Dishonest-Tulip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.78K

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

60.2%

Resolved

130

Trades

564

lifetime

Volume

$49.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$178

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-26 11:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

75% 49% +$4,689

Politics

16% 31% -$789

Sports

9% 50% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$1,881

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No		+1,046	$153	17¢	$178	+$24	10-26 11:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	26	$2.6K	2,532	2,532	+0	Yes	+$161	02-14 15:28
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	8	$2.5K	2,775	2,775	+0	No	-$456	03-04 21:42
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	3	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$21	02-13 20:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	13	$1.7K	3,222	2,222	+1,000	Yes	-$334	05-09 08:54
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	8	$1.6K	1,140	1,140	+0	No	+$281	01-07 11:00
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	19	$1.6K	1,555	1,555	+0	Yes	+$228	04-08 17:46
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	22	$1.5K	1,462	1,462	+0	Yes	+$104	03-02 08:12
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	12	$1.5K	1,513	1,513	+0	No	-$51	02-14 07:35
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 79 and 82 million views on week 1	5	$1.5K	800	1,000	-200	Yes	+$255	01-14 19:41
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	18	$1.3K	1,478	1,498	-20	Yes	+$574	01-08 14:11
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	3	$1.3K	801	801	+0	Yes	+$303	02-11 21:37
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	4	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$92	01-14 05:54
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$1.1K	2,083	0	+2,083	Yes	-$1,090	03-06 11:36
will mrbeasts latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5	13	$995	1,284	300	+984	No	+$121	04-09 16:00
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	2	$875	600	600	+0	Yes	+$323	01-03 11:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	14	$874	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$161	01-13 18:35
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	7	$874	1,414	0	+1,414	No	+$540	03-07 06:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$842	4,151	0	+4,151	No	-$842	03-06 10:13
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$840	500	500	+0	No	+$80	02-19 17:30
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	21	$828	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$1	07-20 10:54
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 8 million	4	$802	501	501	+0	Yes	-$39	02-01 21:51
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	4	$799	540	540	+0	Yes	+$151	01-28 21:55
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	8	$742	841	841	+0	Yes	-$262	01-25 12:14
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	12	$718	2,426	0	+2,426	Yes	+$1,709	02-27 21:25
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	4	$685	670	400	+270	Yes	+$27	03-26 14:21
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	4	$655	600	600	+0	No	-$41	03-04 10:38
will mrbeasts next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1 222	12	$652	359	359	+0	No	+$56	01-08 09:41
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 682	7	$648	770	770	+0	No	-$304	01-25 12:13
will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	4	$646	825	536	+289	Yes	+$266	03-20 19:18
will trump meet with emmanuel macron in january 2026	2	$585	500	500	+0	No	-$142	01-20 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:37:59	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	638	14¢	$89	0xe357b6…
09-14 14:40:19	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0x3f7c29…
09-14 12:36:10	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1d2a8a…
09-14 06:14:43	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x138d75…
09-13 16:24:25	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x51c557…
09-13 13:53:30	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	BUY	46	16¢	$7	0xd3cfab…
08-20 11:46:22	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	278	22¢	$62	0x3481ae…
08-20 11:40:06	Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	388	8¢	$30	0xf811bf…
08-04 06:42:18	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	No	SELL	77	45¢	$35	0x7808fa…
08-04 06:31:51	will russia target kyiv by august 7 2026 20260801211334044	No	BUY	308	41¢	$126	0x337fd2…
07-21 19:42:31	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	471	6¢	$30	0x19f336…
07-20 12:42:12	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x01bd63…
07-20 10:54:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	161	41¢	$66	0x23cd4d…
07-20 10:28:58	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x72437c…
07-20 08:04:03	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	No	BUY	419	27¢	$113	0xa5e0ee…
07-20 07:59:54	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x8a45bb…
07-20 07:54:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	36	42¢	$15	0x41adcb…
07-20 06:42:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xae6d9f…
07-20 06:42:21	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x937330…
07-20 06:42:00	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0x4ef8dd…
07-20 01:17:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x4e014f…
07-19 23:56:07	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xe44108…
07-19 23:56:06	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0xbc1428…
07-19 23:18:27	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x3fa174…
07-19 23:01:49	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x96d461…
07-19 20:38:06	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	17	42¢	$7	0xfa61b7…
07-19 18:46:00	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	227	41¢	$93	0xa858eb…
07-19 17:25:12	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0xd6e06f…
07-19 12:31:52	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xaa97f0…
