Tragic-Julienne — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$842

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

251

Trades

747

lifetime

Volume

$5.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 09-30 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 55% -$278

Other

19% 10% -$441

Politics

3% 11% -$10

Tech

2% 0% -$113

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	5	$849	11,036	11,036	+0	No	-$395	09-30 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	6	$261	255	255	+0	Down	+$36	06-10 20:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 09:30 UTC	7	$210	130	110	+21	Up	+$1	01-10 09:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 19:00 UTC	14	$152	138	84	+54	Up	-$38	01-11 19:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 13:15 UTC	10	$130	138	136	+1	Up	+$5	01-10 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 21:15 UTC	2	$120	61	61	+0	Up	+$0	01-09 21:28
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	8	$117	290	290	+0	Yes	-$113	02-09 03:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 08:15 UTC	5	$117	129	0	+129	Down	+$12	01-10 08:29
japan declassifies new ufo files in 2026	2	$113	66	66	+0	open	—	07-10 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	22	$106	658	0	+658	Down	-$106	09-30 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:15 UTC	7	$92	50	50	+0	Up	+$1	02-06 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	6	$92	149	15	+134	Down	-$49	06-10 20:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 18:45 UTC	3	$80	87	0	+87	Down	+$7	01-10 18:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:00 UTC	4	$74	1,911	27	+1,884	Down	-$25	01-12 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:00 UTC	5	$69	70	0	+70	Up	+$1	01-10 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:20 UTC	15	$66	40	40	+0	Down	$0	06-09 21:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:30 UTC	4	$62	70	4	+66	Down	+$6	01-10 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 13:15 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	01-12 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 21:00 UTC	3	$60	73	0	+73	Up	+$13	01-09 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$55	30	30	+0	Down	+$0	06-09 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$53	59	0	+59	Up	+$6	05-15 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 21:30 UTC	5	$51	33	33	+0	Down	+$5	06-07 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 22:00 UTC	3	$49	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	02-06 22:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 22:15 UTC	4	$48	116	115	+2	Up	-$36	01-07 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:10 UTC	3	$42	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	06-09 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 12:45 UTC	2	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	01-10 12:59
iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	2	$39	38	38	+0	Yes	+$29	07-12 18:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 08:30 UTC	2	$39	40	0	+40	Down	+$1	01-10 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:30 UTC	4	$38	30	15	+15	Up	+$0	06-09 19:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 11:30 UTC	3	$37	40	0	+40	Down	-$37	01-10 11:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 21:44:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8b585c…
09-30 21:42:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8abe4a…
09-30 21:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xf14f6d…
09-30 21:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xcac47e…
09-30 21:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x71ff8c…
09-30 21:42:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x242f66…
09-30 21:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x90b66e…
09-30 21:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x8efca1…
09-30 21:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x77c6f9…
09-30 21:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x342bb5…
09-30 21:42:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd737b9…
09-30 21:42:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa9d98a…
09-30 21:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xbe7413…
09-30 21:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x215987…
09-30 21:42:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2d2af1…
09-30 21:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x71adb5…
09-30 21:42:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x2fddc4…
09-30 21:42:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x1af71d…
09-30 21:42:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x787d9a…
09-30 21:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x22d23a…
09-30 21:42:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4ebeea…
09-30 21:42:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd259da…
09-30 21:39:50	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xf666bd…
09-30 20:50:26	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xcc3209…
09-30 20:49:09	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,926	1¢	$117	0x97635f…
09-30 20:43:41	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	4¢	$12	0xf26924…
09-30 20:42:02	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,598	5¢	$500	0x294d7e…
08-21 21:36:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x4c8fc2…
08-21 21:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9b6aa3…
08-21 21:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd24a4f…
08-21 21:32:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbcb5a2…
08-21 21:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x1875aa…
08-21 21:32:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x678727…
08-21 21:31:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x81304b…
08-21 21:30:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7763c8…
08-21 21:27:36	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x23bda3…
08-21 21:25:45	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x55e2dc…
08-21 21:25:42	bitcoin up or down august 21 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1d4102…
08-03 21:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8aa776…
08-03 21:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x7ade0a…
08-03 21:11:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x22812f…
08-01 19:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeacbbd…
08-01 11:17:06	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x7445da…
07-31 08:27:42	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0xa09c53…
07-30 21:22:30	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	Yes	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x13c2b5…
07-21 16:32:58	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	185	0¢	$1	0x761d16…
07-17 22:42:40	gemini 4pt0 released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x161a6b…
07-17 22:41:22	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	246	6¢	$14	0x09d8ed…
07-12 18:05:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0xd22530…
07-12 18:05:08	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xe9b1cf…
07-10 17:20:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 12 20260708212322937	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xb2b003…
07-10 17:20:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xfe8d03…
07-10 17:14:23	will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xb18474…
07-10 17:13:56	will mrbeast say subscriber during his next youtube video 20260702154826883	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x78e15a…
07-10 16:18:07	will trump say female this week 20260703145736722	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x6be1f0…
07-10 16:12:50	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0xf287fa…
07-10 16:12:08	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0x57490f…
07-10 16:07:37	japan declassifies new ufo files in 2026	No	SELL	66	82¢	$54	0x44170e…
06-11 04:23:37	japan declassifies new ufo files in 2026	No	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0xb3584e…
06-10 20:58:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x96eb22…
06-10 20:53:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x83eb0d…
06-10 20:53:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f4a6b…
06-10 20:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0x80c150…
06-10 20:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa033b1…
06-10 20:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0x7c0056…
06-10 20:52:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xbda07f…
06-10 20:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	147	43¢	$63	0x130be2…
06-10 20:48:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x8f851c…
06-10 20:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0x11c783…
06-10 20:46:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xa5a0b5…
06-10 20:46:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	93	79¢	$73	0x8a7f97…
06-10 20:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x488e04…
06-10 20:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xcfcca8…
06-10 20:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x078585…
06-10 20:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x18c59f…
06-10 20:09:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x21c170…
06-10 20:08:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd3ca96…
06-10 20:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xab0d9f…
06-10 20:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xceb5f5…
06-10 20:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x14367a…
06-10 20:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa0af95…
06-10 19:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x039688…
06-10 19:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd089fd…
06-10 19:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x52fe76…
06-10 18:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x75af36…
06-09 22:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa92879…
06-09 22:09:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x06970c…
06-09 22:03:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x183244…
06-09 22:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x675658…
06-09 21:53:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x965395…
06-09 21:53:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x088226…
06-09 21:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x49f533…
06-09 21:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xbd4513…
06-09 21:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x0a2f95…
06-09 21:30:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xba5090…
06-09 21:30:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x09b74f…
06-09 21:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x28c704…
06-09 21:24:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7e846f…
06-09 21:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x379c3b…
06-09 21:22:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc75e6e…