Favorite-Selfconfidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

4,243

Trades

15,859

lifetime

Volume

$9.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 10-15 04:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 184 days

Categories

Other

100% 6% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 21c	20	$48	113	113	+0	No	+$27	04-12 05:54
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 24c	3	$37	60	60	+0	No	+$14	04-23 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 6?	4	$37	333	331	+2	No	+$35	05-06 06:27
highest temperature in shanghai on april 16 2026 19c	6	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	+$12	04-16 03:05
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 23c	3	$33	60	60	+0	Yes	+$15	04-22 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on May 2?	4	$31	29	29	+0	Yes	+$27	05-02 17:59
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 19c	7	$31	60	60	+0	No	-$1	04-24 03:12
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 20c	15	$30	86	86	+0	Yes	+$11	04-12 08:31
highest temperature in beijing on april 14 2026 18corbelow	4	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	+$26	04-14 06:24
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 24c	3	$29	30	30	+0	Yes	+$23	04-24 07:02
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 28c	2	$27	30	30	+0	Yes	+$21	04-11 07:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 19 2026 21c	6	$26	27	27	+0	Yes	+$18	04-19 05:31
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 22c	4	$23	30	30	+0	No	+$20	04-22 06:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 15 2026 29c	5	$23	40	40	+0	No	+$10	04-15 05:24
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 27c	7	$21	33	15	+18	No	-$8	04-08 05:32
highest temperature in wuhan on april 12 2026 24c	12	$20	50	20	+30	No	-$10	04-12 06:33
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 7?	2	$20	19	19	+0	Yes	+$18	05-07 10:23
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 25c	2	$20	30	30	+0	No	+$6	04-24 05:59
highest temperature in wuhan on april 9 2026 21c	7	$20	30	30	+0	Yes	+$11	04-09 05:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 21c	4	$20	46	0	+46	No	-$20	04-24 04:46
highest temperature in beijing on april 15 2026 23c	4	$19	60	59	+1	Yes	+$8	04-15 06:10
highest temperature in chengdu on april 12 2026 22c	11	$19	60	60	+0	No	+$2	04-12 05:42
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 28c	9	$19	40	40	+0	Yes	+$9	04-23 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?	12	$18	92	92	+0	Yes	+$12	04-27 07:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	4	$18	30	30	+0	Yes	-$3	04-14 04:12
highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 18c	2	$18	30	30	+0	Yes	+$17	04-14 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 19?	11	$17	141	109	+32	No	-$10	08-19 02:24
highest temperature in chengdu on april 23 2026 27c	3	$14	30	30	+0	No	+$3	04-23 06:06
highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 26c	7	$14	60	30	+30	No	-$5	04-24 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 2?	16	$14	118	0	+118	No	-$14	08-02 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 04:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa9e447…
10-15 04:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x09cd44…
10-15 03:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xcfed60…
10-15 02:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	173	1¢	$2	0x00bf58…
10-15 02:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xf31399…
10-15 02:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x7d4106…
10-15 02:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	126	0¢	$0	0xbae32c…
10-15 01:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0xbf2d11…
10-15 01:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0xb6ac11…
10-15 01:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x71d635…
10-15 01:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	139	0¢	$0	0x350c59…
10-15 01:03:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	158	0¢	$0	0x5f9028…
10-15 01:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0x846b98…
10-15 01:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$0	0xfcf589…
10-15 00:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x34caba…
10-15 00:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xcdd694…
10-15 00:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6cc81f…
10-15 00:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd21158…
10-15 00:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x4511f8…
10-15 00:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x74ccd6…
10-15 00:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x2aef1c…
10-15 00:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x1b6c80…
10-15 00:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xbe273b…
10-15 00:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xbbc555…
10-15 00:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0x260e62…
10-14 23:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xba56b6…
10-14 23:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0xde37f8…
10-14 23:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0xe4c343…
10-14 23:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xe4ebc1…
10-14 23:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9e927a…
10-14 23:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xfca972…
10-14 23:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	129	1¢	$2	0xf9af91…
10-14 23:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x74dbc1…
10-14 23:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x7416f9…
10-14 23:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6097fa…
10-14 23:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x45a0f8…
10-14 23:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x8e5ee5…
10-14 23:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xdf3cee…
10-14 23:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x46f83b…
10-14 23:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xc36c09…
10-14 23:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xe75806…
10-14 22:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x4a0b40…
10-14 22:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5d90f3…
10-14 22:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xd5e424…
10-14 22:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x6d548c…
10-14 22:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x0fd280…
10-14 22:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa13856…
10-14 22:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x418fb7…
10-14 22:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x146a96…
10-14 22:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbfc3f5…
10-14 21:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x89a617…
10-14 21:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x1c11d6…
10-14 21:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xf7df94…
10-14 21:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on October 15?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0xc8c99c…
10-14 21:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x92d3ba…
10-14 21:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x05a250…
10-14 06:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x1766f1…
10-14 04:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xffcc9f…
10-14 04:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	165	0¢	$0	0x117257…
10-14 04:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$0	0xc68caf…
10-14 04:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	209	0¢	$0	0x64d155…
10-14 04:32:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	239	0¢	$0	0x3866c6…
10-14 04:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	278	0¢	$0	0x3c53f7…
10-14 03:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x2be39f…
10-14 03:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfbd71f…
10-14 03:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x089bda…
10-14 03:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	171	0¢	$0	0x97021d…
10-14 03:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	196	0¢	$0	0x277ff0…
10-14 02:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa195a8…
10-14 02:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x882172…
10-14 02:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x44934c…
10-14 02:08:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x651dbe…
10-14 01:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xbe936e…
10-14 01:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x69a749…
10-14 01:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xea7066…
10-14 01:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x778385…
10-14 01:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x638396…
10-14 01:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x29d8ce…
10-14 01:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd3a9e6…
10-14 01:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x9e3dd6…
10-14 01:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xde39d7…
10-14 01:21:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x08ffcf…
10-14 01:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x83ccf6…
10-14 00:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x38878d…
10-14 00:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	189	0¢	$0	0xf7eb3a…
10-14 00:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	218	0¢	$0	0x40b786…
10-13 23:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xc2d6df…
10-13 23:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xe6d641…
10-13 23:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xb771d1…
10-13 23:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6e8e41…
10-13 23:31:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x7f2fe2…
10-13 23:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x7eaa1f…
10-13 23:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x578d16…
10-13 23:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xd1f3ee…
10-13 23:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x8b2f65…
10-13 22:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x96bc13…
10-13 22:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x33b718…
10-13 22:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9f81ea…
10-13 22:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0xb3ae0d…
10-13 22:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xb10c2a…