26
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	09-19 11:25
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-10 08:03
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	10-04 09:25
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$1	700	0	+700	No	-$1	02-02 03:41
will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-12 07:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 09:25:35	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x603be7…
09-19 11:25:00	Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3c610d…
09-19 11:21:48	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xeb2687…
08-03 09:17:30	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x918547…
07-10 08:03:28	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb9eaf6…
06-15 03:51:28	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xfece0b…
06-07 08:12:16	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x9739e2…
05-29 09:50:42	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0x54e72d…
05-25 09:11:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x9da0fb…
05-20 03:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x521d2b…
05-14 06:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x059510…
05-11 11:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x2df3c6…
05-08 08:26:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xb76a8e…
04-30 03:20:46	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x64d2b9…
04-26 08:43:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0xa02832…
04-21 08:40:44	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x3de843…
04-15 08:52:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x3dc391…
04-07 08:22:47	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x13c726…
03-26 02:35:45	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 240plus	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x6ec643…
03-18 07:51:45	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x2880fa…
03-09 08:37:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x93836c…
03-04 06:52:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0x952c45…
03-01 06:31:07	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x796a29…
02-12 07:31:35	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8f04af…
02-12 07:31:21	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95de91…
02-12 07:31:15	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x712e3a…
02-12 07:31:09	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8eaef8…
02-12 07:19:09	bitcoin above 72k on february 12	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xb767f8…
02-02 03:45:26	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x001500…
02-02 03:41:24	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xaf64c2…
01-21 08:26:20	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	No	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x492e44…
01-13 09:18:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 13	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xe5e301…
01-08 03:08:37	bitcoin above 86k on january 8	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$83	0x722261…
01-04 03:56:57	ethereum above 2900 on january 4	Yes	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xd5af21…