07-19 12:08:04	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xa5e6f5…
07-19 08:55:15	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	99	41¢	$41	0xcf2ef7…
07-19 06:50:33	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xc43927…
07-19 06:27:01	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xa75437…
07-18 20:47:18	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	1,000	41¢	$415	0xdaa018…
07-18 20:27:16	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	471	10¢	$45	0x26d2d8…
07-17 21:07:45	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	600	12¢	$72	0x4cbd3d…
07-17 20:30:57	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	118	14¢	$17	0x3bfcef…
07-17 20:30:34	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	191	14¢	$27	0xfdfd2f…
07-17 19:21:00	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	540	10¢	$53	0xca8dec…
07-17 19:20:36	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xe81643…
07-17 19:20:03	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbe7a6a…
07-17 19:14:31	will oleksandr syrskyi be out as ukraines commander in chief by july 31 2026 20260716215104507	Yes	BUY	667	13¢	$86	0x0bed5b…
07-17 19:01:12	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x9bb449…
07-17 19:01:09	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x259605…
07-17 19:01:07	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0x1aa739…
07-17 18:57:13	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	242	10¢	$24	0x731ced…
05-31 08:25:52	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$113	0xbc1abd…
05-31 05:36:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	112	79¢	$89	0x6a3546…
05-31 05:36:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x53ddbb…
05-31 05:36:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	157	79¢	$124	0x3f8732…
05-17 13:47:44	Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x667d2f…
05-12 05:32:12	Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$74	0xb77180…
05-12 05:31:49	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	SELL	723	0¢	$3	0x1611a1…
05-12 05:31:37	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x10769b…
05-09 08:54:30	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	361	20¢	$73	0x6dc68f…
05-09 08:53:32	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	361	20¢	$73	0x5b1c2c…
05-09 08:47:51	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	207	24¢	$50	0xc099da…
05-09 08:33:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	342	14¢	$48	0x5c93a4…
05-09 08:32:57	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	220	14¢	$31	0xb24c63…
05-08 19:00:04	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	180	77¢	$139	0x5521d4…
05-08 18:58:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	27¢	$31	0xaeb6c5…
05-08 18:57:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	184	32¢	$60	0xfc7f12…
05-08 09:22:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	700	83¢	$581	0x104a32…
05-08 09:18:20	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0x4aee27…
05-08 09:16:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xcd8287…
05-08 09:16:14	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0x3fa8c4…
05-08 09:15:53	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xf42c14…
05-08 06:56:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0x4569e8…
05-07 19:45:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	998	10¢	$100	0xc4c9e6…
05-07 19:44:40	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x86c39c…
05-07 17:32:34	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	328	24¢	$79	0x5013bb…
05-07 17:04:03	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x90d595…
05-07 01:54:32	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	450	58¢	$261	0x2328cf…
05-07 00:03:55	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	600	27¢	$162	0x262c55…
05-06 14:50:56	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x02d1e2…
05-06 05:14:46	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	Yes	BUY	108	30¢	$32	0x97043a…
05-06 03:57:20	Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	286	65¢	$186	0x5db300…
05-06 00:46:32	Will MrBeast's video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x47fba9…
05-06 00:46:30	Will MrBeast's video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	31	10¢	$3	0x4289cf…
05-05 23:10:18	Will MrBeast's video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xd931d1…
05-05 21:24:26	Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x431277…
05-05 20:43:32	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	937	24¢	$225	0xd9107e…
05-05 20:21:20	Will MrBeast's video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x648961…
05-05 19:41:54	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xb59f16…
05-05 19:41:54	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x0cd450…
05-05 19:32:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	39¢	$387	0x905f60…
05-03 07:56:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$10	0x0108f2…
05-03 07:55:42	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	124	2¢	$3	0x34cf1c…
05-02 17:40:48	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	511	5¢	$26	0x0bf13b…
05-02 17:39:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xce2517…
05-02 17:39:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xbb2d7d…
05-02 17:39:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x9c6386…
05-02 17:39:22	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x2907bc…
05-02 17:05:52	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x923b54…
05-02 17:05:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0xa0f77a…
04-20 21:06:24	will mrbeasts video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x097049…
04-20 20:40:58	will mrbeasts video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x220b4c…
04-20 20:39:50	will mrbeasts video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xd2d1a3…
04-19 07:34:50	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	201	12¢	$24	0xf8dfd4…
04-19 07:34:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	174	12¢	$21	0xe0a34d…