Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$391

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

91.3%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$54.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$312

Open exposure

$40

1 position

First seen

2026-07-18

last 09-01 08:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

46% 83% -$1,130

Politics

34% 78% +$364

Tech

13% 67% +$173

Crypto

7% 75% +$202

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes		+61	$43	66¢	$40	-$2	08-20 02:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	5	$7.7K	5,430	2,715	+2,715	France	+$289	07-18 22:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	39	$6.8K	4,603	3,003	+1,600	Yes	+$197	07-31 13:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	7	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$120	07-28 18:49
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$200	08-09 18:57
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	3	$3.5K	3,500	0	+3,500	Yes	+$31	08-14 13:33
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 2pt5	2	$3.0K	3,190	0	+3,190	Argentina	+$199	07-19 18:44
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 3pt5	2	$3.0K	3,020	0	+3,020	Argentina	+$60	07-19 18:44
squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	5	$2.6K	2,630	0	+2,630	No	+$64	08-04 10:57
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	6	$2.0K	1,086	1,086	-0	open	—	09-01 08:02
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 2pt5	1	$2.0K	2,030	0	+2,030	Spain	+$37	07-19 18:38
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	7	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$21	07-30 02:13
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 3pt5	2	$1.9K	2,000	0	+2,000	England	+$112	07-18 20:49
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	10	$1.3K	1,500	80	+1,420	Yes	-$1,149	08-09 10:25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	16	$1.2K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	-$819	07-31 04:56
squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	3	$997	1,120	0	+1,120	No	+$123	08-04 10:57
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	1	$989	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$11	07-28 18:33
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	2	$986	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$14	07-18 04:16
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 6pt5	1	$982	1,000	0	+1,000	Under	+$18	07-19 18:58
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	1	$970	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$30	07-28 18:45
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$70	08-06 04:54
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	2	$475	500	0	+500	No	+$25	08-04 20:56
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$450	500	0	+500	Spain	+$50	07-19 21:47
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$412	210	210	+0	Yes	+$2	08-29 20:39
grvt fdv above 150m one day after launch	2	$235	250	0	+250	Yes	+$15	07-30 14:36
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	2	$176	100	100	+0	No	+$20	08-29 20:40
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$82	100	0	+100	Yes	-$82	07-29 19:36
grvt fdv above 250m one day after launch	2	$75	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-31 02:29
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	43	$43	61	0	+61	open	—	08-20 02:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$37	210	210	+0	Yes	-$26	08-25 20:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$32	50	0	+50	No	+$18	08-04 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 08:02:46	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xe808b2…
08-31 22:50:36	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x5b0222…
08-31 19:00:06	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	694	92¢	$638	0x697e6a…
08-30 09:19:37	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x894e06…
08-30 08:20:21	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	SELL	89	93¢	$83	0xd07c57…
08-29 20:40:27	Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x7fa160…
08-29 20:39:27	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	99¢	$207	0x544ac7…
08-25 20:01:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	210	3¢	$5	0x44b7a2…
08-21 13:56:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	98¢	$205	0x8ae1b2…
08-20 02:52:21	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1be192…
08-20 01:32:10	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x91e2e1…
08-20 01:29:33	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xddf19d…
08-20 01:29:21	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb37bfa…
08-20 01:27:12	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x02044a…
08-20 01:26:25	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x016aaa…
08-20 01:25:57	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x63750b…
08-20 01:23:27	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x91ea56…
08-20 01:23:24	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1467cf…
08-20 01:23:16	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xaf7d07…
08-20 01:20:55	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x23484a…
08-20 01:18:13	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x16d1a9…
08-20 01:16:30	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe5c17e…
08-20 01:15:43	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xce6e8e…
08-20 01:13:57	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8d2830…
08-20 01:13:52	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2608a6…
08-20 01:11:25	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfeb5ed…
08-20 01:11:15	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf53f2b…
08-20 01:08:52	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2403f0…
08-20 01:08:19	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x23f269…
