Realized P&L
+$11.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
83.7%
Resolved
190
Trades
380
lifetime
Volume
$28.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$17
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-19 03:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
96% 9% +$11,459
Crypto
3% 31% -$248
Sports
1% 67% +$201
Politics
1% 7% -$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +229 $22 4¢ $9 -$13 07-18 14:43
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? Yes +253 $6 1¢ $3 -$3 08-19 03:08
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +750 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 07-23 17:19
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? Yes +17 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 07-18 14:43
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 08-19 03:12
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 07-23 17:19
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 07-23 17:19
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-13 03:54