Visible-Pony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$116

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,051

lifetime

Volume

$150.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-29 21:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

36% 100% +$120

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% 33% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+16	$15	100¢	$16	+$1	06-19 08:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	79	$5.5K	3,623	1,963	+1,660	open	—	03-07 11:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	14	$5.2K	3,710	2,000	+1,710	open	—	05-13 19:09
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by May 31?	15	$4.4K	3,439	1,000	+2,439	open	—	05-03 08:18
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?	31	$4.3K	7,405	300	+7,105	open	—	05-27 13:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$3.6K	3,000	2,250	+750	open	—	04-03 16:13
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	1	$3.5K	3,571	0	+3,571	open	—	06-19 20:56
fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total home 2pt5	3	$3.2K	3,000	240	+2,760	open	—	06-18 18:05
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	48	$3.1K	2,961	1,927	+1,034	open	—	03-14 08:34
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?	23	$3.0K	3,098	0	+3,098	open	—	05-01 23:27
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 6pt5	1	$3.0K	3,030	0	+3,030	open	—	06-23 18:54
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	14	$2.9K	1,575	1,575	+0	open	—	06-24 22:56
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	22	$2.8K	3,163	350	+2,813	open	—	05-28 20:01
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts first half	19	$2.6K	2,835	828	+2,007	open	—	06-22 17:49
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	3	$2.4K	2,421	0	+2,421	open	—	06-28 20:51
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325081	4	$2.3K	2,373	0	+2,373	open	—	06-29 19:24
iran closes its airspace by july 31	4	$2.3K	1,229	1,229	+0	open	—	06-07 21:28
fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	4	$2.1K	2,391	0	+2,391	open	—	06-28 20:53
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 0pt5	10	$2.1K	2,350	0	+2,350	open	—	06-23 21:30
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 4pt5	9	$2.1K	2,506	0	+2,506	open	—	06-24 23:27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	6	$2.1K	1,594	1,030	+564	open	—	04-27 15:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	18	$1.9K	2,000	1,900	+100	open	—	05-11 01:52
iran closes its airspace by june 15	6	$1.8K	2,175	0	+2,175	open	—	06-07 20:49
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	1	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-23 18:12
iran closes its airspace by june 22	6	$1.7K	961	961	+0	open	—	06-07 21:38
iran closes its airspace by june 8	5	$1.7K	1,129	1,000	+129	open	—	06-11 17:59
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 1pt5	10	$1.7K	1,764	0	+1,764	open	—	06-22 21:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	11	$1.6K	766	882	-116	open	—	04-29 09:05
Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by April 30?	10	$1.5K	1,646	0	+1,646	open	—	04-30 20:31
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	2	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-24 22:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	10	$1.5K	764	764	+0	open	—	05-01 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 21:52:49	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x987546…
06-29 21:50:01	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0x4355ac…
06-29 21:21:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x98f5c6…
06-29 21:18:46	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 btts first half	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0d2eaf…
06-29 21:09:49	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x6a50dc…
06-29 21:08:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xd2576c…
06-29 21:04:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xf17584…
06-29 21:03:46	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4e6487…
06-29 21:03:32	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x0c2f48…
06-29 21:02:25	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xf9e3c0…
06-29 21:01:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x193e9e…
06-29 21:01:47	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x70e67d…
06-29 20:59:04	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x4ff6fe…
06-29 20:54:29	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5c9f2e…
06-29 20:52:19	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0xc60dad…
06-29 20:51:04	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	92	91¢	$84	0x49827c…
06-29 20:50:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x400752…
06-29 20:49:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xa7b575…
06-29 20:49:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x52fdc4…
06-29 20:49:23	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x806c68…
06-29 20:21:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xbd13c2…
06-29 19:51:11	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 extra time	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x3c88a9…
06-29 19:24:16	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325081	Yes	BUY	1,960	99¢	$1,940	0x7d68b8…
06-29 19:23:50	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325081	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x4cbb0d…
06-29 18:56:50	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Japan	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x49d372…
06-29 18:25:02	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x614c5f…
06-29 17:46:52	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x456722…
06-29 17:46:41	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	80¢	$16	0x32f975…
06-29 17:46:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0x2781fa…
06-29 17:45:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5f3f9b…
06-29 17:45:19	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	110	80¢	$88	0xae921b…
06-29 17:40:08	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	184	50¢	$92	0x998ae5…
