Mammoth-Waterspout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-05 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-27

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 2250 on april 19	8	$47	76	0	+76	open	—	04-19 22:27
Will Solana reach $90 in April?	6	$37	55	32	+23	open	—	04-15 06:23
ethereum above 2000 on april 10	6	$27	2,637	2,448	+188	open	—	04-10 09:02
will solana reach 85 on april 10	5	$25	48	0	+48	open	—	04-10 05:43
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	5	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-10 19:24
will ethereum reach 2300 april 6 12	5	$24	37	10	+26	open	—	04-10 19:15
xrp up or down on april 10 2026	4	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-10 05:37
ethereum up or down on april 10 2026	4	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	04-10 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 08:02
sol updown 5m 1775784300	20	$20	248	0	+248	open	—	04-10 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$19	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 08:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$19	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$19	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 05:32
will the price of solana be between 80 90 on april 13	4	$19	22	21	+1	open	—	04-09 21:27
Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?	3	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	04-20 18:22
will ethereum dip to 2150 on april 12	3	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	04-12 18:58
ethereum up or down on april 12 2026	3	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	04-12 07:21
will ethereum dip to 2000 april 6 12	3	$15	10	5	+5	open	—	04-10 09:02
eth updown 5m 1775778300	14	$14	305	0	+305	open	—	04-09 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$14	28	0	+28	open	—	05-04 07:02
solana up or down on april 10 2026	3	$13	23	0	+23	open	—	04-10 05:28
will ethereum reach 2350 on april 21	2	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 19:33
ethereum up or down on april 16 2026	2	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	04-16 06:38
will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on april 17	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-17 00:13
will ethereum dip to 2200 on april 19	2	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	04-19 22:25
solana up or down on april 20 2026	2	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	04-20 06:48
solana above 80 on april 20	2	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-19 22:23
will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 13	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-13 13:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 14:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe4b4b9…
05-05 14:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x0bdede…
05-05 14:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x9fb25e…
05-05 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x7cad21…
05-05 14:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x01a6c6…
05-05 14:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x2c7482…
05-05 14:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xf2fd17…
05-05 14:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x90ec74…
05-05 14:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5d6727…
05-05 14:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x74dad4…
05-05 14:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x89776b…
05-05 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x871aa5…
05-05 13:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd57891…
05-05 13:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x2a1cc6…
05-05 13:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xadf826…
05-05 13:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x76a4b9…
05-05 13:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x1138d7…
05-05 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x1b0d99…
05-05 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x82a1ad…
05-05 13:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x9cfe9f…
05-05 13:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x0cb1a2…
05-05 13:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x93fafd…
05-05 12:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xac1cbf…
05-05 12:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x98706f…
05-05 09:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5fae46…
05-05 09:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x2cc56c…
05-05 08:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x7f267a…
05-05 08:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa5aa9c…
05-05 07:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcd13ce…
05-05 07:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xf9c7aa…
05-05 07:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5d8f62…
05-05 07:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x4e9690…
05-05 07:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xedb885…
05-05 06:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xaf03a0…
05-05 06:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x27d8dc…
05-05 06:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xbf31ee…
05-05 06:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x48edcb…
05-05 06:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xff9e8f…
05-05 05:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdf4ea4…
05-05 05:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xb7b2b2…
05-05 05:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5d4ee6…
05-05 05:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xac478f…
05-05 05:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa44187…
05-05 05:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xafd0ab…
05-05 05:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb660c7…
05-05 05:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf079ff…
05-05 05:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5146bb…
05-05 04:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xfe7342…
05-05 04:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x57ee02…
05-05 04:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x125b57…
05-05 04:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9e5779…
05-05 04:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf2efc4…
05-05 04:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x598094…
05-05 04:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xe7f300…
05-05 03:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2faac8…
05-05 03:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x665408…
05-05 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xa59536…
05-05 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xa17d33…
05-05 03:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x00b36c…
05-05 03:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x587dfd…
05-05 03:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x54d153…
05-05 03:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf2d619…
05-05 03:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x42eff1…
05-05 03:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xa5ea7c…
05-05 02:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xae3687…
05-05 02:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe6b73c…
05-05 02:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x820e02…
05-05 02:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5783ee…
05-05 01:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x21746c…
05-05 01:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdfd664…
05-05 01:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3020c6…
05-05 01:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5dc48c…
05-05 00:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xac5aa5…
05-05 00:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xae8bcc…
05-05 00:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa9c96a…
05-05 00:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x48004e…
05-05 00:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x13eff9…
05-05 00:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa82b7e…
05-05 00:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x2ac60b…
05-05 00:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6fd411…
05-04 22:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd39a14…
05-04 22:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x211ac0…
05-04 22:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc1b05c…
05-04 22:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc22dce…
05-04 21:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xbe203f…
05-04 21:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3b7b06…
05-04 20:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x252d49…
05-04 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x0cb763…
05-04 19:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa2f940…
05-04 19:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x5b82ce…
05-04 19:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xfeb19b…
05-04 19:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0f7643…
05-04 19:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x683cf2…
05-04 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xd386a3…
05-04 18:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf5b199…
05-04 18:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x30c0bf…
05-04 18:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2accb1…
05-04 17:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd30d56…
05-04 17:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x370e53…
05-04 17:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2a697a…