Assured-Diam — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.68K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

31,772

Trades

114,462

lifetime

Volume

$453.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-27 12:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 249 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% -$6,646

Other

0% 25% -$26

Politics

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 2385 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	—	+14	$12	99¢	$14	+$1	10-27 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	—	+3	$2	100¢	$3	+$1	10-27 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	—	+2	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	10-27 13:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:00 UTC	47	$552	765	0	+765	Up	-$222	02-27 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:45 UTC	46	$528	745	0	+745	Down	-$518	02-27 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:05 UTC	35	$443	620	0	+620	Up	+$177	02-27 23:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:45 UTC	19	$404	339	338	+0	Down	-$20	03-09 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:50 UTC	42	$396	565	0	+565	Up	+$169	02-27 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:55 UTC	53	$376	525	0	+525	Up	-$266	02-27 23:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 14:00 UTC	10	$344	388	295	+92	Down	-$1	03-10 14:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:40 UTC	27	$342	470	0	+470	Up	+$128	02-27 22:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 01:30 UTC	4	$317	233	232	+0	Up	+$117	03-10 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 01:15 UTC	13	$315	328	266	+62	Up	-$15	03-09 01:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:20 UTC	39	$315	468	0	+468	Up	+$153	02-27 23:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 15:30 UTC	52	$306	344	212	+131	Down	-$21	03-11 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 15:15 UTC	7	$283	323	234	+88	Up	+$1	03-10 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 21:05 UTC	33	$279	608	0	+608	Down	-$279	02-27 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:50 UTC	12	$272	386	0	+386	Up	-$272	08-02 02:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:00 UTC	9	$263	546	186	+359	Down	+$108	03-20 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 01:00 UTC	49	$260	502	387	+115	Up	-$53	03-18 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 02:00 UTC	48	$253	335	0	+335	Down	+$57	03-04 02:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:05 UTC	16	$248	331	0	+331	Up	-$248	08-03 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:20 UTC	16	$246	329	0	+329	Down	+$83	08-01 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:05 UTC	16	$245	363	0	+363	Down	+$118	08-02 23:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 20:50 UTC	13	$226	326	326	+0	Up	+$201	03-11 20:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 05:45 UTC	9	$225	154	154	+0	Up	+$25	03-10 05:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 03:05 UTC	32	$224	335	0	+335	Up	+$111	02-28 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 02:00 UTC	47	$222	498	0	+498	Up	-$222	02-28 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 14:30 UTC	33	$221	365	0	+365	Up	+$74	02-27 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:35 UTC	9	$218	299	0	+299	Down	+$81	08-01 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:55 UTC	17	$217	314	0	+314	Down	+$97	08-02 02:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 20:15 UTC	26	$210	302	279	+23	Up	+$87	03-11 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:30 UTC	30	$209	276	0	+276	Down	+$67	02-27 22:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xce0805…
10-27 13:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb85fc4…
10-27 13:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x587050…
10-27 13:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xb3832e…
10-27 13:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0xc9a981…
10-27 13:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x67b5a6…
10-27 12:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x00e8c6…
10-27 12:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x777df6…
10-27 12:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6715f2…
10-27 12:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x35f667…
10-27 12:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xa42e71…
10-27 12:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6d2fdc…
10-27 12:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xdd57a1…
10-27 12:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x518438…
10-27 12:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xf20e33…
10-27 12:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xc34b33…
10-27 12:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$7	0x2872e9…
10-27 12:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x48609b…
10-27 12:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x476ba4…
10-27 12:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x73efd0…
10-27 12:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xa3b8db…
10-27 12:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8d4a2a…
10-27 12:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7c6dfd…
10-27 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0e474d…
10-27 12:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6a3ca1…
10-27 12:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	23¢	$9	0x5efe78…
10-27 12:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf6a9c1…
10-27 12:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x980ba1…
10-27 12:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x5d1706…
10-27 12:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x8ba64b…
10-27 12:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x598056…
10-27 12:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x04d03b…
10-27 12:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0xbd61cb…
10-27 12:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x52cdd1…
10-27 12:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x21fc80…
10-27 12:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x40124b…
10-27 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xe14a99…
10-27 12:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xffc176…
10-27 12:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1261fb…
10-27 12:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xc41a4f…
10-27 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0xdb04a9…
10-27 12:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x3b0ef7…
10-27 12:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x349ad0…
10-27 12:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x6aae25…
10-27 12:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb4cde5…
10-27 12:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xc63e64…
10-27 12:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4c941e…
10-27 12:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0xb5e6d4…
10-27 12:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x7eb3b5…
10-27 12:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x545a55…
10-27 12:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xc32060…
10-27 12:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb6cd6f…
10-27 12:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xe43f1f…
10-27 12:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x10965a…
10-27 12:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x8e7930…
10-27 12:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x302adb…
10-27 12:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xe1dd7e…
10-27 12:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x872f44…
10-27 12:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xd38130…
10-27 12:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x2025a1…
10-27 12:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xf9f661…
10-27 12:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe903ca…
10-27 12:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9d43bf…
10-27 12:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x861e17…
10-27 12:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3d9e2c…
10-27 12:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	64	17¢	$11	0x85654a…
10-27 12:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$4	0x86b308…
10-27 12:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x4e0537…
10-27 12:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x944f90…
10-27 12:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xec718c…
10-27 12:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x74359e…
10-27 12:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2e4e86…
10-27 12:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x82b344…
10-27 12:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf52b92…
10-27 11:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	48	18¢	$9	0x961a0c…
10-27 11:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x7ea77a…
10-27 11:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x830b80…
10-27 11:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x6753c6…
10-27 11:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	18¢	$9	0x31625c…
10-27 11:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x7b281a…
10-27 11:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xa0b091…
10-27 11:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xa0abbe…
10-27 11:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x3966e2…
10-27 11:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x66668f…
10-27 11:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x693800…
10-27 11:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf486e4…
10-27 11:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0xb0ed84…
10-27 11:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xa0bfc5…
10-27 11:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x0038f3…
10-27 11:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0xbc9b7d…
10-27 11:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xee4382…
10-27 11:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x488cb4…
10-27 11:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7de325…
10-27 11:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xa90910…
10-27 11:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x007ff1…
10-27 11:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe42085…
10-27 11:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xd98221…
10-27 11:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xeedb89…
10-27 11:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xeba513…
10-27 11:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6d82b1…