Willing-Arthur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

278

Trades

1,990

lifetime

Volume

$8.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-07 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 48% $-4

Other

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in panama city on april 4 2026 27corbelow	1	$100	101	+101	open	—	04-04 00:01
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 20corhigher	1	$100	101	+101	open	—	04-03 00:01
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 20corhigher	1	$100	101	+101	open	—	03-31 19:29
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 29corhigher	1	$100	101	+101	open	—	04-02 00:01
highest temperature in mexico city on april 1 2026 28corhigher	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	04-01 08:20
sol updown 15m 1773623700	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	03-16 01:25
sol updown 15m 1773671400	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	03-16 14:40
sol updown 15m 1773614700	1	$50	54	+54	open	—	03-15 22:55
sol updown 15m 1773672300	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	03-16 14:55
sol updown 15m 1773668700	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	03-16 13:55
sol updown 15m 1773670500	1	$50	53	+53	open	—	03-16 14:25
sol updown 15m 1773616500	1	$50	52	+52	open	—	03-15 23:25
sol updown 15m 1773636300	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-16 04:55
sol updown 15m 1773596700	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-15 17:56
sol updown 15m 1773712800	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	03-17 02:10
sol updown 15m 1773687600	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	03-16 19:10
sol updown 15m 1773682200	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-16 17:43
sol updown 15m 1773669600	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	03-16 14:10
sol updown 15m 1773714600	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-17 02:41
sol updown 15m 1773600300	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-15 18:55
sol updown 15m 1773630900	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-16 03:25
sol updown 15m 1773738900	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-17 09:25
sol updown 15m 1773627300	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-16 02:26
sol updown 15m 1773581400	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-15 13:43
sol updown 15m 1773667800	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-16 13:40
sol updown 15m 1773678600	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-16 16:43
sol updown 15m 1773740700	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-17 09:56
sol updown 15m 1773701100	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	03-16 22:55
sol updown 15m 1773529200	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-14 23:10
sol updown 15m 1773698400	1	$50	50	+50	open	—	03-16 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 10:15:04	xrp updown 15m 1780827300	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd5e0e4…
06-07 09:45:04	xrp updown 15m 1780825500	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa5e85f…
06-07 09:30:04	xrp updown 15m 1780824600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x792e2a…
06-07 01:00:04	xrp updown 15m 1780794000	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5c1535…
06-07 00:15:04	xrp updown 15m 1780791300	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xce8134…
06-07 00:06:52	xrp updown 15m 1780790400	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4b43f1…
06-06 23:45:04	xrp updown 15m 1780789500	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8f850e…
06-06 23:00:04	xrp updown 15m 1780786800	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbfd00f…
06-06 15:30:04	xrp updown 15m 1780759800	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1e8879…
06-06 15:00:04	xrp updown 15m 1780758000	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x80708f…
06-06 00:06:57	xrp updown 15m 1780704000	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x909a2d…
06-06 00:06:54	xrp up or down june 5 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x84c128…
06-05 20:00:04	xrp up or down june 5 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x98829c…
06-05 08:00:04	xrp up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x05e9b3…
06-05 06:00:04	xrp up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb485ab…
06-05 03:00:04	xrp up or down june 4 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5078f9…
06-05 01:00:04	xrp up or down june 4 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa6c74c…
06-04 19:00:04	xrp up or down june 4 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x65df81…
06-04 04:00:10	xrp up or down june 4 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xeec765…
06-04 01:00:06	xrp up or down june 3 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x960f4d…
06-04 00:07:04	xrp up or down june 3 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x960aff…
06-03 12:00:05	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2617b6…
06-03 06:00:05	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x235fc5…
06-03 05:00:05	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd43db3…
06-03 01:00:04	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe1212e…
06-03 00:07:32	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0bd13f…
06-03 00:07:29	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2c3d78…
06-02 20:00:05	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa5c09a…
06-02 16:30:04	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x2177e9…
06-01 23:30:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x83e47f…
06-01 21:15:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfc3705…
06-01 20:15:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5201fb…
06-01 18:00:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0f91b4…
06-01 17:45:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x439b4f…
06-01 16:00:07	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd411d7…
06-01 15:30:08	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb8bfe1…
06-01 14:30:03	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0633ac…
06-01 13:00:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xce3fe3…
06-01 12:45:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe7bc43…
06-01 12:15:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf2df72…
06-01 12:00:08	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0874c0…
06-01 10:15:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xff5b5f…
06-01 09:15:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x52af30…
06-01 07:00:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x84a471…
06-01 06:30:05	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x93208a…
06-01 04:15:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe6df57…
06-01 02:30:06	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb6087a…
06-01 02:15:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9c4722…
06-01 00:06:54	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6512ad…
05-31 23:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x00668b…
05-31 20:00:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x10e70e…
05-31 19:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x64029c…
05-31 19:15:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7d6ea9…
05-31 17:45:06	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x131554…
05-31 17:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3478b6…
05-31 16:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xddef9c…
05-31 13:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x258527…
05-31 13:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf5578d…
05-31 11:30:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x57d632…
05-31 09:00:06	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb58ff7…
05-31 08:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x30e998…
05-31 07:00:07	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2c4bcf…
05-31 04:15:05	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x988fa4…
05-31 02:45:06	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6c62d9…
05-31 02:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x240ede…
05-30 17:30:07	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd192bf…
05-30 15:15:03	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x04f700…
05-30 14:15:07	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8c4bf8…
05-30 12:30:05	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9fba5e…
05-28 19:00:09	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5ecf01…
05-28 18:00:06	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe382ad…
05-28 17:07:50	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c1f95…
05-28 12:30:05	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x12cd05…
05-28 11:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa2b706…
05-28 09:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8b08fc…
05-28 08:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7c19d7…
05-28 08:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf7dbd0…
05-28 07:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x78e404…
05-28 07:00:07	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc28a6b…
05-28 06:45:06	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc3f06e…
05-28 05:45:03	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7efc8b…
05-28 04:15:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x78b741…
05-28 04:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf074a1…
05-28 03:45:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x7e36f0…
05-28 03:30:07	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc45ca5…
05-28 03:15:06	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x36ef82…
05-28 01:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef87b9…
05-27 23:15:03	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xefa9fa…
05-27 22:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1289bb…
05-27 22:15:05	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2f09a2…
05-27 22:00:06	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb68ae8…
05-27 21:45:10	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1da996…
05-27 21:30:05	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x28d600…
05-27 21:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x60d3ce…
05-27 20:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2bdd34…
05-27 19:45:05	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd975c4…
05-27 19:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcb3358…
05-27 18:45:04	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x84c736…
05-27 18:15:05	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd53fe0…
05-27 18:00:09	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x690799…