Sudden-Derby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.24K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.4%

Resolved

Trades

752

lifetime

Volume

$92.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-09 13:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

47% 25% $-1,246

Sports

42% 0% $-1,996

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani	8	$5.6K	8,447	0	+8,447	open	—	05-02 16:04
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-02 23:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	11	$4.3K	4,790	0	+4,790	open	—	04-17 19:56
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	1	$3.3K	5,060	0	+5,060	open	—	04-15 22:54
boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	18	$2.8K	4,543	0	+4,543	open	—	04-12 06:57
ufc mat10 est1 2026 04 11 go the distance	1	$2.8K	6,901	0	+6,901	open	—	04-11 23:33
f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	3	$2.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-29 03:07
mlb nyy sf 2026 03 25 nrfi	20	$2.3K	3,172	0	+3,172	open	—	03-26 00:45
zuffa talle willi 2026 02 01	1	$2.1K	2,132	0	+2,132	open	—	02-02 02:54
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$2.0K	3,075	0	+3,075	Sean Brady	$-1,996	05-09 19:46
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	13	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-07 23:59
f1 australian grand prix winner russell 2026 03 07	2	$1.8K	2,750	0	+2,750	open	—	03-05 05:56
will the world team win the 2026 nba all star game	1	$1.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	02-15 14:12
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11 go the distance	3	$1.7K	12,000	0	+12,000	open	—	04-12 01:50
ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	7	$1.6K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	02-01 03:38
Spread: Panama (-1.5)	18	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-04 00:54
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	2	$1.5K	1,539	0	+1,539	open	—	05-19 19:37
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?	1	$1.3K	1,330	0	+1,330	open	—	05-21 19:11
will denmark qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	3	$1.3K	1,814	0	+1,814	open	—	03-31 21:47
cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19 total 153pt5	1	$1.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-20 01:17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1.3K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	03-16 15:59
will bolivia qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$1.2K	2,600	0	+2,600	open	—	03-31 22:40
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	2	$1.2K	2,029	0	+2,029	open	—	05-25 18:28
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	8	$1.2K	1,498	0	+1,498	open	—	05-15 04:48
2026 texas childrens houston open winner nicolai hojgaard win	4	$1.1K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	03-29 11:13
ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11 go the distance	3	$1.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-12 02:21
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Reilly Opelka	2	$1.0K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	04-23 19:06
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	4	$1.0K	2,350	0	+2,350	open	—	04-23 06:00
atp tiafoe nakashi 2026 02 27	1	$936	1,950	0	+1,950	open	—	02-28 03:58
sud slo cue 2026 04 16 slo	15	$936	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	04-17 00:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 13:01:31	will adam sandler attend any game at the 2026 nba finals 20260601230730802	No	BUY	1,309	1¢	$7	0x69d3c8…
06-09 05:13:33	nba finals will there be a breen bang in game 3 20260608184838833	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x89bd12…
06-09 05:05:31	nba finals will there be a breen bang in game 3 20260608184838833	Yes	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0xb7c603…
06-04 00:54:07	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x174e86…
06-04 00:54:00	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	113	51¢	$58	0xee2b6f…
06-04 00:53:58	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x91615c…
06-04 00:53:58	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7b07c1…
06-04 00:53:57	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe6173d…
06-04 00:53:57	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe2f0c7…
06-04 00:53:57	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xdc0982…
06-04 00:53:57	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	856	51¢	$437	0x2814a3…
06-04 00:53:57	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1cf8cf…
06-04 00:53:55	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe3d696…
06-04 00:53:55	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	367	51¢	$187	0x1cc4d5…
06-04 00:53:54	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	1,402	51¢	$715	0x9b9e3d…
06-04 00:53:52	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	121	51¢	$62	0x429638…
06-04 00:53:51	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	9	51¢	$4	0x1fa6f7…
06-04 00:53:49	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa2a73a…
06-04 00:53:49	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x9ecb9d…
06-04 00:53:33	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x00ac83…
06-04 00:53:27	Spread: Panama (-1.5)	Panama	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7eefc9…
06-02 23:55:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,955	0xc2e83b…
05-31 17:02:54	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	2,000	37¢	$740	0x21df83…
05-30 13:19:33	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x6cd62c…
05-30 13:17:52	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	684	43¢	$294	0x0aaefe…
05-28 21:59:16	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x256f88…
05-28 21:57:49	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	720	98¢	$706	0x109433…
05-28 00:59:39	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	257	37¢	$95	0xd61002…
05-28 00:58:53	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x4964c3…
05-28 00:58:53	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x337adf…
05-28 00:58:22	Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	Chicago Sky	BUY	73	37¢	$27	0x2184c9…
05-26 15:29:19	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7fafee…
05-26 13:55:05	Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x55924e…
05-26 01:19:37	PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	BUY	1,250	62¢	$775	0x0b3820…
05-25 18:28:46	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,160	0xcc0928…
05-25 18:14:08	Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x84acc3…
