Reasonable-Sonata — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$989

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

572

Trades

1,128

lifetime

Volume

$88.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 07-20 05:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

46% 49% +$3,073

Crypto

40% 47% -$1,400

Sports

14% 38% -$2,769

Politics

1% 67% +$108

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb bowlgr toledo 2026 03 12	4	$3.7K	2,394	2,383	+10	Toledo Rockets	+$1,099	03-12 20:11
bitcoin above 68k on march 7	6	$1.5K	1,121	1,121	+0	No	+$531	03-07 16:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	4	$1.5K	1,143	1,143	+0	Yes	+$726	03-09 15:44
cbb ri duq 2026 03 12	2	$1.4K	926	922	+4	Duquesne Dukes	+$425	03-13 01:19
rusixnat ire sco 2026 03 14 ire	28	$1.3K	750	750	+0	Yes	+$239	03-14 17:50
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	3	$1.0K	974	960	+14	Yes	+$259	03-12 15:33
nba den sas 2026 03 12	1	$1000	1,493	0	+1,493	Nuggets	-$1,000	03-13 01:35
nba cha sas 2026 03 14 total 228pt5	2	$814	1,536	0	+1,536	Under	-$814	03-14 20:13
bitcoin up or down february 5 6pm et	2	$800	1,478	0	+1,478	Down	-$800	02-05 22:51
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	2	$708	541	541	+0	Yes	+$308	03-11 15:55
wnba las nyl 2026 06 30	5	$707	417	417	+0	New York Liberty	+$127	07-01 01:25
nba den okc 2026 03 09	2	$700	1,251	0	+1,251	Thunder	+$551	03-10 00:55
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 6	3	$695	500	500	+0	Yes	+$304	07-06 12:06
bitcoin above 70k on march 4	2	$655	557	557	+0	Yes	+$455	03-04 16:03
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	3	$647	472	472	+0	No	+$247	03-05 16:34
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	3	$613	485	485	+0	Yes	+$317	07-14 21:00
cbb tcu kan 2026 03 12	2	$600	997	0	+997	Kansas Jayhawks	+$397	03-13 02:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 07:00 UTC	2	$569	417	410	+7	Up	+$176	03-05 07:12
bitcoin up or down march 5 10am et	2	$559	408	408	+0	Down	+$159	03-05 15:21
spx up or down on june 26 2026	5	$558	400	400	+0	Down	+$195	06-26 20:02
fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	2	$549	350	350	+0	Over	+$150	06-18 23:44
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	5	$545	500	500	+0	Under	+$36	07-09 21:43
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	3	$535	350	350	+0	Yes	+$129	07-03 00:33
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	3	$533	651	651	+0	Yes	+$233	03-10 13:28
spx up or down on june 24 2026	3	$532	400	400	+0	Down	+$268	06-24 21:55
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 corners total 10pt5	2	$528	484	484	+0	Under	+$63	06-30 22:33
bitcoin up or down on march 14 2026	1	$500	1,613	0	+1,613	Down	-$500	03-13 20:50
nba min den 2026 03 01	2	$491	341	341	+0	Timberwolves	+$191	03-02 00:14
bitcoin above 70k on march 10	2	$489	401	401	+0	Yes	+$289	03-10 14:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	4	$467	400	400	+0	Yes	+$235	06-29 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 05:34:51	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xece96c…
07-20 05:34:51	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9c0ec7…
07-20 05:34:49	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xe9680a…
07-20 05:34:49	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xc519a3…
07-20 05:34:49	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x3b130b…
07-20 05:34:49	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x05a9b8…
07-20 05:33:39	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x57c0e7…
07-20 05:33:07	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x8a672e…
07-19 21:37:49	mlb sf sea 2026 07 19	Seattle Mariners	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x093596…
07-19 18:33:55	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xb87ccc…
07-19 18:31:46	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	500	43¢	$214	0x9a45c9…
07-19 14:52:39	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 19	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x84abcc…
07-18 18:53:13	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	420	53¢	$223	0xdbf47e…
07-18 15:57:27	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	183	77¢	$141	0x7d0f7a…
07-18 15:04:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	17¢	$85	0xe84bbb…
07-18 14:48:39	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0x0a3fd8…
07-18 12:17:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0x6b6e90…
07-18 12:17:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xc01798…
07-18 12:13:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x070727…
07-18 12:13:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x8f62ef…
07-18 12:11:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc24381…
07-18 12:11:39	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	29	26¢	$8	0xcad36e…
07-18 12:10:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x92a43f…
07-17 11:23:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xe7462a…
07-17 11:23:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	77	56¢	$43	0x8a4cdd…
07-17 11:23:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x360566…
07-17 07:21:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	460	67¢	$307	0x82c724…
07-16 22:09:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xe2a385…
07-16 21:03:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	28¢	$100	0x773dbc…
07-15 13:55:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	98¢	$294	0x5c26e1…
07-15 11:19:34	crint irl7 wst4 2026 07 15	Ireland	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x3c1949…
07-15 06:39:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$13	0x5f48e9…
07-15 06:38:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xb059d7…
07-14 22:55:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x8e3509…
07-14 22:25:05	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x5d2929…
07-14 21:00:58	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	325	100¢	$324	0x35ab1d…
07-14 20:32:41	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	SELL	160	88¢	$140	0x2df60b…
07-14 18:44:04	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	485	31¢	$148	0x0bb104…
07-14 17:14:26	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 14	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x9af4ed…
