Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
49
lifetime
Volume
$985
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$635
8 positions
First seen
2026-06-26
last 07-20 11:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
100%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +341 $333 98¢ $334 +$0 07-18 14:10
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +140 $133 95¢ $133 +$0 06-26 15:42
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +93 $86 94¢ $88 +$1 07-03 21:40
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No +27 $26 99¢ $27 +$0 07-13 23:57
100kt meteor strike in 2026? No +28 $26 94¢ $27 +$0 07-14 19:56
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +22 $10 76¢ $16 +$6 07-08 08:56
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +34 $9 24¢ $8 $-1 07-12 17:51
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +34 $3 $3 $-0 07-10 02:28