Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$43

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-16

last 09-19 06:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

81% 50% -$3

Politics

17% 17% -$5

Tech

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No		+2	$1	96¢	$2	+$1	08-18 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-07 23:40
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-08 15:27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-08 22:23
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 20:38
will trump say smart during remarks at nasa	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-27 13:21
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-22 02:45
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$0	08-25 00:14
will nvda reach 220 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-14 10:11
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	08-20 18:31
will spy dip to 770 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-17 05:32
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	08-30 12:30
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-27 21:21
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-07 15:24
will mu reach 1050 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-18 08:19
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	08-18 17:08
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-01 09:50
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	08-23 23:23
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 13 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-31 01:32
will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-29 09:36
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-29 17:44
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	08-24 08:02
will tsla dip to 330 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-19 01:45
will wti dip to 80 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	08-17 15:35
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-24 16:10
will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	08-30 01:51
will warsh say challenge during jackson hole speech on august 28	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	08-19 13:05
will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-18 07:56
spy up or down on august 27 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$0	08-27 05:20
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	08-26 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 06:05:10	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf2e9bd…
09-14 18:11:42	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $178 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xbc4bd0…
09-14 10:11:37	will nvda reach 220 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x89aab2…
09-09 20:38:31	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd0abfa…
09-08 22:23:00	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x038f38…
09-08 17:14:34	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3883c4…
09-08 15:27:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1addc9…
09-07 23:40:15	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdbc3cd…
09-07 15:24:45	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x108554…
09-01 09:50:28	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $187 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x044cf9…
08-31 01:32:21	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by september 13 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf4292c…
08-30 12:30:07	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x7ad71d…
08-30 01:51:33	will xagusd dip to 66 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xb304da…
08-29 17:44:16	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x5a0edc…
08-29 09:36:01	will milo yiannopoulos be deported august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x07ca1e…
08-27 21:21:54	Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x65724f…
08-27 13:21:15	will trump say smart during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x614a1d…
08-27 05:20:57	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc83cd4…
08-26 20:46:51	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x8e6254…
08-25 00:14:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x533ba3…
08-24 16:10:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x268c5d…
08-24 08:02:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x14140a…
08-23 23:23:25	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1af216…
08-22 02:45:28	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc4338d…
08-20 18:31:55	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xa9944b…
08-19 13:05:57	will warsh say challenge during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6749ce…
08-19 01:45:28	will tsla dip to 330 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x4d1c3b…
08-18 17:08:18	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x6b0bf6…
08-18 16:49:16	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe0ae98…
08-18 08:19:33	will mu reach 1050 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x031af9…
08-18 08:02:45	will xagusd dip to 64 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdd0408…
08-18 07:56:03	will rklb reach 88 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf7824b…
08-17 23:44:34	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x466b62…
08-17 15:35:25	will wti dip to 80 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x453ccf…
08-17 05:32:57	will spy dip to 770 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x27f656…
08-16 21:31:22	spy closes above 775 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6b4398…