07-14 16:48:31	wnba por conn 2026 07 14	PortlandFire	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x0fb4d2…
07-13 12:11:37	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	46	27¢	$13	0x490c11…
07-13 12:08:59	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	254	26¢	$66	0xdc97bb…
07-13 08:21:35	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 13	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x8627d6…
07-13 08:18:02	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 13	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x5cc46d…
07-12 20:35:32	mlb col sf 2026 07 12 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd92500…
07-12 20:10:04	mlb nyy wsh 2026 07 12	New York Yankees	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x63853c…
07-12 19:33:22	mlb nyy wsh 2026 07 12	New York Yankees	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x7e1fe7…
07-12 19:17:11	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 match total 38pt5	Over	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x7a1354…
07-12 14:16:59	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 match total 38pt5	Over	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x9a5de7…
07-12 14:16:47	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12 match total 38pt5	Over	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x32ef54…
07-12 11:51:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x6baddb…
07-12 11:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x4e5bb2…
07-12 11:18:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xfd095f…
07-12 11:12:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xeb9479…
07-12 11:09:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x144e50…
07-12 11:02:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xeaf1c9…
07-12 10:57:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xcbbc0b…
07-12 00:40:28	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x3e521c…
07-11 21:33:11	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)	Minnesota Twins	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x7a173a…
07-11 21:08:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	100	36¢	$36	0x0f16ce…
07-11 20:40:37	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x65bc0d…
07-11 20:36:56	mlb laa min 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Minnesota Twins	SELL	51	71¢	$36	0x827e53…
07-11 18:02:59	mlb laa min 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Minnesota Twins	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x2f8c84…
07-11 18:02:32	mlb laa min 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Minnesota Twins	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x953614…
07-10 20:35:16	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	300	11¢	$32	0xc4825e…
07-10 19:03:25	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x908870…
07-10 18:48:28	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xdf237a…
07-10 09:42:34	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 10	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x4c70c1…
07-10 09:39:19	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 10	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x9a61ac…
07-10 09:12:47	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 10	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x766195…
07-10 09:08:50	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 10	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x044261…
07-09 21:43:25	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	275	52¢	$142	0xf5b424…
07-09 21:31:37	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	225	66¢	$148	0x35f9dc…
07-09 19:58:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x240f15…
07-09 19:58:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x26a49f…
07-09 19:57:32	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x2343f0…
07-08 15:24:44	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	Alexander Zverev	BUY	300	71¢	$212	0xc40c62…
07-08 15:22:29	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	Alexander Zverev	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x0749ac…
07-08 15:05:16	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	Alexander Zverev	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6f56e5…
07-08 12:30:59	wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x9fdb5d…
07-08 12:30:55	wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe88873…
07-08 12:30:52	wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	47	54¢	$26	0xcf30a5…
07-08 12:30:52	wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	47	54¢	$26	0x941c03…
07-08 12:30:52	wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	47	54¢	$26	0x1686d0…
07-08 12:30:52	wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	47	54¢	$26	0x045240…
07-07 20:00:11	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x63ffaa…
07-07 20:00:01	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x5d45c4…
07-07 19:57:14	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x005aab…
07-07 18:43:31	spx up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	225	94¢	$212	0x5e367f…
07-07 18:42:31	spx up or down on july 7 2026	Down	SELL	75	94¢	$71	0x82dd02…
07-07 12:10:25	spx up or down on july 7 2026	Down	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x98c45d…
07-06 18:29:23	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x7efb46…
07-06 12:06:28	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 6	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0xc812ef…
07-06 11:50:43	atp minaur cobolli 2026 07 06 set totals 3pt5	Under 3.5	BUY	200	40¢	$79	0xe912be…
07-06 08:58:38	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 6	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xdee3c9…
07-06 08:46:01	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 6	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0xd6254e…
07-06 08:01:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	45¢	$135	0x3070dd…
07-06 00:40:25	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	530	32¢	$170	0xb754c8…
07-06 00:39:46	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x6b77b4…
07-05 20:06:44	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x8e7637…