Squeaky-Bed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 05-20 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 71% $-5

Politics

9% 100% +$9

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 3	80	$813	725	703	+22	open	—	02-03 08:48
bitcoin up or down on february 27	19	$104	80	75	+5	open	—	02-27 12:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	04-22 01:55
bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	13	$36	70	30	+40	open	—	02-27 09:47
bitcoin up or down on february 6	12	$36	74	74	+0	open	—	02-06 16:08
bitcoin up or down on february 26	5	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	02-26 09:39
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	6	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	04-07 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	8	$30	30	30	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$20	18	18	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 14:07
btc updown 15m 1769067900	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-22 08:00
btc updown 15m 1769066100	3	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	01-22 07:23
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	04-10 17:14
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 10:34
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-28 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 13:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 18:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 14:29
btc updown 15m 1769068800	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	01-22 08:13
bitcoin up or down on february 2	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-02 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-05 14:02
btc updown 15m 1769053500	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-22 03:59
btc updown 15m 1769069700	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	01-22 08:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 11:09
btc updown 15m 1770262200	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	02-05 03:43
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	05-14 10:23
bitcoin up or down on february 9	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	02-09 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Down	$-6	05-05 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 13:44
btc updown 15m 1769394600	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	01-26 02:31
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 03:15:06	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x91718d…
05-18 11:40:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xd4e6ab…
05-17 10:35:24	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xef751d…
05-17 10:34:27	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x82f34f…
05-15 07:57:49	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x6e5dbf…
05-14 10:23:34	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x3b6e70…
05-14 10:23:33	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9767e3…
05-13 09:07:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x2c2450…
05-13 09:03:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc82866…
05-05 14:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x558af9…
05-05 14:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x69d181…
05-05 14:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x341701…
05-05 14:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xb01802…
05-05 14:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x5f679c…
05-05 14:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xbcfef9…
05-05 14:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6c0aa9…
05-05 14:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x6602e2…
05-05 14:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x47c924…
05-05 14:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x669d62…
05-05 14:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x26cda5…
05-05 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x35c1f1…
05-05 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0xf80311…
05-05 14:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x16ea6f…
05-05 14:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x76f659…
05-05 14:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3f0e2c…
05-05 13:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x343fd1…
05-05 13:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x784b3d…
05-05 13:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xcfaffd…
05-05 13:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9cf90b…
05-05 13:39:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6df5dc…
04-25 18:33:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x0d6966…
04-22 08:01:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xc3fb08…
04-22 01:55:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xd6d529…
04-22 01:55:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xddc889…
04-21 14:30:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x13ce6f…
04-17 10:35:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x73cb69…
04-14 10:23:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x4f4e3a…
04-13 04:15:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xde92d7…
04-13 03:54:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xc8159b…
04-11 21:14:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x8c9242…
04-11 09:14:37	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x639a00…
04-11 09:14:31	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xb337c5…
04-10 17:14:27	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x3ae9fd…
04-10 08:53:07	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x7ee332…
04-10 03:23:25	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x5e2302…
04-07 19:32:33	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x346b65…
04-05 13:47:25	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x3f3b1e…
04-03 11:35:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x74182f…
04-02 07:35:17	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x265d9e…
04-02 05:14:31	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x86193a…
03-31 13:32:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x989f69…
03-23 11:09:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x9226ef…
03-10 10:04:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6e9498…
02-27 12:31:43	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x2e23fb…
02-27 11:35:55	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x83922f…
02-27 10:24:51	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x9a12a7…
02-27 10:16:03	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb7546f…
02-27 10:15:25	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x42b47e…
02-27 10:09:29	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x8bd71b…
02-27 09:47:03	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xadf26c…
02-27 09:46:35	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x310a0d…
02-27 09:46:29	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x6c50cc…
02-27 09:44:03	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x6d7644…
02-27 09:43:03	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xedcd9e…
02-27 09:41:37	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x05bfc6…
02-27 09:35:25	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6a29d6…
02-27 09:35:21	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x8513fe…
02-27 09:35:21	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6f6415…
02-27 09:19:27	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	SELL	13	57¢	$8	0x4c3116…
02-27 09:19:27	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x0bb62a…
02-27 09:15:33	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x078ba6…
02-27 09:15:17	bitcoin up or down february 27 4am et	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x94283d…
02-27 08:46:49	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x0f4a7a…
02-27 08:21:29	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x36aa79…
02-27 08:15:05	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x70708a…
02-27 04:11:14	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x0386c5…
02-27 03:59:14	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x63ae8f…
02-27 03:57:02	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1f37f1…
02-27 03:39:06	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xbf7f29…
02-27 03:34:58	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x3555d5…
02-27 03:21:44	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xe0ae62…
02-27 03:05:38	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x5e0c02…
02-27 03:05:38	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x349202…
02-27 03:04:12	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xda2398…
02-27 03:02:20	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xabec82…
02-26 09:39:00	bitcoin up or down on february 26	Up	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x7c8830…
02-26 09:31:12	bitcoin up or down on february 26	Up	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x215329…
02-26 09:30:44	bitcoin up or down on february 26	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf86a06…
02-26 09:30:28	bitcoin up or down on february 26	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd12251…
02-26 09:29:36	bitcoin up or down on february 26	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x15dc5e…
02-09 03:38:37	bitcoin up or down on february 9	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xcdf36a…
02-06 16:08:05	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe6b9ff…
02-06 15:48:47	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa1a1ed…
02-06 13:04:49	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0xd09dae…
02-06 07:21:55	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x350a95…
02-06 06:48:05	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe521bf…
02-06 06:40:19	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd617f6…
02-06 06:35:51	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x231eee…
02-06 06:32:15	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2d96e2…
02-06 06:30:31	bitcoin up or down on february 6	Up	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x17e6ba…