Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$589

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$54

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-24 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

37% 65% -$170

Politics

30% 43% -$192

Sports

21% 25% -$218

Crypto

7% 100% +$0

Tech

5% 33% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$279	300	0	+300	Yes	+$21	01-30 05:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$178	200	0	+200	Yes	-$178	02-14 07:08
mwoh ger lat 2026 02 14	1	$146	200	0	+200	Latvia	-$146	02-14 07:09
ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	1	$144	200	0	+200	Strickland	-$144	02-14 07:09
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$137	200	0	+200	Yes	+$63	01-31 04:13
will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1	$134	200	0	+200	Yes	-$134	02-14 07:08
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 18:03
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 18:00
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 18:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-28 18:04
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 18:03
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 18:06
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 18:01
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 18:06
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$22	200	0	+200	No	-$22	01-30 05:51
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$12	200	0	+200	No	-$12	01-30 05:52
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	10-24 17:38
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	09-19 16:42
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$11	200	0	+200	Yes	-$11	01-31 04:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	08-14 01:37
new stranger things episode released by july 31	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-12 05:29
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	06-07 05:44
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-14 07:14
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	02-14 07:14
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-03 08:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-06 04:17
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$7	200	0	+200	No	-$7	02-14 07:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$6	200	0	+200	Yes	-$6	02-14 07:11
will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	03-28 18:09
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$4	200	200	+0	No	-$2	02-14 07:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 17:38:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xae0ea6…
09-19 16:42:30	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x2692c4…
08-14 01:37:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x756834…
07-12 05:29:35	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb94cd2…
06-07 05:44:25	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb14065…
05-03 08:01:26	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x023b94…
04-06 04:17:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x37ddec…
03-28 18:09:01	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x04cc20…
03-28 18:07:39	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	266	1¢	$2	0xde3e4d…
03-28 18:06:15	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xda8f12…
03-28 18:06:01	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xccbe01…
03-28 18:05:39	will iowa win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xec8231…
03-28 18:04:41	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xff2b1d…
03-28 18:03:59	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa9832c…
03-28 18:03:33	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4c383d…
03-28 18:03:11	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a601d…
03-28 18:02:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	234	1¢	$1	0x2b0578…
03-28 18:02:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xbf88f8…
03-28 18:01:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x850e6e…
03-28 18:00:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xddf1fa…
02-14 07:16:29	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x6c0f24…
02-14 07:16:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xc28076…
02-14 07:14:45	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf662ee…
02-14 07:14:21	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb8031…
02-14 07:11:19	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x6261bf…
02-14 07:10:49	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0369b5…
02-14 07:09:55	mwoh ger lat 2026 02 14	Germany	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0xac5e99…
02-14 07:09:23	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Hernandez	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0xf08f8b…
02-14 07:08:53	will united states win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x784e8e…
02-14 07:08:03	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x80cb6c…
01-31 04:13:04	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$137	0x031ec7…
01-31 04:10:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0xbedd10…
01-31 04:09:48	will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x6ecd9d…
01-30 05:52:50	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x65228d…
01-30 05:52:24	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$3	0xc86cb9…
01-30 05:52:02	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x526b12…
01-30 05:51:40	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x4b44d6…