Chilly-Patriarch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.19K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

355

Trades

5,602

lifetime

Volume

$72.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 10-01 23:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 46% +$7,038

Other

2% 96% +$190

Sports

0% 86% -$2

Politics

0% 0% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	132	$1.8K	3,386	+3,386	Up	-$620	05-08 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	40	$1.4K	1,979	+1,979	Up	+$529	05-06 07:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	21	$1.4K	2,761	+2,761	Down	-$1,408	05-08 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	73	$1.2K	2,857	+2,857	Down	-$1,158	05-14 05:03
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	3	$1.2K	1,343	+1,343	Yes	+$187	09-23 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	55	$1.1K	2,039	+2,039	Up	+$978	05-16 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	75	$1.0K	2,006	+2,006	Up	+$983	05-10 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	102	$1.0K	2,788	+2,788	Up	-$1,004	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	37	$983	2,340	+2,340	Down	+$1,356	05-16 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	28	$961	1,940	+1,940	Down	+$979	05-15 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	36	$944	1,806	+1,806	Down	-$944	05-10 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	87	$893	2,123	+2,123	Down	-$893	05-15 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	30	$887	2,000	+2,000	Up	-$887	05-08 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	36	$838	1,492	+1,492	Up	+$654	05-02 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	38	$828	1,169	+1,169	Up	+$341	05-06 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	71	$824	1,691	+1,691	Up	-$824	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	50	$819	1,671	+1,671	Up	+$474	05-10 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	37	$801	1,728	+1,728	Down	-$801	05-17 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	61	$782	1,616	+1,616	Up	+$833	05-02 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	53	$731	1,788	+1,788	Down	+$286	05-07 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	48	$718	1,313	+1,313	Up	+$595	05-06 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	42	$714	1,590	+1,590	Up	+$876	05-09 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	47	$677	1,662	+1,662	Up	-$372	05-07 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	96	$666	2,500	+2,500	Up	+$1,834	05-08 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	69	$651	1,860	+1,860	Down	-$651	05-14 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	38	$649	1,239	+1,239	Up	+$591	05-16 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	35	$641	1,021	+1,021	Down	+$380	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	23	$617	1,230	+1,230	Up	+$613	05-16 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	54	$614	1,602	+1,602	Down	-$614	05-14 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	113	$603	1,671	+1,671	Down	+$1,068	05-05 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 23:07:18	israel military action against lebanon on october 4	No	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xc24133…
10-01 22:46:50	israel military action against lebanon on october 10	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xf38309…
10-01 22:44:59	israel military action against lebanon on october 16	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x69560a…
10-01 22:42:51	israel military action against lebanon on october 4	No	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x3e735e…
10-01 22:42:33	israel military action against lebanon on october 7	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x73a93b…
10-01 22:42:24	israel military action against lebanon on october 7	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xbc1253…
10-01 22:20:09	israel military action against lebanon on october 5	No	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xcbad7a…
10-01 22:19:48	israel military action against lebanon on october 13	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1bc3a5…
10-01 22:19:29	israel military action against lebanon on october 21	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xf96320…
10-01 22:19:23	israel military action against lebanon on october 24	No	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x0f9ae9…
10-01 22:19:14	israel military action against lebanon on october 30	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xa3d6b2…
10-01 22:19:02	israel military action against lebanon on october 31	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x22eae4…
10-01 22:18:39	israel military action against lebanon on october 20	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb3da75…
10-01 22:18:26	israel military action against lebanon on october 21	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xff8da9…
09-23 18:31:43	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	Yes	BUY	1,222	86¢	$1,051	0xccb2bc…
09-23 18:30:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcca0d5…
09-23 17:32:04	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?	Yes	BUY	120	87¢	$104	0x78de57…
07-01 00:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa988ad…
07-01 00:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x855659…
07-01 00:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e1894…
06-30 23:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56d9b8…
06-30 23:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaa5f3a…
06-30 23:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x8bdf6f…
06-30 23:52:34	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfe1d21…
06-30 23:52:34	Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9db8b…
06-30 23:52:34	Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd35e35…
06-30 23:52:34	Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb59fd…
06-30 23:52:34	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8dfdb…
06-30 23:52:34	Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x60d497…
06-30 23:52:34	Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33a58f…
06-30 23:38:40	Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb89f31…
06-30 23:38:40	Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb670cb…
06-30 23:38:40	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98de44…
06-30 23:38:40	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8d6bc8…
06-30 23:38:40	Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71c0f3…
06-30 23:38:40	Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x679172…
06-30 23:38:40	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x383d6f…
06-30 23:38:40	Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x03e4fa…
06-30 23:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb1fa68…
06-30 23:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5c0fd1…
06-30 23:19:53	Will Paul Skenes strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xfe5e74…
06-30 23:19:53	Will Kevin Gausman strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xedcc45…
06-30 23:19:53	Will José Soriano strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb20dde…
06-30 23:19:53	Will Hunter Greene strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86d9d2…
06-30 23:19:53	Will Hunter Brown strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42a00d…
06-30 23:19:53	Will Jacob Misiorowski strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x2f308f…
06-30 23:19:53	Will Cam Schlittler strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x00df0a…
06-30 23:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x31aeb6…
06-30 23:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x316d46…
06-30 23:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0b3bf…
06-30 23:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x604870…
06-30 22:51:23	Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc84f9a…
06-30 22:51:23	Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fed7e…
06-30 22:51:23	Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x940ab1…
06-30 22:51:23	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8d18fe…
06-30 22:51:23	Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7479ce…
06-30 22:51:23	Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x720e05…
06-30 22:51:23	Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2687b7…
06-30 22:51:23	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cc9ee…
06-30 22:51:19	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xfb45fc…
06-30 22:49:14	Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa38ceb…
06-30 22:49:14	Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x942438…
06-30 22:49:14	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x74b12d…
06-30 22:49:14	Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55ae72…
06-30 22:49:14	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x127766…
06-30 22:49:13	Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd44c87…
06-30 22:49:13	Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x53ec32…
06-30 22:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbd9049…
06-30 22:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59607b…
06-30 22:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52d7bf…
06-30 22:35:23	Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa27c93…
06-30 22:35:23	Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x87c605…
06-30 22:35:23	Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65b861…
06-30 22:35:23	Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x46a703…
06-30 22:35:23	Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x270c71…
06-30 22:35:22	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc150c5…
05-19 03:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0x75f9cf…
05-19 03:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0x5a1e65…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$6	0xebce3d…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xeaf024…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xe37ce3…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xbfb345…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x8d9a7d…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x743609…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x326215…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1f633d…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x10b65e…
05-17 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x081ac7…
05-17 03:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	66	51¢	$34	0xa4d44b…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xc02b06…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x692a80…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	76	51¢	$39	0x68f34b…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x62742b…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x4e0593…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x460075…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x407714…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x3674dc…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x359853…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x32f5c2…
05-17 03:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0830f4…