Embarrassed-Scarification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$642

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

53.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-06 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

53% 56% +$18

Politics

47% 25% -$660

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes		+2,179	$19	0¢	$3	-$15	07-06 02:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$417	474	474	+0	Yes	+$57	06-12 13:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$299	1,132	863	+269	Yes	-$179	06-14 23:47
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	4	$240	238	238	+0	open	—	06-30 16:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$237	169	169	+0	No	+$37	06-01 21:27
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$231	204	204	+0	Yes	+$31	05-17 05:09
starmer out by august 31 2026	2	$204	163	163	+0	Yes	+$4	06-17 16:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$200	345	345	+0	No	$0	03-24 22:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$160	966	0	+966	Yes	-$160	06-15 00:05
will andr ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$131	0	320	-320	Yes	-$189	01-04 18:50
will tisza win at least 100 seats	2	$122	73	73	+0	Yes	+$22	04-12 22:05
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	1	$119	0	147	-147	No	-$28	05-02 03:59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$102	192	192	+0	No	+$2	04-06 11:02
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$100	384	0	+384	Yes	-$100	04-15 15:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	303	0	+303	Yes	-$100	06-11 12:33
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	5	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	05-08 14:31
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$50	61	0	+61	Yes	+$11	03-29 02:07
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$41	0	41	-41	Yes	$0	06-03 04:11
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$31	2,362	182	+2,179	open	—	07-06 02:19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	1	$30	79	0	+79	No	-$30	05-30 15:33
ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 draw	1	$20	83	0	+83	No	-$20	01-11 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 02:19:02	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	3¢	$6	0x2813e0…
06-30 16:57:53	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x58953d…
06-25 09:51:31	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	Yes	SELL	215	57¢	$123	0x7d4461…
06-17 16:14:19	starmer out by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	163	64¢	$104	0x08d2f7…
06-15 00:05:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	613	16¢	$100	0xbc0139…
06-14 23:48:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	353	17¢	$60	0xdc2527…
06-14 23:47:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	863	7¢	$60	0x9017f1…
06-14 23:44:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	862	8¢	$69	0x7f4a7d…
06-12 15:18:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	270	63¢	$170	0x4dbfe6…
06-12 13:54:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	474	50¢	$237	0x4f823f…
06-11 13:11:57	starmer out by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0x11b622…
06-11 12:33:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xb51d49…
06-09 00:06:40	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x52c06a…
06-09 00:01:04	Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x0ce720…
06-03 04:11:15	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x6172e8…
06-01 21:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	169	81¢	$137	0xa7bf6b…
05-30 15:33:41	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xc4cf2e…
05-27 18:11:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x2a96a1…
05-17 05:09:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	64¢	$131	0x0345bb…
05-12 16:49:53	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xc945bc…
05-08 14:31:46	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xddb677…
05-08 14:12:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	474	38¢	$180	0xa6e0f7…
05-03 19:10:40	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	43¢	$34	0xbddb66…
05-02 03:59:06	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	147	81¢	$119	0xc48d80…
04-30 06:27:48	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x72553e…
04-30 06:22:50	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x77abc3…
04-29 00:03:16	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf6d222…
04-28 20:38:36	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,362	1¢	$25	0x3bf955…
04-15 15:21:38	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	384	26¢	$100	0xd995ca…
04-12 22:05:51	will tisza win at least 100 seats	Yes	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x4c1af0…
04-06 11:02:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	192	27¢	$52	0x36a587…
04-02 22:06:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x08bd4f…
03-29 02:08:44	will tisza win at least 100 seats	Yes	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0xb15d0e…
03-29 02:07:28	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x0e7d94…
03-24 22:59:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	345	29¢	$100	0xece591…
03-24 02:48:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x9c0d2d…
01-11 18:59:26	ssc fcb rmc 2026 01 11 draw	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x74ba6d…
01-04 18:50:29	will andr ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	SELL	320	41¢	$131	0x43daa9…