Heavy-Tool-Descendant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$179

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 04:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

57% 0% $-102

Crypto

43% 25% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$102	101,800	0	+101,800	Yes	$-102	05-09 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$17	11	11	+0	Up	+$5	05-09 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	3	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$7	17	0	+17	Down	$-7	05-10 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-09 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$5	36	0	+36	Up	$-5	05-10 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	$-3	05-09 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	$-3	05-09 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-09 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Down	$-2	05-09 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-09 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-09 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-09 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-10 04:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 04:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x35f5fc…
05-10 04:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0xc415cb…
05-10 04:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0x4e4418…
05-10 04:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd9779a…
05-10 04:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x8929fc…
05-10 04:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcb3d76…
05-10 04:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xd943b7…
05-09 20:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x19554d…
05-09 20:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x28a6f6…
05-09 20:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x05a1fa…
05-09 20:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xed7378…
05-09 20:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb07f0d…
05-09 20:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2173e2…
05-09 20:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xa267f0…
05-09 20:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x8cc208…
05-09 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x80b16b…
05-09 20:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbb9fe9…
05-09 20:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x2f4e13…
05-09 20:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb7ec84…
05-09 20:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x84f75b…
05-09 20:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd770d1…
05-09 20:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb1047…
05-09 19:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x979f5a…
05-09 19:23:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,800	0¢	$2	0x0abc50…
05-09 19:14:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x4529dd…