Firm-Ivory-Apple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$318

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.0%

Resolved

361

Trades

7,245

lifetime

Volume

$41.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-25 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% +$318

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 443 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776754800	13	$80	60	50	+10	open	—	04-21 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	11	$70	50	50	-0	Down	$-15	05-13 11:28
eth updown 15m 1775977200	11	$70	60	50	+10	open	—	04-12 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	11	$69	60	50	+10	open	—	04-26 04:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	12	$67	60	60	+0	Down	$-25	05-09 12:09
btc updown 15m 1775628000	9	$67	50	40	+10	open	—	04-08 06:11
eth updown 15m 1776789000	9	$67	50	40	+10	open	—	04-21 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	10	$66	50	50	+0	Down	$-18	05-08 06:40
eth updown 15m 1775974500	10	$64	50	40	+10	open	—	04-12 06:26
btc updown 15m 1777016700	9	$62	50	40	+10	open	—	04-24 07:55
btc updown 15m 1775498400	11	$62	60	50	+10	open	—	04-06 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	10	$62	50	40	+10	open	—	05-16 05:43
btc updown 15m 1775751300	14	$61	60	50	+10	open	—	04-09 16:24
btc updown 15m 1776155400	8	$61	50	30	+20	open	—	04-14 08:43
eth updown 15m 1775543400	11	$59	50	42	+8	open	—	04-07 06:39
btc updown 15m 1776867300	10	$59	50	35	+15	open	—	04-22 14:25
eth updown 15m 1775493900	11	$59	50	40	+10	open	—	04-06 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	9	$58	50	40	+10	open	—	04-27 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	8	$57	40	40	+0	Up	$-7	05-08 08:59
btc updown 15m 1775655900	9	$56	50	40	+10	open	—	04-08 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	9	$56	50	20	+30	Up	$-0	05-13 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	12	$56	50	40	+10	open	—	05-14 08:10
btc updown 15m 1775379600	9	$56	50	40	+10	open	—	04-05 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	6	$55	30	30	+0	open	—	04-30 14:30
btc updown 15m 1776225600	10	$55	50	30	+20	open	—	04-15 04:09
btc updown 15m 1776070800	6	$55	60	0	+60	open	—	04-13 09:06
eth updown 15m 1776070800	6	$55	60	0	+60	open	—	04-13 09:06
btc updown 15m 1775633400	6	$54	60	0	+60	open	—	04-08 07:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	7	$54	60	0	+60	Down	+$6	05-06 09:51
eth updown 15m 1775655900	7	$53	40	30	+10	open	—	04-08 13:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 12:54:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x5c5726…
05-25 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xdd03cc…
05-25 12:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xe71e1e…
05-25 12:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x766aa9…
05-25 12:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x6d927a…
05-25 12:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x6b1d04…
05-25 12:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x442c7c…
05-25 12:53:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x30eec3…
05-25 12:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe21e0f…
05-25 12:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9d43db…
05-25 12:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc1edf6…
05-25 12:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x521465…
05-25 12:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x99d157…
05-25 12:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6d3c02…
05-25 12:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3033a7…
05-25 12:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xea5df6…
05-25 12:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x603d33…
05-25 12:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x509c79…
05-25 12:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc4ed80…
05-25 12:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x60af37…
05-21 04:09:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xfbe915…
05-21 04:09:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x069d91…
05-21 04:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xc8cd05…
05-21 04:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x887899…
05-21 04:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x7ba491…
05-21 04:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xfe55d2…
05-21 04:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xc36c41…
05-21 04:09:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa1799f…
05-21 04:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0x784889…
05-21 04:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x1ec374…
05-21 04:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5d1849…
05-21 04:05:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x42f66a…
05-21 04:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x510393…
05-21 04:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x84f0b8…
05-21 04:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x4f5897…
05-21 04:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x77fa47…
05-21 04:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xcde21d…
05-21 04:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x72368d…
05-21 04:02:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x616167…
05-20 20:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x0905ff…
05-20 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xaf51be…
05-20 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x192e5e…
05-20 20:10:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xd0be2f…
05-20 20:10:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x7e4b87…
05-20 20:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xf48131…
05-20 20:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xb1783c…
05-20 20:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x6a1f97…
05-20 20:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xa6a677…
05-20 20:06:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x00c2a9…
05-20 20:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x02f519…
05-20 20:01:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x24406d…
05-20 19:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x5f547d…
05-20 19:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x16fc88…
05-20 19:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x59d996…
05-20 19:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x68e9a8…
05-20 19:21:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xecf97e…
05-20 19:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd5f7d1…
05-20 19:20:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xec6940…
05-20 19:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xc51e49…
05-20 19:12:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x01d116…
05-20 19:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x87d879…
05-20 19:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x4ab86a…
05-20 19:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xbec6c6…
05-20 19:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf8c86c…
05-20 19:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa66e0b…
05-20 19:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x834880…
05-20 19:08:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x4e04d4…
05-20 19:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x695d89…
05-20 19:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x09edb4…
05-20 19:04:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf300da…
05-20 18:50:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x1480da…
05-20 18:49:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x61aebd…
05-20 18:23:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x7d53b4…
05-20 18:18:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x174d40…
05-20 17:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x387515…
05-20 17:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x5d5e05…
05-20 17:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x273d4b…
05-20 17:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xc0b220…
05-20 17:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x0ba036…
05-20 17:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x63604e…
05-20 17:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x88e48f…
05-20 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x3bbf9b…
05-16 05:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xaa9ca7…
05-16 05:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa37f28…
05-16 05:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xf7a5ad…
05-16 05:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x37c21c…
05-16 05:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xa20bc5…
05-16 05:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x54fdf9…
05-16 05:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xbc9dac…
05-16 05:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xba6caa…
05-16 05:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x118bb8…
05-16 05:35:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xe101c4…
05-16 05:35:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb81665…
05-16 05:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x19561b…
05-16 05:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1d8478…
05-16 05:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6ebf1c…
05-16 05:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xc8ba0d…
05-16 05:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x334378…
05-16 05:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x885f38…
05-16 05:08:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x6e7e21…