Thick-Official — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$545

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

100

Trades

968

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 05-10 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 32% $-545

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$453	410	410	+0	Down	+$277	05-08 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$447	367	367	+0	Up	+$279	05-09 19:50
btc updown 5m 1771403100	4	$402	214	214	+0	open	—	02-18 08:30
btc updown 5m 1771403400	3	$333	209	194	+15	open	—	02-18 08:34
btc updown 5m 1771331400	2	$310	244	241	+3	open	—	02-17 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$239	199	199	+0	Up	+$154	05-08 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$221	200	200	+0	Up	+$111	05-09 19:59
btc updown 5m 1771372200	8	$199	152	152	+0	open	—	02-17 23:55
btc updown 5m 1771333200	4	$199	217	214	+3	open	—	02-17 13:02
btc updown 5m 1771329300	2	$194	143	141	+2	open	—	02-17 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$188	193	193	+0	Up	+$123	05-08 16:00
btc updown 5m 1771327200	3	$185	246	198	+48	open	—	02-17 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$179	227	212	+15	Down	+$55	05-09 18:34
btc updown 5m 1771179000	5	$173	177	175	+2	open	—	02-15 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$157	179	179	+0	Down	+$54	05-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$156	521	0	+521	Down	$-156	05-09 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$141	109	109	+0	Up	+$75	05-08 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$130	417	0	+417	Up	$-130	05-09 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$129	275	237	+38	Up	+$31	05-09 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$129	100	100	+0	Up	+$69	05-09 19:00
btc updown 5m 1771176000	2	$128	68	68	+0	open	—	02-15 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$124	115	115	+0	Up	+$96	05-08 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$119	479	76	+403	Down	$-47	05-09 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	7	$117	186	161	+25	Down	+$25	05-09 13:34
btc updown 5m 1771328400	4	$115	220	217	+3	open	—	02-17 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$115	95	95	+0	Down	+$73	05-08 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	8	$114	191	155	+36	Up	+$12	05-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$108	431	0	+431	Down	$-108	05-09 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$107	431	0	+431	Up	$-107	05-09 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$106	85	85	+0	Up	+$62	05-08 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 11:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x4468fc…
05-10 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	66	34¢	$23	0x15eb10…
05-10 10:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	138	22¢	$31	0xe986f2…
05-10 10:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x03f4f1…
05-10 10:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	57	20¢	$11	0x115bc7…
05-10 10:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x64cbd0…
05-10 10:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	72	18¢	$13	0x24e401…
05-10 10:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x19f559…
05-10 10:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0x5ac072…
05-10 10:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x126aba…
05-10 10:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x430738…
05-09 20:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	431	25¢	$107	0x275040…
05-09 20:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	450	21¢	$94	0x95100c…
05-09 20:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x0ece77…
05-09 20:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xad648a…
05-09 20:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	431	25¢	$108	0x174536…
05-09 20:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	521	30¢	$156	0x8b8502…
05-09 20:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	366	27¢	$100	0x8f3d9a…
05-09 20:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	222	27¢	$60	0x40647d…
05-09 19:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x89188e…
05-09 19:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	27¢	$55	0xd979f6…
05-09 19:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	417	31¢	$130	0x420310…
05-09 19:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	367	99¢	$363	0x43d5e9…
05-09 19:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	367	23¢	$84	0xd44ceb…
05-09 19:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	171	13¢	$23	0x52a780…
05-09 19:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	127	30¢	$38	0xb31a37…
05-09 19:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xbb8481…
05-09 19:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	214	28¢	$60	0xe53771…
05-09 19:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	258	26¢	$66	0x258bd9…
05-09 19:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	80	52¢	$42	0xc81bed…
05-09 19:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xe6ea53…
05-09 19:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	32	45¢	$14	0xf483a8…
05-09 19:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	36¢	$11	0xdf55a3…
05-09 19:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	67	74¢	$50	0xa33865…
05-09 19:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x4e8192…
05-09 19:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x90991f…
05-09 19:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	43	50¢	$22	0xba91e2…
