Tinted-Scout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$939

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

11.4%

Resolved

1,656

Trades

3,039

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-10 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Politics

45% 8% -$291

Other

43% 15% -$547

Crypto

8% 85% -$35

Tech

3% 0% -$32

Sports

1% 0% -$24

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 278 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		+0	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	08-01 06:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	103	$2.7K	2,581	2,396	+185	Yes	-$24	08-02 03:51
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	80	$2.1K	2,016	1,916	+100	Yes	-$8	08-01 19:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	52	$1.1K	1,304	1,204	+100	Yes	-$16	08-02 05:15
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	40	$679	838	838	+0	No	-$1	07-30 18:01
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?	30	$570	680	680	+0	Yes	-$16	08-01 21:22
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	24	$518	393	393	+0	open	—	08-05 10:23
iran full airspace closure by august 15	40	$431	371	371	+0	No	-$5	08-05 01:55
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	8	$392	200	200	+0	No	-$1	07-25 00:41
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	19	$385	379	378	+1	No	-$4	07-30 18:24
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	14	$385	350	350	+0	open	—	08-01 01:49
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	8	$337	200	200	+0	No	-$1	08-02 05:09
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	24	$279	240	240	+0	No	-$3	07-31 16:12
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	6	$244	124	124	+0	No	$0	07-28 16:56
Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	10	$226	154	154	+0	No	-$1	07-31 07:13
iran full airspace closure by july 24	16	$217	139	139	+0	No	$0	07-25 02:26
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	8	$213	185	185	+0	open	—	07-29 09:06
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad?	8	$213	159	159	+0	No	$0	07-30 04:17
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	4	$192	100	100	+0	No	$0	07-28 15:29
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	8	$184	193	193	+0	open	—	07-29 11:56
will trump say fake news during michigan remarks 20260724162420374	7	$175	150	150	+0	Yes	-$3	07-27 12:30
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	6	$170	150	150	+0	No	-$2	08-02 01:29
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	6	$162	149	149	+0	Yes	$0	08-02 11:50
will trump say transgender during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255816	6	$153	137	137	+0	No	-$1	07-24 22:19
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	4	$150	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-28 15:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489	8	$135	200	200	+0	open	—	07-28 16:55
boxing anthony joshua vspt kristian prenga 20260724153052168	4	$128	70	70	+0	Joshua	+$0	07-25 06:24
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	6	$127	150	150	+0	No	-$1	08-02 04:05
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	8	$127	160	160	+0	No	-$2	08-03 11:41
Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?	4	$124	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	07-29 02:46
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	2	$116	81	81	+0	No	+$2	08-06 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 18:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf37474…
09-28 00:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x94d8e4…
09-24 00:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x527372…
09-23 17:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xc972a4…
09-22 19:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4210c4…
09-22 15:14:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	No	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x71a8ec…
09-22 15:14:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22?	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x877e60…
09-22 14:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22?	No	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x3dd432…
09-22 14:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22?	No	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xc65a07…
09-22 14:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 22?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7d4db1…
09-22 09:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 40°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfd5cab…
09-22 07:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x65e9cc…
09-22 07:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xafacd0…
09-22 06:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x76ecfc…
09-22 01:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 22?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe1d400…
09-22 01:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 22?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8b1fae…
09-22 01:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x77cdd1…
09-21 23:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 21?	No	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0x7e1e4c…
09-21 23:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 21?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb7d783…
09-21 23:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 21?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x769487…
09-21 20:30:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x3b9893…
09-21 20:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x9a3d46…
09-21 20:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x99eaed…
09-21 20:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x397e79…
09-21 20:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x867017…
09-21 19:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x9e5632…
09-21 19:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5ca32e…
09-21 19:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22?	No	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0x136280…
09-21 19:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x6b1a3b…
09-21 19:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x581591…
09-21 17:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x046a87…
09-21 17:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe376a7…
09-21 14:28:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x726f4c…
09-21 14:23:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x54c9c5…
09-21 11:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 21?	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x4c9951…
09-21 11:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 21?	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x72adca…
09-21 09:01:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?	Yes	SELL	56	18¢	$10	0x47e175…
09-21 09:01:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x8b4a63…
09-21 09:01:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	66	23¢	$15	0x51d658…
09-21 07:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x48785c…
09-21 00:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 21?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9f67cf…
09-20 22:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 21?	No	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x98e02b…
09-20 22:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xee8fea…
09-20 22:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5b3d31…
09-20 17:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xcb2005…
09-20 16:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x63c2e6…
09-20 14:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 20?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd0331c…
09-20 13:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 20?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9efe1a…
09-20 10:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0ff7fb…
09-20 08:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xee9904…
09-20 02:07:09	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe8cd6f…
09-19 19:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7e7647…
09-19 06:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa490c0…
09-18 20:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9a8cc5…
09-18 20:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?	No	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x299846…
09-18 20:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x7bc033…
09-18 20:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xef1263…
09-18 20:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x11f55a…
09-18 15:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 18?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x670ca4…
09-18 13:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdf08db…
09-18 11:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf00812…
09-18 07:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x36a6d1…
09-18 00:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xf33e84…
09-17 21:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x12b2c4…
09-17 21:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x918465…
09-17 20:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc79cff…
09-17 20:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc89073…
09-17 18:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf204e6…
09-17 12:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 17?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x6f9b93…
09-17 12:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 17?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x57f085…
09-17 06:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x878b41…
09-16 11:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 16?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xe0f8f3…
09-16 08:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x2cc29f…
09-16 06:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	No	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xa03ec1…
09-16 01:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 16?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x22dd77…
09-15 18:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 15?	Yes	SELL	92	45¢	$42	0xf839dc…
09-15 18:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 15?	Yes	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0xc3432f…
09-15 18:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 15?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x5f4a27…
09-15 07:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x9dd84f…
09-15 05:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 15?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x9e4bd7…
09-15 05:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 15?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x801ed5…
09-14 21:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x9c997a…
09-14 20:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	No	SELL	58	50¢	$29	0x72e0fa…
09-14 20:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	No	BUY	58	49¢	$28	0xfd0c21…
09-14 17:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdbca94…
09-14 17:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x13d0d3…
09-14 17:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 15?	No	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xc90475…
09-14 05:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 14?	No	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xcbd36c…
09-14 05:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 14?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x74adf6…
09-14 05:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 14?	No	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x3d74d3…
09-14 03:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x237449…
09-14 00:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x8282c3…
09-14 00:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x1d708e…
09-13 17:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 14?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xa74aad…
09-13 17:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 14?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x3c0795…
09-13 14:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x8749fd…
09-13 14:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf35f38…
09-13 14:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x23c071…
09-13 14:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5d5fbe…
09-12 22:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 13?	No	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x66d17a…