Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
15
lifetime
Volume
$4.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$284
Open exposure
$38
9 positions
First seen
2026-06-29
last 07-04 03:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
97%
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 +$0 07-04 03:42
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 07-05 08:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-05 11:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 07-05 08:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 07-05 08:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +38 $5 12¢ $5 $-0 07-05 09:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +7 $2 28¢ $2 +$0 07-05 08:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 07-05 09:54
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +360 $13 $0 $-12 07-02 05:41