Skinny-Horse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

1,149

Trades

7,424

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-06 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 79% $-12

Other

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 860 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	No		+8	$1	18¢	$1	+$0	06-06 09:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 10corhigher	18	$115	376	376	+0	open	—	03-04 10:55
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$67	178	178	-0	open	—	03-05 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	7	$64	62	17	+45	Down	+$6	05-09 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$64	68	0	+68	Up	$-64	05-09 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$55	60	8	+52	Up	+$5	05-09 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	6	$52	61	21	+40	Down	+$4	05-08 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	9	$51	53	31	+22	Up	+$11	05-08 14:34
highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 9c	3	$47	96	0	+96	open	—	03-04 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$47	48	27	+21	Down	+$7	05-08 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	5	$46	48	8	+39	Down	+$1	05-09 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	6	$46	48	26	+22	Up	+$6	05-08 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$45	46	26	+21	Down	+$5	05-08 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$45	46	0	+46	Down	+$1	05-09 07:09
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	03-02 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	10	$45	46	25	+21	Down	+$5	05-08 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$44	71	21	+50	Down	+$20	05-08 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	7	$43	58	26	+32	Up	+$8	05-08 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	8	$43	45	24	+21	Up	+$4	05-08 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	8	$43	45	23	+21	Up	+$3	05-08 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	4	$43	48	24	+24	Down	+$4	05-08 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$43	48	23	+24	Up	+$3	05-08 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	7	$43	44	23	+21	Down	+$3	05-08 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	6	$43	44	23	+21	Up	+$2	05-08 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$43	44	23	+22	Down	+$3	05-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$42	48	23	+26	Up	+$2	05-08 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$42	43	22	+22	Up	+$1	05-08 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$42	43	22	+22	Up	+$1	05-08 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$42	43	22	+22	Down	+$1	05-08 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$42	43	22	+22	Down	+$1	05-08 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$42	43	22	+22	Down	+$1	05-08 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 09:03:58	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x18e2b0…
06-05 21:34:01	btc updown 5m 1780695000	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5741ba…
06-05 21:23:16	btc updown 5m 1780694400	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x6c3f15…
06-05 21:11:22	btc updown 5m 1780693800	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x69472d…
05-28 16:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdd12a5…
05-28 16:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x12055c…
05-28 14:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x18e702…
05-28 14:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb7973a…
05-28 14:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf3abfe…
05-28 14:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc4e8c0…
05-28 13:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31b69b…
05-28 13:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x887ea1…
05-28 13:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2c4c6a…
05-28 13:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xeb21a7…
05-28 12:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x0890bf…
05-28 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xf45b9e…
05-28 12:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0416a0…
05-28 12:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf936bc…
05-28 11:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xefaf0f…
05-28 10:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	48	36¢	$17	0x5c4f34…
05-28 10:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x7e3d53…
05-28 10:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x52d973…
05-28 10:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x77c458…
05-28 10:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x85f2f9…
05-28 10:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9a840c…
05-28 10:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x78dc1b…
05-28 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x102758…
05-28 09:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3ae686…
05-28 09:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5b5b13…
05-28 09:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd5f0a1…
05-28 09:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x0547ba…
05-28 09:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xaaff76…
05-28 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x15bf23…
05-28 08:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xc8534d…
05-28 08:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcd2952…
05-28 08:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0b0af8…
05-28 08:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbe1649…
05-28 07:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x23c140…
05-28 07:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x40f598…
05-28 07:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xee813b…
05-28 07:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xde3638…
05-28 07:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x70abb2…
05-28 07:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7f87a3…
05-28 07:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfbb675…
05-28 06:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd189f1…
05-28 06:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x33d331…
05-28 06:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x45bbd4…
05-28 06:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa06776…
05-27 20:10:33	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x30a316…
05-27 20:02:46	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x205d3d…
05-27 20:02:02	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x7d8394…
05-27 19:59:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x44dbe6…
05-27 19:59:47	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x398bb2…
05-27 19:45:59	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x52e9e8…
05-27 19:34:44	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x301928…
05-27 18:50:27	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x320ca9…
05-27 18:32:54	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x788b02…
05-27 14:05:26	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa1b0b7…
05-27 12:02:34	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x25cfd2…
05-27 12:02:20	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf6fc33…
05-27 11:56:49	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa2cdfa…
05-27 11:50:12	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8481da…
05-27 11:48:34	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x392252…
05-27 11:47:13	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x142047…
05-27 11:31:44	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xbcb885…
05-27 06:05:55	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x425741…
05-26 19:59:10	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x84479f…
05-26 19:59:08	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xf67628…
05-26 19:59:08	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0xd28b9c…
05-26 19:45:16	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5cf067…
05-26 19:40:43	Solana Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3c06ba…
05-26 19:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb36ad3…
05-26 19:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7060cf…
05-26 19:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xfed013…
05-26 19:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x15f2db…
05-26 19:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xebdf4c…
05-26 19:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x522660…
05-24 20:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xa55c16…
05-24 20:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x211091…
05-24 20:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x985373…
05-24 20:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x52f7ea…
05-24 20:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x157061…
05-24 20:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x304178…
05-24 20:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xadc3ef…
05-24 20:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdcb8bb…
05-24 20:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd2fc73…
05-24 20:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2c73f0…
05-24 20:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xc3c4a9…
05-24 20:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	12	60¢	$8	0xfb012e…
05-24 20:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0b66d6…
05-24 20:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x825ffc…
05-24 20:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6234a1…
05-24 19:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x889d12…
05-24 19:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2f04e2…
05-24 19:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x92245d…
05-24 19:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd63d0d…
05-24 19:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x89437f…
05-24 19:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb4ac0a…
05-24 18:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x4eb90d…
05-24 18:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xd5f79f…