08-20 01:06:45	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa0edde…
08-20 01:05:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x46fe10…
08-20 01:03:00	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc4109c…
08-20 01:00:45	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8466ce…
08-20 00:58:43	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x71c8e0…
08-20 00:56:49	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x10a799…
08-20 00:56:25	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2f1220…
08-20 00:54:27	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0d87e1…
08-20 00:54:04	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xacadbb…
08-20 00:52:28	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4ae0a4…
08-20 00:51:30	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5e8d57…
08-20 00:49:39	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0a6e16…
08-20 00:44:34	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf9a8fe…
08-20 00:42:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x196eb3…
08-20 00:38:40	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa9f350…
08-20 00:38:22	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe18a4c…
08-20 00:36:22	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xeda007…
08-20 00:33:48	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x487d4c…
08-20 00:31:46	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6e2abe…
08-20 00:31:45	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6e4a0e…
08-20 00:30:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x885f97…
08-20 00:29:36	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x82ec0d…
08-20 00:29:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6e756d…
08-19 18:28:49	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	No	BUY	1,086	92¢	$999	0x9775dc…
08-14 13:33:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	455	99¢	$451	0xf363a2…
08-14 13:30:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	2,600	99¢	$2,576	0x943503…
08-14 13:14:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	445	99¢	$441	0x362dc8…
08-09 18:57:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	5,000	96¢	$4,800	0x8d15cf…
08-09 10:25:15	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0xe3c001…
08-06 14:33:36	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	400	79¢	$316	0xef0c9e…
08-06 14:11:56	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	259	79¢	$205	0x754274…
08-06 13:51:21	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xbf46f7…
08-06 13:51:15	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xfdf8ad…
08-06 13:51:09	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	154	79¢	$122	0x5c30d7…
08-06 10:49:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	210	15¢	$32	0x2f2456…
08-06 04:54:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1,000	93¢	$930	0x42afd4…
08-06 03:29:59	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xe37fad…
08-05 13:00:29	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	67	79¢	$53	0x6cbb54…
08-05 12:53:09	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x866d12…
08-05 12:24:18	Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xf92447…
08-04 21:15:20	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xdb4687…
08-04 20:56:11	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	449	95¢	$426	0x975c2b…
08-04 20:27:38	Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x473693…
08-04 12:00:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x242cfe…
08-04 10:57:05	squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x8d26f1…
08-04 10:57:03	squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	No	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x9fb4f4…
08-04 10:57:03	squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x3fd332…
08-04 10:57:03	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	No	BUY	440	89¢	$392	0x1ebb4c…
08-04 10:54:03	squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	No	BUY	600	97¢	$582	0x4df246…
08-04 10:52:05	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	No	BUY	640	89¢	$570	0xa4fec3…
08-04 10:48:36	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xd4f986…
08-04 10:47:33	squid fdv above 300m one day after launch 899	No	BUY	1,530	98¢	$1,499	0xa78af2…
07-31 13:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	459	93¢	$429	0xe284be…
07-31 13:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	324	94¢	$303	0xc4c3b8…
07-31 13:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	688	94¢	$643	0xbdf4a2…
07-31 13:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	73	94¢	$68	0xa25cd8…
07-31 13:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x623d40…
07-31 13:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x464fd0…
07-31 13:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x27abbf…
07-31 11:14:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	971	89¢	$866	0xb06273…
07-31 11:02:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	169	89¢	$151	0x5a7a11…
07-31 09:17:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,140	88¢	$1,003	0x3c8ce3…
07-31 08:27:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,057	90¢	$951	0x8aeb74…
07-31 08:27:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x942f6d…
07-31 08:27:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	802	90¢	$721	0x209b96…
07-31 05:41:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x10b52b…
07-31 05:38:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1c6f5a…
07-31 05:37:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	108	88¢	$95	0x05e9db…
07-31 05:28:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	173	88¢	$152	0xaa58e8…
07-31 05:24:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	137	88¢	$120	0xf6b7b5…
07-31 05:24:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	250	88¢	$220	0x4097af…