05-24 06:31:33	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xbe6e47…
05-24 06:30:21	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x3ec538…
05-24 06:16:37	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	164	19¢	$31	0x56bd31…
05-23 14:29:10	Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	700	63¢	$441	0x0f8be3…
05-22 03:57:38	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$3	0x6a3d1b…
05-21 23:34:01	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?	No	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0x02a5d3…
05-21 22:06:05	Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	530	100¢	$529	0xb1e004…
05-21 19:11:57	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	1,330	99¢	$1,323	0x6ef1c7…
05-19 20:04:55	Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?	Yes	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xd01689…
05-19 19:37:44	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	539	95¢	$513	0x7b9e43…
05-19 18:26:53	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$987	0xfcfe0f…
05-15 22:09:57	Will Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	171	99¢	$168	0x1b508f…
05-15 22:09:18	Will Trump say "See what happens" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	265	99¢	$261	0x04fa71…
05-15 22:08:07	Will Trump say "Chip" or "Ship" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	233	99¢	$229	0xc6f116…
05-15 22:07:18	Will Trump say "Taiwan" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	227	99¢	$225	0x06de3c…
05-15 04:48:54	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe2f77a…
05-15 04:43:55	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0x7f0f77…
05-15 02:50:50	Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xefd0fb…
05-15 02:49:58	Will "Daddy" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	110	90¢	$99	0xfaea95…
05-15 02:05:50	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	151	97¢	$146	0x9a375e…
05-15 01:58:27	Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	62	37¢	$23	0x119e5e…
05-15 01:22:29	Will Trump say "North Korea" this week?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x892bd7…
05-15 01:15:35	Will Trump say "North Korea" this week?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb349ad…
05-15 01:15:28	Will Trump say "North Korea" this week?	Yes	BUY	334	95¢	$317	0xec51ec…
05-15 00:44:52	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	856	78¢	$668	0xb2dc7c…
05-14 23:40:26	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x19e868…
05-14 23:24:04	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	78	79¢	$62	0x3091c9…
05-14 22:37:58	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	476	79¢	$376	0xbb892a…
05-14 22:36:28	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x3840d0…
05-14 21:48:52	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	BUY	62	60¢	$38	0x816e64…
05-14 21:48:45	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Rousey	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x6cafe0…
05-14 20:19:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0x69c860…
05-14 20:00:05	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	63	21¢	$13	0xb0dd33…
05-14 19:59:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	129	21¢	$27	0x49d4ed…
05-14 19:45:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xd4143c…
05-14 19:40:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	253	21¢	$53	0x77ee27…
05-14 19:39:00	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	155	21¢	$33	0x901e71…
05-13 04:55:43	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	92	23¢	$21	0x8c6909…
05-13 04:51:44	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x413f88…
05-13 04:47:51	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	27	23¢	$6	0xc0cbd4…
05-13 02:10:00	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	1,241	23¢	$288	0x87b35f…
05-12 23:47:12	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xc4c8d2…
05-12 23:31:43	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x3d19d6…
05-12 20:02:58	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	76	23¢	$18	0x64c828…
05-12 19:23:28	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x639c8c…
05-11 18:42:44	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0xcb2b0a…
05-11 02:06:19	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xb69b15…
05-11 02:05:18	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x7de045…
05-11 01:59:58	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	98	28¢	$27	0x60a66f…
05-11 01:59:00	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	259	28¢	$72	0x781b80…
05-11 01:53:36	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x8fe9cf…
05-11 01:16:41	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Bohachuk	SELL	41	74¢	$30	0xc21de8…
05-11 01:09:11	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Bohachuk	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x7984b3…
05-10 23:22:29	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Bohachuk	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x6b2870…
05-10 23:02:11	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Bohachuk	BUY	500	67¢	$335	0x8376a5…
05-10 21:52:04	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xdff8f7…
05-10 18:40:25	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x61f287…
05-10 17:45:09	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xf29070…
05-10 17:37:48	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0xa647d3…
05-10 16:45:48	Zuffa Boxing 6: Mosley Jr. vs. Bohachuk (Middleweight, Main)	Mosley Jr.	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x7e5002…
05-09 19:46:38	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	75	62¢	$46	0x19e381…
05-09 19:42:12	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	3,000	65¢	$1,950	0xf38d12…
05-08 18:08:58	Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xdb324f…
05-08 03:49:13	Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0xcc532e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	62	$54.9K	4,348	06-04 02:46
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	55	$6.71K	1,226	06-01 12:04
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	51	$548.6K	4,040	06-04 02:45
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	50	$263.6K	3,086	05-31 22:20
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	48	$214.7K	8,769	05-01 18:10
Supportive-Revelation 0xa07d…a037	47	$4.47K	1,041	05-10 02:04
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	43	$396.5K	3,239	05-14 22:32
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	42	$18.7K	4,998	06-01 06:54