Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 04-12 09:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% -$2

Other

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 67% -$12

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	27	$3.1K	1,484	1,633	-149	No	-$2	01-23 12:25
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	7	$565	286	286	+0	No	+$0	01-31 10:46
Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	15	$14	1,290	61	+1,229	No	-$12	02-03 11:32
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$3	32	32	+0	No	+$0	01-27 08:33
will mrbeast hit 500 million subscribers by january 31 433 563 486 639	3	$2	500	500	+0	No	+$0	01-30 19:04
will melania opening weekend box office be between 2pt5m and 3m	2	$2	50	50	+0	No	+$0	01-29 00:30
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$2	250	250	+0	No	+$0	03-11 21:01
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$2	250	250	+0	No	+$0	04-12 09:47
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by january 31	2	$2	250	250	+0	No	+$0	01-28 20:11
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$2	25	25	+0	No	+$0	01-27 22:55
Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$2	73	73	+0	No	+$0	01-27 15:43
will safaera be played first at the super bowl halftime show	2	$2	28	28	+0	No	+$0	02-03 00:07
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in january 2026	2	$2	34	34	+0	No	+$0	02-01 02:26
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	2	$2	34	34	+0	No	+$0	01-27 03:01
will elio win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	3	$2	100	93	+7	No	+$0	02-15 12:11
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$2	30	30	-0	No	+$0	01-27 06:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-12 09:47:05	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xe8341b…
03-11 21:01:11	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x6da5fe…
02-15 12:11:19	will elio win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	52	1¢	$1	0x509998…
02-03 11:32:50	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	48	1¢	$1	0x9c2d03…
02-03 00:07:48	will safaera be played first at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x7e7f10…
02-01 02:26:00	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xd7eb7e…
01-31 10:46:46	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x198cb7…
01-30 19:04:46	will mrbeast hit 500 million subscribers by january 31 433 563 486 639	Yes	SELL	368	0¢	$1	0x3abffe…
01-29 20:44:28	will elio win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xbce175…
01-29 17:32:52	will mrbeast hit 500 million subscribers by january 31 433 563 486 639	Yes	SELL	132	0¢	$0	0xe7ae49…
01-29 12:27:02	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x993171…
01-29 09:20:06	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x99701d…
01-29 09:19:46	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x022c00…
01-29 09:19:28	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x5fc5cd…
01-29 09:19:10	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x41e646…
01-29 09:18:48	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe16f13…
01-29 09:18:30	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ea7f4…
01-29 09:18:14	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1bd48c…
01-29 09:17:56	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x1e992f…
01-29 09:17:32	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1b31a6…
01-29 09:16:10	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdffbc7…
01-29 09:15:08	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x52f427…
01-29 02:13:28	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x5bc9c9…
01-29 00:30:30	will melania opening weekend box office be between 2pt5m and 3m	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xeca84e…
01-28 20:11:18	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by january 31	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0xdc724b…
01-28 10:57:45	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x572f5d…
01-28 10:56:25	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x952732…
01-28 10:53:41	will mrbeast hit 500 million subscribers by january 31 433 563 486 639	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcfefff…
01-28 10:50:41	will elio win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x40fec2…
01-28 10:46:51	will melania opening weekend box office be between 2pt5m and 3m	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5b50b5…
01-28 10:43:01	will safaera be played first at the super bowl halftime show	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x7bb5fa…
01-28 10:41:33	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in january 2026	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x9bfd3b…
01-28 10:31:25	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by january 31	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x5ed6c1…
01-27 22:55:11	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xf5d2c5…
01-27 15:43:25	Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$1	0x0df84d…
01-27 08:33:35	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xf080c2…
01-27 06:36:33	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x3f4e34…
01-27 06:28:53	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x261897…
01-27 03:01:23	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xd09cf7…
01-27 02:40:59	Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x52f430…
01-27 02:38:55	Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x00c1f5…
01-27 02:34:45	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xb32bcd…
01-27 02:31:55	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdbff1d…
01-27 02:23:51	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf4b830…
01-26 02:02:34	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x68b7cf…
01-25 18:51:40	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x1a71d8…
01-25 18:36:44	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0xe787de…
01-25 03:47:44	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$135	0x1f01b8…
01-25 03:46:42	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5af95b…
01-25 03:45:40	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0xbc081b…
01-25 03:45:14	Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0xa6683e…
01-23 12:25:14	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x7f0ba3…
01-23 12:24:40	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0xeb59fc…
01-23 12:24:04	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0x099b55…
01-23 12:22:06	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0xf21b09…
01-23 12:21:46	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0x5d2c45…
01-23 12:21:18	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0xa987c6…
01-23 12:18:28	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0x4e7a11…
01-23 12:18:16	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xd9ae36…
01-23 12:14:56	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xfb00b4…
01-23 12:10:54	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x8baf6f…
01-23 12:10:14	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0x7a751c…
01-23 12:06:12	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x203f2f…
01-23 12:04:04	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0x25434a…
01-23 12:00:06	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0xc4e603…
01-23 11:59:24	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xbf3576…
01-23 11:54:56	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0xdd2983…
01-23 11:54:14	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xddfce4…
01-23 11:50:52	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0x660ab4…
01-23 11:49:48	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0xf14c06…
01-23 11:41:30	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x08f07a…
01-23 11:40:58	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0xbf8c98…
01-23 10:43:46	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0xff2fdf…
01-23 10:35:28	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc99d11…
01-23 10:35:10	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0xba5526…
01-23 10:33:06	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0x6618c4…
01-23 09:25:16	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xa149b2…
01-23 09:23:38	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$146	0xe20ce3…