Daring-Lumberman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$4.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-27 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-17

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$392	321	321	+0	open	—	05-01 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$315	279	279	+0	open	—	04-29 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$265	411	411	+0	open	—	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$229	190	190	+0	open	—	05-01 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$162	103	103	+0	open	—	04-29 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$156	250	250	+0	open	—	05-14 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$135	182	182	+0	open	—	05-03 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$121	90	90	+0	open	—	04-29 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$116	119	119	+0	open	—	04-29 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$102	65	65	+0	open	—	05-01 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$101	77	77	+0	open	—	04-29 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$100	2,178	0	+2,178	open	—	05-01 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$100	264	0	+264	open	—	04-29 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$91	82	82	+0	open	—	04-29 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	6	$91	73	73	+0	Down	+$11	05-09 18:18
btc updown 5m 1780515300	2	$76	53	53	+0	open	—	06-03 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$74	57	57	+0	open	—	04-29 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$73	87	64	+23	open	—	05-03 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$72	61	60	+2	open	—	04-26 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	04-29 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$67	56	54	+2	open	—	04-26 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$65	71	71	+0	open	—	04-29 18:45
btc updown 5m 1781206500	4	$65	67	67	+0	open	—	06-11 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$60	42	42	+0	open	—	04-29 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$57	81	81	+0	open	—	04-29 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$53	36	36	+0	open	—	05-14 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$52	46	46	+0	open	—	04-29 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$51	43	41	+2	open	—	04-26 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$50	556	56	+500	open	—	04-29 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	3	$50	67	29	+38	open	—	04-29 17:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 13:55:58	btc updown 5m 1782568500	Down	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x51b692…
06-27 13:55:25	btc updown 5m 1782568500	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x715564…
06-27 13:54:41	btc updown 5m 1782568200	Up	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x8fb8ac…
06-27 13:53:58	btc updown 5m 1782568200	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa2da24…
06-14 08:53:21	btc updown 5m 1781427000	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xad3725…
06-11 19:40:24	btc updown 5m 1781206800	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x00b742…
06-11 19:38:13	btc updown 5m 1781206500	Up	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x66d2d1…
06-11 19:36:45	btc updown 5m 1781206500	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x24c992…
06-11 19:36:16	btc updown 5m 1781206500	Up	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0x6f770b…
06-11 19:35:36	btc updown 5m 1781206500	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x5f07be…
06-03 19:41:27	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Down	SELL	51	30¢	$15	0x2c4e92…
06-03 19:40:49	btc updown 5m 1780515600	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x7c8b5b…
06-03 19:38:21	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Up	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xc25dbd…
06-03 19:36:04	btc updown 5m 1780515300	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xe824c3…
05-31 06:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	68	20¢	$14	0x35b34c…
05-31 06:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x30e38e…
05-21 20:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xaba358…
05-18 17:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x0af294…
05-18 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x021080…
05-14 14:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	36	78¢	$28	0xb3e2c4…
05-14 14:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xf2611f…
05-14 14:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	168	17¢	$29	0x76bde6…
05-14 14:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	168	15¢	$25	0xa2adea…
05-14 14:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	82	64¢	$53	0xcc31f3…
05-14 14:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x99771e…
05-14 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xa5aeac…
05-10 07:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0x82b4fa…
05-10 07:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x9cf56d…
05-10 07:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x20f0cf…
05-10 07:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x91e3bf…
05-10 07:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x31da8f…
05-10 07:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf4d23d…
05-10 07:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0xead387…
05-10 07:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x7766e2…
05-10 07:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	372	1¢	$4	0x8d1bbe…
05-10 07:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	372	3¢	$10	0xf620e2…
05-10 04:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x1a95ce…
05-10 04:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x13d5d9…
05-10 04:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x524b12…
05-10 04:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe44b92…
05-09 18:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	154	7¢	$10	0x98279c…
05-09 18:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x99a0c2…
05-09 18:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x4d1fd6…
05-09 18:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	37	64¢	$24	0x48d680…
05-09 18:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x386e5d…
05-09 18:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	33	79¢	$26	0x1c4879…
05-09 18:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4d7e75…
05-09 18:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbe156e…
05-09 18:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	40	61¢	$25	0xca5766…
05-09 18:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc7b1b3…
05-09 18:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0c93ca…
05-06 19:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	53	10¢	$5	0x11ba6d…
05-06 19:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x80bac9…
05-06 19:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xe7ba69…
05-06 19:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc0a6e9…
05-04 18:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	65	10¢	$6	0x2f12a3…
05-04 18:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x5a8659…
05-04 17:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	469	4¢	$19	0x993099…
05-04 16:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0x9667f1…
05-04 16:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	73	28¢	$20	0x586ce1…
05-03 19:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0x3cac2d…
05-03 19:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5fa126…
05-03 19:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4700a3…
05-03 19:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	182	19¢	$35	0x3d6cb1…
05-03 19:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x4c79d1…
05-03 19:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5aa132…
05-03 19:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0x951dbc…
05-03 19:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8d19f3…
05-03 19:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	26	83¢	$22	0x58d000…
05-03 19:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7f032c…
05-03 19:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	27¢	$5	0xc0fe49…
05-03 19:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x08ba15…
05-01 16:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x896d13…
05-01 16:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7e5a73…
05-01 16:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9d6cdb…
05-01 15:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2,178	5¢	$100	0x262910…
05-01 15:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0xcae9b6…
05-01 15:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb9d2e2…
05-01 15:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	321	91¢	$292	0x032ebe…
05-01 15:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	321	31¢	$100	0x5ae7cf…
05-01 15:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xaa619f…
05-01 15:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x37d3ef…
05-01 15:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	164	72¢	$118	0x121a2a…
05-01 15:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x4128ce…
05-01 15:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0xef03f9…
05-01 15:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xdd2f4c…
05-01 15:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0xdfa6ff…
05-01 15:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc72953…
05-01 15:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	378	32¢	$119	0xb15ffb…
05-01 15:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	378	26¢	$100	0x0d33ca…
05-01 15:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	33	76¢	$25	0x33d814…
05-01 15:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x86e256…
05-01 15:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0x9f8361…
05-01 15:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x139423…
05-01 15:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb1abee…
05-01 15:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x7af4ec…
05-01 15:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1c8dd5…
05-01 14:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3f1c3d…
04-30 19:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xe78124…
04-30 19:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc6af07…