Impartial-Cycle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

215

Trades

2,727

lifetime

Volume

$20.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-08 14:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 59% $-76

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 486 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 22 12am et	23	$736	632	412	+219	open	—	01-22 06:05
bitcoin up or down january 22 12pm et	17	$577	451	315	+136	open	—	01-22 18:22
bitcoin up or down january 21 4pm et	22	$572	527	284	+243	open	—	01-21 22:02
bitcoin up or down january 22 5pm et	33	$432	401	226	+174	open	—	01-22 23:07
bitcoin up or down january 21 11pm et	28	$432	432	233	+199	open	—	01-22 05:03
bitcoin up or down february 5 1pm et	14	$291	388	210	+178	open	—	02-05 19:04
bitcoin up or down january 22 1pm et	32	$271	315	128	+188	open	—	01-22 19:04
bitcoin up or down january 21 10pm et	20	$250	267	149	+118	open	—	01-22 04:02
bitcoin up or down january 22 6pm et	24	$245	285	141	+144	open	—	01-23 00:45
bitcoin up or down january 22 7pm et	24	$240	278	127	+151	open	—	01-23 01:34
bitcoin up or down february 5 3pm et	9	$233	317	53	+264	open	—	02-05 21:09
bitcoin up or down january 22 3pm et	19	$210	388	137	+250	open	—	01-22 21:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$204	127	127	+0	open	—	05-04 18:24
bitcoin up or down february 5 12pm et	8	$198	608	608	+0	open	—	02-05 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	5	$192	115	115	+0	open	—	05-03 15:38
bitcoin up or down january 22 4pm et	17	$182	190	69	+121	open	—	01-22 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	10	$167	192	122	+70	open	—	05-21 01:23
bitcoin up or down january 24 12am et	24	$133	211	130	+81	open	—	01-24 06:03
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	03-14 17:07
bitcoin up or down january 27 8pm et	10	$127	430	0	+430	open	—	01-28 01:32
bitcoin up or down january 28 11am et	17	$119	209	0	+209	open	—	01-28 16:52
eth updown 5m 1775699700	9	$117	85	82	+2	open	—	04-09 02:01
bitcoin up or down january 26 12pm et	18	$115	256	0	+256	open	—	01-26 17:38
xrp updown 15m 1773705600	25	$112	134	0	+134	open	—	03-17 00:13
bitcoin up or down january 27 2pm et	21	$109	199	0	+199	open	—	01-27 19:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	7	$108	141	44	+97	open	—	05-15 03:19
bitcoin up or down january 26 11am et	11	$107	248	0	+248	open	—	01-26 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	5	$101	157	0	+157	open	—	04-26 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$100	220	0	+220	open	—	05-03 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	8	$100	146	0	+146	Up	+$46	05-04 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 14:49:07	btc updown 5m 1780929900	Up	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xdc7f4e…
06-08 14:48:00	btc updown 5m 1780929900	Up	BUY	36	60¢	$22	0xb32530…
06-08 14:47:36	btc updown 5m 1780929900	Up	BUY	37	56¢	$21	0x4a8856…
06-08 14:47:04	btc updown 5m 1780929900	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x89cf3c…
06-08 14:46:43	btc updown 5m 1780929900	Down	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0x3c517e…
06-08 14:45:18	btc updown 5m 1780929900	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x29fbed…
06-08 14:41:24	btc updown 5m 1780929600	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x914668…
06-08 14:39:36	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x39d002…
06-08 14:36:49	btc updown 5m 1780929300	Down	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x9ddcb7…
06-08 14:30:31	btc updown 5m 1780929000	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe5d16d…
06-08 14:29:48	btc updown 5m 1780928700	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xed231c…
06-08 14:28:09	btc updown 5m 1780928700	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xa3ad3b…
06-08 14:24:40	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x957ac8…
06-08 14:24:37	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Down	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0xfcdb59…
06-08 14:23:09	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0xf3b6d0…
06-08 14:23:01	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Down	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xddd71c…
06-08 14:21:28	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xb91627…
06-08 14:21:00	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xcaebbd…
06-08 14:20:58	btc updown 5m 1780928400	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x9ceb52…
06-08 14:16:09	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xf36733…
06-08 14:15:25	btc updown 5m 1780928100	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x311f70…
05-21 01:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x2c4d2f…
05-21 01:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x507cd2…
05-21 01:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0xf07798…
05-21 01:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x6f5a29…
05-21 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe5d469…
05-21 01:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x376033…
05-21 01:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x37acb3…
05-21 01:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xeafc06…
05-21 01:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	38	38¢	$15	0xd5f755…
05-21 01:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	46	48¢	$22	0x564111…
05-21 01:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xcc7d93…
05-21 01:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xdf2e26…
05-21 01:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x45b16e…
