Inferior-Light — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

7.8%

Resolved

Trades

542

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-01 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

82% 20% $-40

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 13 19	21	$227	237	240	-4	open	—	01-17 18:39
tpg quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 09 2026 0pt68	17	$215	740	830	-90	open	—	02-05 17:36
rddt quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 0pt93	34	$200	1,155	1,277	-122	open	—	02-05 20:18
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	17	$167	263	305	-42	open	—	01-28 16:12
uber quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 0pt79	6	$159	104	150	-46	open	—	02-01 15:03
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	6	$111	97	97	+0	open	—	02-11 11:13
dash quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 18 2026 0pt58	8	$105	300	300	+0	open	—	02-18 13:24
googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 2pt64	13	$104	1,687	1,687	+0	open	—	02-02 11:52
eb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 26 2026 neg0pt01	12	$93	250	250	+0	open	—	03-03 04:54
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	5	$89	500	500	+0	open	—	05-20 10:22
bk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt99	12	$85	500	500	+0	open	—	01-11 04:26
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	27	$85	3,000	1,909	+1,091	open	—	04-12 09:52
uhalb quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 04 2026 neg0pt04	5	$67	83	79	+4	open	—	01-25 04:01
rivn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 12 2026 neg0pt8	10	$61	90	60	+30	open	—	02-12 18:24
sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt58	11	$60	124	86	+38	open	—	01-27 20:45
mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 3pt04	3	$60	98	98	+0	open	—	02-09 07:35
tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 0pt19	2	$54	100	100	+0	open	—	02-25 08:27
bynd quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt08	6	$52	54	56	-2	open	—	03-28 21:47
hum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 11 2026 neg3pt99	3	$52	37	37	+0	open	—	02-11 11:20
aal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 22 2026 0pt4	5	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	01-26 08:49
lly quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 04 2026 7pt06	3	$49	60	60	+0	open	—	01-25 03:57
bp quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 10 2026 0pt61	4	$46	210	0	+210	open	—	02-10 07:00
mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 03 2026 2pt98	3	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	01-31 08:33
lmt quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 6pt2	6	$45	100	54	+46	open	—	01-24 20:32
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$38	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-11 09:46
ionq quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 25 2026 neg0pt47	6	$37	90	50	+40	open	—	02-25 20:31
mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt34	2	$36	100	100	+0	open	—	01-11 04:27
de quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 19 2026 2pt1	9	$36	60	20	+40	open	—	02-19 03:02
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	4	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	03-29 11:53
app quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 11 2026 2pt95	7	$33	216	116	+100	open	—	02-11 11:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 20:42:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x1e1b58…
05-30 15:50:07	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x48aac3…
05-20 10:22:06	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	16	16¢	$3	0x567578…
05-20 08:05:24	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	350	12¢	$42	0xac089e…
05-20 04:39:41	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xcf0c67…
05-20 04:02:45	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	SELL	84	10¢	$8	0x06bfc5…
05-19 18:17:26	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0x574ba0…
05-14 11:45:37	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0a7b51…
05-13 12:01:53	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x9a2c72…
05-13 08:27:55	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5dcf9f…
05-13 07:47:05	Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4b9a6b…
05-08 04:40:01	Will "King" or "Queen" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7a161f…
05-08 04:38:58	Will "Regulatory" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8e1b0d…
05-07 15:07:23	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$6	0x91dc7f…
05-07 13:28:27	Will Opendoor (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x8205e5…
05-07 13:28:09	Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x7bc7d5…
05-07 07:13:18	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x39cd35…
05-07 04:06:36	Will Hertz (HTZ) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x0be159…
05-06 19:11:29	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0x262fc0…
05-06 18:48:44	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x2268c7…
05-06 13:22:42	Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$9	0x5abdc6…
05-04 02:54:42	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5b6c8c…
05-03 08:40:40	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x79f534…
05-03 06:25:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3bdf30…
05-03 03:51:18	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x4a4125…
05-03 03:48:10	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	55	12¢	$7	0x2b669a…
04-30 01:48:06	Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xcfc1dc…
04-30 01:45:14	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0xb08eb6…
04-30 01:44:10	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x815711…
04-25 11:33:06	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x336189…
04-25 11:06:34	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x16f7c8…
04-25 10:58:12	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xaa5b2b…
04-25 10:57:14	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf4635e…
04-25 10:32:04	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x259be7…
04-25 10:32:04	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x188578…
04-25 09:29:26	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x56ef51…
04-25 09:24:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xcf1e79…
04-25 09:19:00	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2c9c9e…
04-25 09:00:18	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xe55723…
04-25 08:55:30	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xecf735…
04-25 08:55:28	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x01ca38…
04-25 08:55:16	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xc5031a…
04-25 08:54:22	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0xe01eba…
04-25 08:53:56	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x442a92…
04-25 08:30:12	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x10f468…
04-25 08:23:28	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc14b4a…
04-25 06:56:34	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0xcbffc0…
04-25 06:56:34	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xbd7976…
04-25 06:56:34	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x30f6e7…
04-25 06:56:30	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3165e2…
04-25 06:56:30	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x2cb9a9…
04-25 06:56:30	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0e8bb8…
04-25 06:53:34	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xf57747…
04-25 05:46:00	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x6881fd…
04-24 18:33:08	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x47261c…
04-24 18:31:58	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb256d4…
04-24 05:14:38	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	320	1¢	$4	0x431ec0…
04-21 00:26:06	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xcfac7c…
04-21 00:26:06	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x07d763…
04-20 23:50:10	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xbced7e…
04-20 23:47:58	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe2b24d…
04-20 23:47:56	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd229bf…
04-20 23:47:56	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x25fca5…
04-20 23:44:32	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0x507618…
04-20 23:44:28	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xd8c09b…
04-20 23:44:24	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$0	0xbc4403…
04-20 23:44:22	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x41ff85…
04-20 19:16:10	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x62f00c…
04-20 18:35:42	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xcb587b…
04-20 18:35:32	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x294ee9…
04-16 17:13:30	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfaabdc…
04-16 09:28:46	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	No	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xab7abc…
04-16 09:26:40	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	No	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x733a6d…
04-15 12:38:24	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	185	2¢	$3	0xd70539…
04-15 11:58:28	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa812e2…
04-15 11:58:20	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe9aaa8…
04-15 11:58:08	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc1dbb7…
04-15 11:58:00	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb0995b…
04-15 04:24:04	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x291551…
04-15 03:03:48	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x3f5a55…
04-15 01:31:44	nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	No	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0xefb4f6…
04-14 20:49:08	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	295	2¢	$5	0xe631ee…
04-12 15:43:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x08f597…
04-12 12:20:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x7a7a5e…
04-12 09:52:13	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	127	4¢	$5	0x379a18…
04-10 11:36:53	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$1	0x5e8afd…
04-08 14:55:47	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd12dc3…
04-08 10:04:09	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	351	4¢	$13	0x0a2a39…
04-07 02:32:37	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x9d4188…
04-06 19:37:09	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x3fe963…
04-02 04:45:19	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xf42315…
04-01 13:36:43	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0xf0fb3c…
04-01 00:58:43	Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x9322c0…
04-01 00:38:53	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x3fe59b…
04-01 00:35:47	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x34f234…
04-01 00:32:53	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	67	4¢	$3	0x11e5f0…
03-31 21:43:29	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$2	0x5226f3…
03-31 21:40:37	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$2	0x09cee6…
03-31 21:37:43	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x7839c2…
03-31 21:34:47	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x50b4bc…