Harmonious-Fairness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$595

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-15 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-92

Other

36% 0% $-122

Crypto

8% 0% $-36

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$155	4,493	0	+4,493	open	—	05-11 18:01
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	3	$57	2,632	2,632	+0	open	—	05-15 04:38
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$52	2,447	0	+2,447	Yes	$-52	05-08 14:03
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$43	109	109	+0	open	—	05-14 23:57
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	2	$38	12,620	0	+12,620	No	$-38	05-11 23:12
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	1	$34	555	0	+555	Yes	$-34	05-08 08:03
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	1	$31	334	0	+334	open	—	05-08 08:08
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$30	240	0	+240	Yes	$-30	05-08 19:08
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	1	$30	191	0	+191	Yes	$-30	05-09 00:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$27	1,039	0	+1,039	Yes	$-27	05-08 22:35
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$25	218	218	+0	open	—	05-15 20:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$25	862	0	+862	open	—	05-08 23:54
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$20	400	0	+400	No	$-20	05-08 22:14
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	1	$10	1,670	0	+1,670	Yes	$-10	05-11 15:51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	1	$9	1,281	0	+1,281	Yes	$-9	05-11 22:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	1	$9	600	0	+600	open	—	05-15 00:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 20:31:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	218	5¢	$10	0xec87bb…
05-15 04:50:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	218	7¢	$15	0x0ff2e8…
05-15 04:38:22	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2,632	1¢	$16	0x798450…
05-15 00:01:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	600	2¢	$9	0x5d876c…
05-14 23:57:35	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	9¢	$10	0x6737c5…
05-11 23:12:35	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6,287	0¢	$19	0x246117…
05-11 23:10:21	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6,333	0¢	$19	0x6bda26…
05-11 23:05:41	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,062	2¢	$17	0x2e5170…
05-11 22:46:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,281	1¢	$9	0xb04065…
05-11 22:08:20	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,570	2¢	$24	0x88fdba…
05-11 18:01:46	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,084	1¢	$12	0xb17ef6…
05-11 15:51:21	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	No	BUY	1,670	1¢	$10	0x4a5ca3…
05-11 12:05:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	2,376	1¢	$21	0x36f0f1…
05-10 22:27:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	206	9¢	$18	0x9b3254…
05-09 20:11:45	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	456	12¢	$55	0xbf890c…
05-09 20:05:41	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	30¢	$33	0x43ae12…
05-09 00:02:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	191	16¢	$30	0x02ef08…
05-08 23:54:03	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	862	3¢	$25	0x5e24a1…
05-08 22:35:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,039	3¢	$27	0x617e14…
05-08 22:14:11	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x0b0f8d…
05-08 19:08:06	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	240	12¢	$30	0x29f97d…
05-08 14:03:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	2,447	2¢	$52	0xd68d3e…
05-08 08:08:20	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	334	9¢	$31	0x32bfcf…
05-08 08:03:43	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	BUY	555	6¢	$34	0x897c38…
05-08 01:10:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	372	13¢	$48	0x34adf6…