Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.26K

Unrealized P&L

-$46

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

15,516

Trades

80,433

lifetime

Volume

$112.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$675

9 positions

First seen

2026-06-24

last 10-14 12:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

100% 17% -$4,262

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 1727 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+341	$333	98¢	$336	+$2	07-18 14:10
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	No	+140	$133	93¢	$130	-$2	06-26 15:42
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	No	+93	$86	97¢	$90	+$4	07-03 21:40
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+143	$102	29¢	$41	-$61	08-09 11:56
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	+27	$14	84¢	$23	+$8	08-12 11:30
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	+23	$22	97¢	$22	$0	07-23 02:47
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	No	+20	$18	96¢	$19	+$2	08-17 04:11
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+44	$9	28¢	$12	+$3	07-17 15:03
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	+34	$3	4¢	$1	-$2	07-10 02:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	20	$680	754	405	+349	Yes	+$196	07-19 17:32
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	63	$534	15,925	0	+15,925	No	-$534	07-18 18:06
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	20	$456	2,240	0	+2,240	No	-$456	07-05 22:12
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	1	$333	341	0	+341	open	—	07-18 14:10
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?	1	$250	334	0	+334	Yes	+$83	07-03 23:41
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	7	$248	647	0	+647	No	-$248	07-17 14:55
Will there be more than 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	5	$242	336	0	+336	Yes	+$95	07-19 22:55
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	6	$225	276	0	+276	Yes	+$51	07-12 20:37
megaquake by july 31 20260617190926646	13	$215	335	153	+183	No	+$23	07-20 11:57
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?	7	$210	462	0	+462	Yes	+$252	07-08 10:13
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	1	$182	404	0	+404	No	-$182	07-19 17:52
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	29	$152	184	184	+0	open	—	10-14 12:22
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	29	$139	2,597	197	+2,400	No	-$138	07-19 17:45
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	1	$133	140	0	+140	open	—	06-26 15:42
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	15	$118	122	96	+27	open	—	08-23 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	18	$109	290	189	+101	No	+$54	08-12 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	16	$106	214	102	+112	Yes	+$76	08-17 09:02
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	5	$102	143	0	+143	open	—	08-09 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?	10	$100	236	200	+36	Yes	+$19	07-26 17:40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 81°F or below on July 21?	12	$97	76	76	+0	No	-$4	07-20 23:56
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	6	$91	248	0	+248	No	-$91	07-20 21:05
Megaquake by June 30?	10	$88	91	0	+91	No	+$3	06-28 06:03
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	2	$86	93	0	+93	open	—	07-03 21:40
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	22	$84	20,013	0	+20,013	No	-$84	06-29 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 3?	14	$83	261	261	+0	No	+$78	08-02 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 24?	22	$81	188	103	+85	No	-$30	07-23 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 25?	18	$79	171	108	+64	No	-$16	07-24 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?	9	$79	70	42	+29	No	-$22	07-08 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	18	$77	127	80	+46	No	-$8	07-01 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 23?	12	$73	83	83	+0	Yes	+$7	07-23 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 12:22:15	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x40730c…
10-05 17:55:26	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x2797c0…
10-05 17:55:01	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x8f1b40…
10-05 17:54:55	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x05ff31…
10-05 17:54:49	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe07b30…
10-05 17:54:26	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4bb16d…
10-05 17:49:55	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc0723f…
10-05 17:49:50	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6f0079…
10-05 17:49:43	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xee8229…
10-05 17:49:40	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6d2eaa…
10-05 17:49:29	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xab716f…
10-05 17:49:05	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x23ad5f…
10-05 17:48:55	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x9bae31…
10-05 17:48:47	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb78bd0…
10-05 17:48:38	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6bb631…
10-05 17:48:13	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xcebf72…
10-05 17:48:10	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x42158e…
10-05 17:48:05	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xdca203…
10-05 17:47:52	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x195d68…
10-05 17:47:49	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x95c156…
10-05 17:47:41	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x73ef18…
10-05 17:47:17	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x841b7f…
10-05 17:46:40	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe98142…
10-05 17:37:22	Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	60¢	$43	0x618fc2…
08-23 13:58:06	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0xcdac86…
08-23 13:58:01	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x669a16…
08-17 13:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x8c3a33…
08-17 12:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0xd7230b…
08-17 12:59:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xdbdffe…
08-17 12:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 18?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xd17926…
08-17 12:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x3cfc0e…
08-17 12:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xe0a67e…
08-17 12:50:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x86a533…
08-17 12:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 71°F or below on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5029da…
08-17 12:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$4	0x18ff49…
08-17 12:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x742c72…
08-17 12:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x2d17cf…
08-17 12:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	70	4¢	$3	0x141e3a…
08-17 12:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	117	6¢	$7	0x9eeac8…
08-17 12:36:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x04dad3…
08-17 12:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x75f009…
08-17 12:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0xb42463…
08-17 12:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2601ca…
08-17 12:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4121c2…
08-17 12:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x999da5…
08-17 12:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 96°F or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x8603fe…
08-17 12:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x7d4d9b…
08-17 12:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x28b940…
08-17 12:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0x1b54a3…
08-17 12:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 96°F or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0c8da8…
08-17 12:34:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x414dd5…
08-17 12:31:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xf0501c…
08-17 12:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xdd29fa…
08-17 12:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on August 18?	Yes	BUY	453	0¢	$2	0xa3cb13…
08-17 12:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xe6f6e2…
08-17 12:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2beea0…
08-17 12:28:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	78	2¢	$2	0xcabd23…
08-17 12:27:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	633	0¢	$3	0x86df9a…
08-17 12:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x491284…
08-17 12:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x396a60…
08-17 12:20:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$1	0xb01ab1…
08-17 12:20:40	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x227206…
08-17 12:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x613286…
08-17 12:18:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x92527a…
08-17 12:17:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xbf5f18…
08-17 12:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	618	0¢	$1	0xdac9e6…
08-17 12:15:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd1dac6…
08-17 12:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x9ad9b6…
08-17 12:15:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa44882…
08-17 12:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x75cfee…
08-17 12:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x73e913…
08-17 12:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0xe4e868…
08-17 12:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on August 18?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0x9ce24e…
08-17 12:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0xba2edf…
08-17 12:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc95b00…
08-17 12:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x3bc831…
08-17 12:08:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$2	0x6aa8d0…
08-17 12:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd715dd…
08-17 12:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x0b1f06…
08-17 12:02:12	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe1dfa9…
08-17 12:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa2f091…
08-17 12:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	21	18¢	$4	0x90fa0d…
08-17 12:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 18?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x71af73…
08-17 12:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x8db68c…
08-17 11:59:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x4bb949…
08-17 11:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0xb2daea…
08-17 11:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	31	31¢	$9	0x3a5003…
08-17 11:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x205df6…
08-17 11:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x9f9802…
08-17 11:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	179	1¢	$1	0x8a90f1…
08-17 11:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x457035…
08-17 11:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x43055b…
08-17 11:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x889527…
08-17 11:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xe99fa1…
08-17 11:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xfe6b2a…
08-17 11:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x7c9203…
08-17 11:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on August 18?	Yes	SELL	39	15¢	$6	0x6eda2b…
08-17 11:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	57	24¢	$14	0x1ddc6b…
08-17 11:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on August 19?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xc0c71b…
08-17 11:32:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xdc0016…