Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$449

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

697

Trades

2,130

lifetime

Volume

$7.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-18 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

40% 39% -$163

Crypto

35% 59% +$330

Sports

15% 50% +$103

Tech

8% 43% +$157

Politics

2% 60% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-6	-$5	5¢	$-0	+$5	04-28 16:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?	11	$364	309	309	-0	Yes	+$166	04-30 06:34
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$130	104	104	+0	No	+$40	04-29 18:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	5	$96	109	109	+0	Yes	+$26	05-01 18:41
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?	7	$91	91	91	+0	No	+$51	05-11 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	16	$75	51	60	-9	Down	+$35	05-08 23:05
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$66	57	57	+0	Yes	+$16	05-01 08:24
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	4	$61	91	91	+0	Yes	+$23	05-11 20:49
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	2	$60	110	110	+0	Yes	-$30	04-30 14:37
Knicks vs. 76ers	10	$58	62	62	+0	Knicks	+$2	05-09 00:07
Chirayu Rana fired?	2	$55	89	89	+0	cancelled	+$21	05-01 15:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$53	28	45	-18	Up	+$20	05-10 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	11	$52	36	40	-5	Down	+$23	05-09 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$49	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	04-29 07:40
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs JiJieHao (+1.5)	3	$47	38	38	+0	JiJieHao	+$29	05-11 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	9	$42	29	25	+4	Up	+$12	05-11 08:15
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	10	$40	91	91	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:53
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	2	$39	56	56	+0	No	-$11	04-30 18:27
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	6	$39	26	26	+0	Yes	$0	05-02 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$37	29	24	+5	Up	+$15	05-08 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	13	$36	80	35	+45	Down	-$4	05-10 05:30
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 19corhigher	25	$36	101	93	+8	No	-$4	04-22 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$33	24	12	+12	Down	+$3	04-29 09:00
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 15c	17	$33	47	47	+0	No	-$3	04-22 03:14
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	9	$33	83	83	+0	No	-$17	05-01 15:22
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?	2	$32	89	89	+0	Yes	-$18	05-01 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$30	26	13	+13	Down	+$9	04-28 15:50
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	4	$30	53	29	+25	Spurs	-$2	05-09 04:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	12	$30	68	23	+45	Up	-$4	05-09 23:55
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	05-01 21:53
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$29	19	19	+0	Under	+$9	05-02 11:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 03:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x0db282…
10-17 21:57:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x5efd02…
10-15 18:35:26	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?	No	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x8793c1…
10-15 18:10:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x81b670…
10-05 03:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x6e1ed9…
10-04 16:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x472543…
10-02 05:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 2?	No	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x798d76…
10-02 05:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 2?	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xa9f59f…
10-01 04:26:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xdc72a0…
10-01 04:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x1f0979…
09-30 10:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 30?	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x8659c1…
09-30 10:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x803979…
09-30 09:12:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	No	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x271ebb…
09-30 09:12:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x19aa6f…
09-30 09:11:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 1?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc8c89b…
09-30 09:11:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x633a83…
09-30 08:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x135fc7…
09-30 08:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xdd66be…
09-30 07:11:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x8f2f00…
09-30 07:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf159d6…
09-30 06:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x9e5316…
09-30 06:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x3bf1f9…
09-30 03:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x8cda72…
09-30 03:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x46a34a…
09-30 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x4823e5…
09-30 01:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xf1cc77…
09-26 22:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 26?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x12e758…
09-26 19:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xbee6c0…
09-26 18:05:36	Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x79e1ca…
09-26 18:05:36	Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x46fbdc…
09-26 03:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbaa858…
09-26 03:00:59	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 26?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe66f2d…
09-26 03:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 26?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0fa36b…
07-11 17:03:14	US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x5cc6d9…
05-20 18:13:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0x3725d8…
05-19 12:02:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xd7fe83…
05-12 06:49:55	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x69a297…
05-12 06:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe22097…
05-12 06:25:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x45ce81…
05-12 06:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfe73f7…
05-12 06:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa10798…
05-12 06:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x8446fc…
05-12 06:00:03	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x734c3b…
05-12 06:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe9ce2e…
05-12 06:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xdb9d29…
05-12 06:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x4d8c3b…
05-12 06:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x0f7b5e…
05-12 05:59:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xe8ab8b…
05-12 05:59:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x9c3f20…
05-12 05:59:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x40f295…
05-12 05:59:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x360893…
05-12 05:59:59	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x1c23c6…
05-12 05:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xde1f80…
05-12 05:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcfaeff…
05-12 05:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5fdd8b…
05-12 05:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5fc224…
05-12 05:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x5aa1aa…
05-12 05:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x40b7e0…
05-12 05:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x21a9e3…
05-12 05:14:59	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9d23ac…
05-12 04:35:02	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96e833…
05-12 03:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4f4a6f…
05-12 02:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbeba10…
05-12 02:14:53	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6f614c…
05-12 01:54:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x15c184…
05-12 01:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6047fa…
05-12 01:30:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7065a5…
05-12 01:30:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c1f38…
05-12 01:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeab632…
05-12 00:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x712311…
05-12 00:10:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xae0ad5…
05-12 00:10:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6cb7d9…
05-12 00:10:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0ef490…
05-11 21:54:57	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8bd276…
05-11 21:45:00	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc83883…
05-11 20:49:04	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	45	14¢	$7	0xd79ae6…
05-11 20:48:48	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	45	78¢	$35	0x9b232b…
05-11 20:48:48	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?	No	SELL	91	78¢	$71	0x3887bb…
05-11 20:48:46	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x0f730d…
05-11 20:44:39	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2abb7e…
05-11 20:44:27	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xebfcfe…
05-11 20:44:27	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xdb9a8a…
05-11 20:44:27	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x0f0e8c…
05-11 20:44:25	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x04712b…
05-11 20:44:24	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0x49d2ce…
05-11 20:00:04	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc21547…
05-11 19:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x8d3ac4…
05-11 19:59:58	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x470e78…
05-11 19:59:57	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb6d5a3…
05-11 19:59:55	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf5217a…
05-11 19:59:55	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x821c15…
05-11 19:15:00	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x66bce4…
05-11 18:30:03	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21905a…
05-11 16:24:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbfbbbe…
05-11 16:19:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfd957b…
05-11 13:40:10	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0x4558bd…
05-11 13:40:05	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x1e1189…
05-11 13:40:01	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xf2e8a9…
05-11 13:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe5663b…
05-11 13:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xae59b9…