Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

54.1%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$102

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-09-02

last 10-30 01:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

81% 52% +$1

Politics

15% 62% +$4

Tech

4% 75% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-27 20:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	+1	$1	86¢	$1	+$0	10-30 01:51
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+1	$1	52¢	$1	$0	10-03 04:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$0	09-09 14:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	2	$2	6	+6	No	-$1	09-26 07:30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-07 06:12
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:41
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-22 19:37
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-17 16:46
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-19 04:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-13 20:16
Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-27 12:32
will coin reach 202 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-24 02:06
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	09-16 23:30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 06:41
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	10-28 04:38
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 01:51
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	4	+4	Up	+$3	10-01 15:02
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-15 16:44
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 23:33
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 26 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-28 12:59
will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-22 07:34
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-25 06:35
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-06 13:59
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-16 15:28
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-14 13:02
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$4	10-25 14:41
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-08 13:40
will xauusd reach 4200 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-14 04:36
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 01:27
will nvda reach 228 by october 12 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-13 10:44
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-30 18:58
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-27 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 01:51:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3d3545…
10-29 12:17:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x801d95…
10-29 03:01:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x35b8e4…
10-28 12:59:59	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x944abe…
10-28 04:38:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xba08be…
10-27 20:33:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xbce04c…
10-27 12:32:27	Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6181cd…
10-27 03:33:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x090ad2…
10-25 14:41:15	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe0ffec…
10-25 06:35:03	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1f9bff…
10-24 16:10:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8f54b5…
10-23 11:54:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x89f701…
10-23 03:53:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x22b8c5…
10-22 19:37:56	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2b9cd7…
10-22 11:17:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf06660…
10-21 13:36:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x983d3d…
10-21 05:03:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x770d45…
10-19 21:02:16	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbba563…
10-19 12:59:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3553cf…
10-19 04:59:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9e3b86…
10-18 20:59:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5409c8…
10-18 12:07:17	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x60a663…
10-18 01:58:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x712875…
10-17 16:46:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb1f064…
10-17 06:41:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x237954…
10-16 12:33:03	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x66e478…
10-16 01:51:09	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x59bdf4…
10-15 16:44:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x235945…
10-15 08:31:38	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x89a3c8…
10-15 00:29:37	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbba50c…
10-14 13:02:20	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeb0c9f…
10-14 04:36:55	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x709643…
10-13 20:16:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f4a19…
10-13 10:44:35	will nvda reach 228 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3bfb7d…
10-13 02:41:02	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x76c240…
10-12 18:38:54	will meta dip to 720 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1dc025…
10-12 10:30:35	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x848571…
10-12 02:30:05	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xccd435…
10-11 18:26:36	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8876ef…
10-11 10:12:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xba0272…
10-11 01:27:20	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf8be82…
10-10 12:01:49	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4251e0…
10-08 13:40:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x752d6f…
10-08 04:01:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd2693d…
10-07 06:12:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfbbe28…
10-06 22:11:23	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0eefd1…
10-06 13:59:29	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0a9e52…
10-06 05:53:49	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x26ac36…
10-05 21:53:38	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xeb9b01…
10-05 13:53:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 5?	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc66bd6…
10-05 00:59:08	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd13ead…
10-03 04:59:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4d4687…
10-02 12:29:51	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x082423…
10-02 03:06:39	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb755c2…
10-01 15:02:00	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa1120c…
09-30 18:58:27	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcff6ee…
09-30 10:22:03	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x90cab2…
09-30 02:14:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf50ad0…
09-28 05:22:56	will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4ea6f5…
09-27 21:22:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4e8a18…
09-27 20:50:44	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2ee643…
09-27 12:01:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xebcaca…
09-27 03:02:09	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5a7336…
09-26 07:30:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf2e593…
09-26 07:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x95eb66…
09-24 10:06:30	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2bf105…
09-24 02:06:17	will coin reach 202 50 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7d404e…
09-23 17:47:31	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9a7d6c…
09-23 17:00:23	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x800239…
09-23 07:47:22	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2c9fa4…
09-22 23:41:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2eecf9…
09-22 15:39:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x70456e…
09-22 07:34:12	will xagusd reach 67 by september 21 2026 from september 21	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x83f911…
09-21 23:33:22	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3cbad3…
09-21 15:28:48	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3d7328…
09-21 07:19:47	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xbae1d2…
09-20 22:50:23	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x234383…
09-20 22:49:14	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x36c95f…
09-19 07:41:19	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa5094a…
09-18 22:52:31	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x092a45…
09-17 22:12:48	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x29bcc9…
09-16 23:30:30	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x12c682…
09-16 15:28:45	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8401cc…
09-16 07:25:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd50fde…
09-14 23:07:09	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x731e0d…
09-14 23:03:00	will coin reach 195 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xaa43d5…
09-14 14:46:37	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x15a06e…
09-14 06:38:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd9a285…
09-13 22:34:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x599ffa…
09-13 21:31:28	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xacc2ad…
09-11 06:24:42	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4b8aec…
09-10 18:32:46	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7a249f…
09-10 09:43:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x42f7c6…
09-09 14:50:54	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5e4cfb…
09-09 14:18:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8b6548…
09-09 14:16:22	Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xeea54c…
09-09 06:15:21	Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xdf4c7f…
09-08 16:04:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xef8a6e…
09-08 05:40:51	laptop airdrop by september 9	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa9b507…
09-07 16:37:01	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x74f836…