05-09 19:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x762f32…
05-09 19:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x6efa5e…
05-09 19:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	62	39¢	$24	0x60ebf8…
05-09 19:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	72	24¢	$17	0x9b7a0c…
05-09 19:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	39	42¢	$16	0x29e3f2…
05-09 19:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	29¢	$11	0x09c09d…
05-09 19:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8b7cb2…
05-09 19:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x7189da…
05-09 19:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	151	9¢	$14	0x0955d1…
05-09 19:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x823858…
05-09 19:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	245	26¢	$65	0x5e8965…
05-09 19:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	403	15¢	$60	0x828f5f…
05-09 19:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	76	47¢	$36	0xcc7c0d…
05-09 19:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	76	30¢	$23	0x66b2cd…
05-09 19:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x273ca9…
05-09 18:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x93a67e…
05-09 18:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	172	11¢	$19	0x0ebe63…
05-09 18:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0xe717f5…
05-09 18:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	115	34¢	$39	0x253caa…
05-09 18:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	105	28¢	$29	0x604155…
05-09 18:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	84	10¢	$8	0x25f8ad…
05-09 18:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	270	16¢	$44	0x796bba…
05-09 18:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	270	13¢	$35	0x85bc8f…
05-09 18:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xadadbe…
05-09 18:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	93	55¢	$51	0xbdbd67…
05-09 18:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	93	30¢	$28	0x2d6b1a…
05-09 18:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	119	55¢	$65	0xe2eefe…
05-09 18:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	119	25¢	$30	0x277cc7…
05-09 14:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0xc7e370…
05-09 14:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	47	68¢	$32	0x9cabf2…
05-09 14:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	29¢	$14	0x95159d…
05-09 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	34	44¢	$15	0x8cc8b1…
05-09 14:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x0fbf9a…
05-09 14:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	129	32¢	$41	0x5190cc…
05-09 13:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	107	24¢	$26	0x16f76f…
05-09 13:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	92	27¢	$25	0x8e6e11…
05-09 13:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x7c30d0…
05-09 13:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	92	17¢	$16	0xb7d3b1…
05-09 13:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0x719893…
05-09 13:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	145	45¢	$64	0xece847…
05-09 13:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	145	19¢	$27	0x0aa569…
05-09 13:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	137	19¢	$26	0xf1ef11…
05-09 13:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	142	12¢	$17	0x85ccb1…
05-09 13:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x637df4…
05-09 13:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x8899c7…
05-09 13:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xca5fcd…
05-09 13:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x9a8881…
05-09 13:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	93	52¢	$48	0x0a83f6…
05-09 13:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0x03aba6…
05-09 13:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xc2c3fb…
05-09 13:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	68	34¢	$23	0xc13ab6…
05-09 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0xa25c32…
05-09 13:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	61¢	$20	0x7a67eb…
05-09 13:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0xcba71f…
05-08 22:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0c1975…
05-08 22:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x7cdb10…
05-08 22:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	74	23¢	$17	0x428254…
05-08 22:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	144	18¢	$25	0x4a379c…
05-08 22:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	76	29¢	$22	0x9ef499…
05-08 22:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x5ad879…
05-08 22:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	199	99¢	$197	0xb16493…
05-08 22:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x0f7d2e…
05-08 22:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xec4cb6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	382	$713	1,197	05-10 11:09
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	365	$2.83K	594	05-10 11:08
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	351	$743.4K	153,358	05-10 11:09
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	343	$26.1K	6,909	05-10 11:09
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	334	$739	898	05-10 11:09
Shallow-Disk 0x2c12…950e	326	$2.62K	779	05-10 11:09
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	316	$43.6K	4,861	05-10 11:08
Dangerous-Literate 0xd31a…5f51	306	$1.83K	693	05-10 11:08