Accurate-Thinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

292

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$6.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 230 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% +$9

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-31 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 30?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-30 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-29 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 28?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-28 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-27 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-26 09:47
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 25?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-25 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-22 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-20 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-19 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-18 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-17 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-16 14:28
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-15 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-14 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-13 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-12 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-11 09:19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-08 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-07 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	10-06 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 5?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-05 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-03 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 2?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-02 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 1?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-01 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-30 14:24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	09-30 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-28 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	09-27 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-26 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 16:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x39e9b9…
10-30 15:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd13a08…
10-29 09:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb6d268…
10-28 08:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0e49aa…
10-27 10:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb78762…
10-26 09:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3c5275…
10-25 06:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 25?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbad149…
10-22 10:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 22?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5a81cb…
10-20 08:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6b8f63…
10-19 09:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 19?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6f14b1…
10-18 10:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa72b6f…
10-17 15:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xef9965…
10-16 14:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x778ad3…
10-15 14:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xbb7999…
10-14 10:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdb9413…
10-13 11:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0609ff…
10-12 12:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf59093…
10-11 09:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2947e2…
10-08 12:35:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x03dc48…
10-07 16:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x978223…
10-06 15:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x55e9bf…
10-05 09:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x631588…
10-03 09:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7e7b7c…
10-02 14:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on October 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x68bdb5…
10-01 09:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa34e1f…
09-30 14:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xaff732…
09-30 03:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb1a5bb…
09-28 10:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0b328f…
09-27 09:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x38676d…
09-26 01:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0db2bf…
09-24 09:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x719e14…
09-23 10:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6e282a…
09-22 09:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe5dd8d…
09-21 13:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 21?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1c3385…
09-20 06:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0287b1…
09-19 09:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4d32bc…
09-18 07:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x35a3b1…
09-17 04:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x525747…
09-16 09:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xe05855…
09-15 10:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xaa4214…
09-14 09:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x507c1a…
09-13 04:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6429e1…
09-11 09:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x62032f…
09-10 09:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x68220c…
09-09 08:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5b2994…
09-08 08:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x948f0b…
09-07 08:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x55ea97…
09-06 11:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x39ccdf…
09-05 06:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x3184ec…
09-04 01:05:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa00957…
09-02 08:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa7d442…
08-30 14:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf4a3ba…
08-29 10:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6a02d1…
08-28 09:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4826d0…
08-27 09:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x74e039…
08-26 08:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x135ceb…
08-25 09:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfeafaa…
08-24 15:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x37c754…
08-24 01:19:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 23?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbb8368…
08-22 09:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 22?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x58f7e2…
08-21 08:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x30e674…
08-20 09:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x292edc…
08-18 08:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x28cd2f…
08-17 09:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 17?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0d7bdf…
08-16 14:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4ef237…
08-15 16:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xafd82d…
08-14 07:02:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x781749…
08-13 09:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xdd26ca…
08-12 09:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x452353…
08-11 07:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf5edde…
08-10 08:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x257d5f…
08-09 07:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x444b32…
08-08 08:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3ecba4…
08-07 08:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcad485…
08-06 08:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfccdfd…
08-05 08:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x647529…
08-04 08:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf0abd4…
08-03 08:18:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xecb90b…
08-02 06:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8eec8d…
08-01 07:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x82551f…
07-31 14:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8db4db…
07-30 07:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6960dc…
07-29 07:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5da09f…
07-28 08:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x430dc0…
07-27 09:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4371ca…
07-26 08:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5476c2…
07-25 09:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xc747ae…
07-24 14:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x500b10…
07-23 08:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdaf253…
07-22 02:15:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x58c910…
07-21 09:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3e6f61…
07-21 00:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8742a8…
07-20 12:19:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8f6bdb…
07-18 23:33:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5322bd…
07-18 07:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x30d364…
07-17 07:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd59918…
07-15 22:24:35	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xafa4fa…
07-15 08:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfd4c58…
07-14 09:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xd89f57…
07-13 08:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x55ef86…