Unrealistic-Hydraulics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

1,154

Trades

2,171

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-02 05:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 76% -$166

Politics

2% 59% -$3

Other

1% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 72k on april 11	12	$187	123	85	+37	Yes	+$3	04-11 09:10
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	2	$104	54	54	+0	Yes	+$4	04-13 17:00
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$83	88	0	+88	Yes	+$5	05-14 09:18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 27?	8	$82	53	46	+7	No	+$4	04-27 14:36
ethereum above 2200 on april 9	10	$42	40	38	+2	Yes	+$13	04-09 16:37
bitcoin above 74k on april 14	5	$39	28	28	+1	Yes	+$5	04-14 17:35
ethereum above 2300 on april 15	4	$33	30	29	+1	Yes	$0	04-14 17:35
ethereum above 2300 on april 24	3	$29	33	16	+17	Yes	+$3	04-24 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:05 UTC	2	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$4	04-16 11:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 14:15 UTC	4	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	04-16 14:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 01:55 UTC	2	$24	15	15	+0	Up	+$4	04-16 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:45 UTC	3	$24	17	17	-0	Down	+$4	04-16 00:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 23:10 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	04-15 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:35 UTC	2	$23	20	19	+1	Down	+$4	04-16 11:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:25 UTC	2	$23	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	04-15 22:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 16:20 UTC	2	$23	15	14	+0	Down	+$4	04-16 16:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 22:40 UTC	2	$23	15	14	+0	Down	+$4	04-15 22:42
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:10 UTC	2	$23	16	15	+0	Down	+$4	04-16 10:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 17:05 UTC	2	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$3	04-16 17:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 18:20 UTC	2	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	04-15 18:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:20 UTC	5	$22	14	14	+0	Down	+$2	04-16 04:24
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 10:05 UTC	2	$22	16	13	+3	Down	+$5	04-16 10:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 17:25 UTC	3	$20	13	13	+0	Up	+$5	04-12 17:29
ethereum above 2200 on april 10	6	$19	36	5	+31	Yes	-$8	04-10 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:15 UTC	3	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	04-14 20:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:00 UTC	3	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	04-14 23:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:35 UTC	2	$19	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	04-14 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 16:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 21:15 UTC	2	$19	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	04-14 21:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 05:36:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$15	0x66b1cb…
06-01 03:58:36	Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc774d4…
06-01 03:58:29	Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8d4a5e…
06-01 03:58:23	Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe2e386…
06-01 03:58:18	Will Trump post "NATO" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x28ab39…
06-01 02:13:22	will trump post coast guard on truth social this week	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x20ec7e…
05-30 21:51:24	Will Trump post "CIA" or "C.I.A" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x378a68…
05-30 21:51:20	Will Trump post "CIA" or "C.I.A" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x201408…
05-29 05:01:22	Will Trump post "CIA" or "C.I.A" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x01935b…
05-27 05:30:28	will trump post coast guard on truth social this week	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3307ba…
05-26 18:48:20	Will Trump post "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5ecbc9…
05-26 18:48:18	Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x050d02…
05-26 17:40:36	Will Trump post "NATO" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xebd5f2…
05-26 17:40:34	Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x09ad4f…
05-26 17:40:33	Will Trump post "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3c9fa8…
05-26 17:40:29	Will Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x6dbb0c…
05-26 17:40:27	Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x92bddf…
05-26 17:40:26	Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xd559e6…
05-25 02:48:33	Will Trump post "Scam" or "Hoax" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x119f31…
05-21 17:09:12	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x6ad3ce…
05-21 17:08:23	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xaec3eb…
05-19 19:01:36	Will Trump post "Scam" or "Hoax" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x0d5021…
05-19 19:00:38	Will Trump post "Scam" or "Hoax" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa10737…
05-19 18:43:27	Will Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x86540b…
05-19 18:43:24	Will Trump post "Television" or "TV" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x9ee803…
05-19 18:43:22	Will Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe7e4ca…
05-19 18:43:20	Will Trump post "IQ" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x10d559…
05-19 18:43:19	Will Trump post "Sleepy Joe" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x4ab181…
05-14 09:18:02	Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	94¢	$83	0x828cc6…
05-13 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x687d22…
05-13 22:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x75fd83…
05-13 22:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5dbd25…
05-13 22:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0acad1…
05-13 21:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe3066b…
05-13 21:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x7be747…
05-13 21:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6ff67f…
05-13 21:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdbca5d…
05-13 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcaa356…
05-13 21:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf4571e…
05-13 21:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x41a302…
05-13 21:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa305f3…
05-13 20:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf98f8e…
05-13 20:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd8462f…
05-13 20:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa589d5…
05-13 20:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb89201…
05-13 20:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfc74d8…
05-13 20:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xed2423…
05-13 19:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01bcdc…
05-13 19:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x44e9e9…
05-13 19:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xae3f5c…
05-13 19:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa44c96…
05-13 19:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf4608f…
05-13 19:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6d0c73…
05-13 18:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd075d8…
05-13 18:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x68d980…
05-13 18:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaa03a7…
05-13 18:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5ebd14…
05-13 18:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0ffec4…
05-13 18:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b42d3…
05-13 18:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x70d6a9…
05-13 18:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4433cd…
05-13 18:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa286d0…
05-13 18:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xffe9b5…
05-13 18:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4e11d0…
05-13 17:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x2e570f…
05-13 17:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1cd61b…
05-13 17:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc8d68a…
05-13 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x821bff…
05-13 17:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x897f47…
05-13 17:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6ff0a…
05-13 17:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9e9d10…
05-13 16:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x677b4b…
05-13 16:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x794232…
05-13 16:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x6fc384…
05-13 16:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac72ab…
05-13 16:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x51c51a…
05-13 15:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa3a0a…
05-13 15:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf763f9…
05-13 15:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9562b5…
05-13 15:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x921416…
05-13 15:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x945dcc…
05-13 15:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xfc0a8f…
05-13 15:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xad56d9…
05-13 15:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x403d52…
05-13 15:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9ad157…
05-13 15:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb3831e…
05-13 15:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xe6888e…
05-13 15:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x38ad6e…
05-13 14:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x6deae6…
05-13 14:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb917b5…
05-13 14:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xdddfed…
05-13 14:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf29eae…
05-13 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa69239…
05-13 14:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcec785…
05-13 14:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x827aff…
05-13 14:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x374696…
05-13 14:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc46bb6…
05-13 14:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x568d85…
05-13 14:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xde71cd…
05-13 14:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4fd2bf…