05-21 01:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x6f8ab3…
05-20 17:13:40	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xac58fb…
05-20 17:13:38	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xa7fc01…
05-20 17:13:37	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x49618f…
05-20 17:12:44	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x4f40c2…
05-20 17:12:42	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x66ab87…
05-20 17:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xe1c3c4…
05-20 17:11:27	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x08b9b8…
05-20 17:11:24	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xf5431e…
05-20 17:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9ec677…
05-20 17:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x7afe92…
05-20 17:09:25	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x5880ec…
05-20 17:07:54	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xcc68e5…
05-20 17:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x9ddfd8…
05-20 17:07:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0f86b9…
05-20 17:07:17	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x645b73…
05-20 17:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x523d57…
05-20 17:06:52	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x8cbce8…
05-20 17:06:44	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0x9e43d5…
05-20 17:06:16	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x4fa242…
05-20 17:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x681a8a…
05-20 17:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x0264a8…
05-20 16:59:37	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x77400d…
05-20 16:59:35	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x59a2db…
05-20 16:59:14	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xea6c4d…
05-20 16:58:23	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x525cf2…
05-20 16:58:06	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x744f65…
05-20 16:57:52	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x59ea4e…
05-20 16:57:38	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x44a094…
05-20 16:57:36	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x6ab642…
05-20 16:57:36	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x19f9e7…
05-20 16:53:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$7	0x321df2…
05-20 16:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x307250…
05-20 16:52:47	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x0a680e…
05-20 16:52:17	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0xcabd95…
05-20 16:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x6004fa…
05-20 16:52:05	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x04d955…
05-20 16:51:56	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x500524…
05-20 16:50:50	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	74	41¢	$30	0x395c8a…
05-20 16:50:34	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9059af…
05-20 16:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x675bbf…
05-20 16:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x66bad4…
05-20 16:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x314d02…
05-20 16:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x4242a4…
05-20 16:45:52	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x079ee4…
05-20 16:43:27	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xd9434c…
05-20 16:43:17	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x2afb7a…
05-20 16:42:17	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x4c24b6…
05-20 16:42:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x784e5c…
05-20 16:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xac902f…
05-20 16:38:33	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x0cd989…
05-20 16:38:31	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x91828f…
05-20 16:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xf1846d…
05-20 16:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xabd922…
05-20 16:36:06	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xe6b1ee…
05-20 16:35:45	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x815260…
05-20 16:33:36	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x8a1816…
05-20 16:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x7b42a0…
05-20 16:31:45	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa2b9df…
05-20 16:31:42	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6f54aa…
05-20 16:31:12	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4b6a2d…
05-20 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x46b7f3…
05-20 16:27:04	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x909a20…
05-20 16:26:32	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xb5f1e0…
05-20 16:25:38	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x071a2e…
05-20 16:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xada609…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	580	$64.0K	29,378	06-08 14:49
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	568	$103.2K	10,944	05-21 01:34
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	546	$32.3K	4,017	06-08 14:49
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	469	$34.1K	2,711	06-08 14:49
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	463	$8.55K	997	05-15 04:13
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	459	$69.8K	8,681	06-08 14:47
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	439	$52.2K	12,469	06-08 14:49
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	428	$26.4K	8,365	06-08 14:49