Creepy-Kingfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

Trades

195

lifetime

Volume

$7.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-22 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

48% 33% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No		+10	$9	94¢	$9	+$0	06-22 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	16	$410	487	487	+0	No	$-4	05-08 01:01
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	6	$390	199	199	+0	open	—	04-26 15:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$358	184	184	+0	open	—	05-09 03:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	8	$358	186	186	+0	No	$-1	05-10 16:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	6	$264	141	141	+0	No	+$1	05-01 22:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$242	126	126	+0	open	—	05-11 06:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	7	$238	123	123	+0	open	—	05-11 21:30
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	4	$196	101	101	+0	open	—	03-30 13:39
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	5	$147	252	252	+0	open	—	04-16 19:14
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$138	70	70	+0	open	—	04-29 23:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$138	70	70	+0	open	—	04-30 12:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$136	70	70	+0	open	—	03-29 06:05
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$135	71	71	+0	open	—	04-26 00:56
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	2	$135	73	73	+0	open	—	03-31 21:41
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	2	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	03-31 13:29
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	3	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	04-24 20:05
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	2	$133	69	69	+0	open	—	04-02 04:43
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$133	99	99	+0	open	—	03-24 05:09
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	2	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	03-26 00:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$132	70	70	+0	open	—	04-22 08:08
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$130	67	67	+0	open	—	05-12 01:38
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$125	64	64	+0	open	—	04-30 21:09
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	4	$125	139	139	+0	open	—	03-25 06:19
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$124	63	63	+0	open	—	04-27 06:53
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$124	63	63	+0	open	—	03-28 05:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$123	62	62	+0	open	—	04-16 06:39
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$123	151	151	+0	open	—	04-11 05:47
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	2	$123	63	63	+0	open	—	04-25 02:42
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	3	$123	64	64	+0	open	—	03-19 05:46
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	2	$122	62	62	+0	open	—	03-28 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:27:23	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6ec479…
05-19 05:24:19	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xe665bf…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	8¢	$3	0xf23d49…
05-12 10:52:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	194	5¢	$10	0x375b7c…
05-12 09:21:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	122	5¢	$6	0xe52ef4…
05-12 09:21:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xe1e5f2…
05-12 09:21:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	49	5¢	$3	0x60512b…
05-12 01:38:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0xde3acf…
05-12 01:37:43	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x0e04de…
05-11 21:30:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0xacf594…
05-11 21:30:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0d858c…
05-11 17:57:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xeafc06…
05-11 17:57:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x7c7ad9…
05-11 12:57:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x3731c2…
05-11 10:04:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xa9db98…
05-11 10:04:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x4440fc…
05-11 06:00:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$59	0x20d2d5…
05-11 02:09:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0x2f2019…
05-10 16:06:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xb86b7c…
05-10 16:06:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x0dec0a…
05-10 12:29:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0xb0d573…
05-10 07:03:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0xe3b479…
05-10 05:38:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x8e9c7f…
05-10 05:38:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x7a7b87…
05-09 12:43:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x09f652…
05-09 08:02:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$60	0x2773a2…
05-09 03:48:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x0f1d25…
05-09 01:39:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$59	0x91e829…
05-08 21:39:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0xb3a3df…
05-08 18:27:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$59	0x3dcc19…
05-08 06:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdc0284…
05-08 06:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x92de8e…
05-08 02:52:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x511871…
05-08 01:01:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xe6e0c4…
05-07 21:16:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	3¢	$4	0x707f7a…
05-07 19:43:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	3¢	$5	0x4d21d1…
05-06 22:20:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0x1ec536…
05-06 22:20:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x15ebed…
05-06 22:19:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x86e90e…
05-06 10:41:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	23	86¢	$20	0x7ac363…
05-06 08:00:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xa6a9aa…
05-06 05:03:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x981282…
05-06 05:03:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x9f7cd4…
05-05 14:43:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	64	96¢	$62	0x17e390…
05-05 11:43:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xe94bc4…
05-03 23:02:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	73	92¢	$67	0x549bdd…
05-03 20:16:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0x621f0e…
05-03 03:57:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x14426c…
05-03 03:57:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	4¢	$6	0xa4c4b7…
05-03 02:23:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0xc5f3a0…
05-03 02:23:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x5cfae5…
05-01 22:02:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0xb2f316…
05-01 22:02:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x3463b1…
05-01 18:53:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x6ce099…
05-01 18:53:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x84608c…
05-01 09:00:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x5db620…
05-01 07:19:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0x1888e6…
04-30 21:09:24	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$62	0xf7f632…
04-30 15:15:08	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x7142e4…
04-30 12:50:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x2e2dcc…
04-30 12:49:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x85b976…
04-29 23:19:54	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x2b61bc…
04-29 20:51:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x9b5e2e…
04-27 06:53:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0xa57490…
04-27 03:05:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x052ea1…
04-26 15:41:40	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x281314…
04-26 12:00:14	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xed1a49…
04-26 00:56:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	71	96¢	$68	0x856ec1…
04-25 23:50:12	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	71	95¢	$67	0x637537…
04-25 02:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x86898a…
04-24 22:20:56	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x3c1865…
04-24 20:05:18	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xe1e3d5…
04-24 20:05:18	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xc046ea…
04-24 18:12:32	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0xff8e42…
04-24 05:53:46	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xa9b3ae…
04-24 05:53:46	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x39529d…
04-24 00:22:58	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0x2399f7…
04-23 18:38:30	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	1¢	$2	0xadacaf…
04-23 17:07:42	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	1¢	$2	0xffeed7…
04-23 17:07:42	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	1¢	$0	0x3f7ad8…
04-23 13:16:28	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xa89a6e…
04-23 13:16:28	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x29e60f…
04-23 08:34:56	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0x4e615a…
04-23 08:34:56	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x3829d0…
04-22 21:40:36	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x831de5…
04-22 17:15:10	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x12734c…
04-22 11:53:00	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	157	2¢	$3	0x65b83a…
04-22 09:48:12	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$1	0xd7dfa1…
04-22 09:48:12	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	2¢	$1	0xaf5dde…
04-22 08:08:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0x9f9e42…
04-22 05:44:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x2cfd71…
04-21 17:32:02	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	134	5¢	$7	0x197016…
04-21 15:15:12	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	134	5¢	$7	0xedd7e7…
04-21 09:53:32	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x8f1d6c…
04-21 09:53:32	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x293532…
04-21 07:22:06	Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$61	0xf0eec4…
04-21 03:50:24	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	232	4¢	$10	0x48aaa1…
04-21 00:53:36	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x5c8732…
04-21 00:53:34	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	4¢	$8	0x1d59bf…
04-20 21:25:50	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0xf7a17c…