06-29 17:40:02	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcff091…
06-29 17:39:59	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdeda92…
06-29 17:34:07	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0x95ee51…
06-29 17:31:11	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0xf161a8…
06-29 17:31:11	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x9990b8…
06-29 17:31:11	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x4c9d32…
06-29 17:31:10	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x5a450c…
06-29 17:29:31	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x228ebc…
06-29 17:29:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 corners first half total 5pt5	Over	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc6dd82…
06-29 17:28:34	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 corners first half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3c9c36…
06-29 17:23:55	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts first half	No	BUY	500	95¢	$475	0x5aac92…
06-29 00:00:28	world cup goals h2h mbappe vspt kane 20260604010452299	Mbappe	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x8e3db7…
06-28 21:50:56	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xf80a5d…
06-28 21:42:37	world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x5c9851…
06-28 20:55:43	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9d9a09…
06-28 20:53:58	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x983cbc…
06-28 20:53:31	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xcfcaf7…
06-28 20:52:49	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	515	97¢	$500	0xf9ac17…
06-28 20:52:37	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	Canada	BUY	408	98¢	$400	0xda59c0…
06-28 20:51:05	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	308	99¢	$306	0x324b4a…
06-28 20:51:04	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x84acff…
06-28 20:51:04	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	2,110	99¢	$2,097	0x278361…
06-28 20:21:44	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	43	89¢	$38	0x8ebb20…
06-28 20:21:44	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	No	BUY	2,093	89¢	$1,863	0x292582…
06-28 20:15:52	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x493058…
06-28 18:11:34	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325081	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb55577…
06-28 18:10:49	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by july 31 20260626150325081	Yes	BUY	358	98¢	$350	0x760ce2…
06-28 01:08:13	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x780b1c…
06-27 23:31:22	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x4cfc6d…
06-27 23:29:08	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	172	96¢	$166	0x7fdfb9…
06-27 23:28:59	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	250	85¢	$212	0x6540cf…
06-27 23:27:38	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0x0c3356…
06-27 23:26:20	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	250	96¢	$240	0x245037…
06-27 23:26:01	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x9e07b5…
06-27 23:24:17	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 goals cristiano ronaldo gte1	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x1223c3…
06-27 23:23:25	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x6f5637…
06-27 22:51:05	world cup scoreless team 20260607162032311	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xa4edf3…
06-27 22:25:40	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0xf87c35…
06-27 22:07:29	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xfab3f0…
06-27 21:46:04	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	254	70¢	$178	0x94cf3d…
06-27 21:45:38	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xbae7f9…
06-27 21:45:28	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	170	70¢	$119	0x73a613…
06-27 21:41:47	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x55e445…
06-27 21:41:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x711f71…
06-27 21:41:29	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x717381…
06-27 21:41:28	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x7f2b80…
06-27 21:33:22	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x7e4a2b…
06-27 20:55:41	world cup scoreless team 20260607162032311	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xae631d…
06-27 20:53:44	world cup scoreless team 20260607162032311	Yes	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0xf5d47c…
06-27 20:34:10	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x59e05a…
06-27 20:19:47	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xde4d7d…
06-27 20:14:23	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x7f3391…
06-27 20:14:23	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1d7b0b…
06-27 20:13:52	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x556641…
06-27 20:13:38	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xc037a3…
06-26 22:00:28	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x914206…
06-26 21:58:34	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x8a6212…
06-26 20:50:34	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbf30cc…
06-26 20:25:07	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x2f2bbc…
06-26 20:14:29	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1,164	86¢	$1,000	0xdd1d6c…
06-26 15:10:10	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	82	97¢	$79	0xecc153…
06-26 15:10:01	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0xa13eea…
06-26 15:10:01	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	618	97¢	$598	0x249c64…
06-26 15:09:44	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x995612…
06-26 15:08:46	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 btts	Yes	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0xda7c6f…
06-25 20:48:14	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x6de5df…
06-25 20:36:53	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x298f16…
06-25 20:34:56	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	1,026	90¢	$924	0x395445…