Obedient-Greenhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$175

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

842

Trades

3,598

lifetime

Volume

$478.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

$1.25K

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-26 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

70% 45% -$7,048

Sports

29% 36% -$7,720

Politics

1% 82% +$421

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Inner Circle Esports		+1,409	$849	73¢	$1.0K	+$179	10-26 16:31
cs2 tl1 aur1 2026 10 27	Liquid	—	+833	$225	26¢	$221	-$4	10-26 21:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	22	$14.4K	9,598	9,598	+0	Petr Yan	+$4,799	10-24 20:59
UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	26	$9.8K	9,370	6,270	+3,100	Ailin Perez	+$2,748	09-27 01:58
cs2 hotu jjh 2026 08 09	14	$6.4K	5,612	5,612	+0	JiJieHao	+$1,284	08-09 19:07
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	12	$6.0K	3,924	3,521	+403	Ismail Naurdiev	+$1,083	10-03 20:56
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	3	$5.9K	3,470	3,470	-0	Islam Makhachev	+$1,033	08-16 04:21
ufc gau stador 2026 08 22	8	$5.0K	3,832	2,884	+948	Stan Dorsainvil	+$726	08-22 22:22
UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	23	$4.7K	7,818	583	+7,235	Daniel Santos	-$3,506	10-24 15:38
ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15 go the distance	19	$4.6K	3,538	3,538	+0	Yes	+$1,581	08-16 03:26
ufc ant gre3 2026 08 22	23	$4.6K	5,234	2,261	+2,973	Gregory Rodrigues	-$408	08-23 02:56
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	10	$4.5K	9,269	0	+9,269	Alexander Volkanovski	-$4,453	10-24 21:04
cs2 mgc mglz 2026 08 12	5	$4.1K	2,594	2,594	+0	TheMongolz	+$1,061	08-12 13:07
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	7	$4.0K	8,511	1,539	+6,972	Grant Dawson	-$3,425	10-24 16:31
cs2 pre mzp 2026 08 08	3	$3.7K	2,552	2,552	+0	Prestige	+$1,384	08-08 13:56
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	6	$3.6K	2,233	2,233	+0	Dawn Bulls	+$855	10-21 13:24
ufc mas mar83 2026 08 22	7	$3.6K	2,835	2,835	+0	MarQuel Mederos	+$2,079	08-23 01:10
cs2 fokus og1 2026 06 23 game2	3	$3.5K	1,896	1,896	+0	OG	+$296	06-23 16:57
Counter-Strike: STATE vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs	37	$3.5K	6,182	716	+5,466	STATE	-$2,054	09-22 17:18
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D	5	$3.2K	4,118	2,574	+1,544	BC.Game Esports	+$407	10-15 13:07
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	2	$3.2K	2,204	2,204	+0	Robelis Despaigne	+$1,202	09-20 00:58
Fight to Go the Distance?	29	$3.2K	3,768	1,847	+1,921	Yes	-$597	10-04 01:12
cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	10	$3.2K	4,002	2,693	+1,309	100 Thieves	+$108	08-09 15:09
cs2 sashi big5 2026 08 09	9	$3.1K	2,614	1,614	+1,000	BIG	+$76	08-09 18:10
Paris: Anastasia Zakharova vs Katie Boulter	3	$3.1K	2,291	2,291	+0	Anastasia Zakharova	+$1,435	05-13 11:50
Fight to Go the Distance?	35	$2.9K	2,089	2,089	+0	No	+$858	09-26 23:11
UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	5	$2.8K	1,679	1,679	+0	Abubakar Vagaev	+$551	10-24 15:38
cs2 g2 m80 2026 08 12	5	$2.8K	1,937	1,937	+0	G2	+$390	08-12 14:27
cs2 sng2 jjh 2026 08 08 game2	4	$2.8K	1,865	1,865	+0	JiJieHao	+$942	08-08 13:40
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)	4	$2.8K	2,729	2,227	+502	Niko Price	+$520	10-10 22:49
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	12	$2.5K	2,259	2,259	+0	Eternal Fire	+$727	10-23 22:28
dota2 liquid ty 2026 08 20 game1	15	$2.4K	3,788	1,119	+2,668	Team Yandex	-$1,143	08-20 11:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:46:50	cs2 tl1 aur1 2026 10 27	Liquid	BUY	833	27¢	$225	0x70d5bd…
10-26 20:14:23	UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	Tainara Lisboa	BUY	600	17¢	$102	0x97f380…
10-26 16:40:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	SELL	258	45¢	$116	0x4823b8…
10-26 16:38:38	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x8868c6…
10-26 16:36:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	SELL	517	58¢	$300	0xd3b392…
10-26 16:31:38	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	409	61¢	$249	0xe25208…
10-26 16:29:29	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	1,000	60¢	$600	0x8bc5ba…
10-26 16:16:14	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	388	39¢	$150	0x7c22fe…
10-26 16:13:12	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Legacy	BUY	589	6¢	$35	0x459c5a…
10-26 16:06:24	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	645	23¢	$150	0x322ab3…
10-26 15:56:05	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	SELL	590	55¢	$325	0xab78a1…
10-26 15:38:35	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	513	39¢	$200	0x1e6bb3…
10-26 15:30:26	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	SELL	863	50¢	$432	0x8597be…
10-26 15:19:45	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x04dd1d…
10-26 15:17:08	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	469	32¢	$150	0x412f4c…
10-26 15:15:42	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0x6cb9f0…
10-26 15:03:08	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	841	41¢	$345	0xc70ebf…
10-26 13:50:24	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	968	31¢	$300	0x90e702…
10-26 13:28:12	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x32d766…
10-26 13:24:18	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x62f215…
10-26 13:15:47	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	338	15¢	$50	0x23d49a…
10-26 13:04:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	707	53¢	$372	0x6a63f9…
10-26 12:18:48	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	1,077	65¢	$700	0xff2e5d…
10-26 12:16:03	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner	9z	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xf90538…
10-26 12:11:59	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	674	20¢	$135	0xef2fbd…
10-26 12:11:20	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	SELL	1,034	82¢	$848	0x228d75…
10-26 11:17:53	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FUT Esports	BUY	727	11¢	$80	0xc89aa8…
10-26 11:17:27	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	1,034	29¢	$300	0xf300d9…
10-26 11:10:51	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	482	62¢	$300	0xee0958…
10-26 11:03:26	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner	FUT Esports	BUY	938	32¢	$300	0xf63659…
10-25 21:20:39	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	786	40¢	$314	0x21e1b5…
10-25 21:17:47	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: FC Barcelona O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1,136	44¢	$500	0x9257ca…
10-25 21:07:05	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xd48b87…
10-25 15:38:08	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	SELL	483	100¢	$482	0x52dbdf…
10-25 13:03:11	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	483	58¢	$280	0x0321c6…
10-25 13:02:54	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0x4bd846…
10-25 12:17:36	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	307	46¢	$140	0x410716…
10-25 11:36:09	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	1,460	63¢	$920	0xf71081…
10-25 11:34:26	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	845	49¢	$414	0xa6953a…
10-24 21:04:17	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	1,278	39¢	$500	0x8e971a…
10-24 21:03:14	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	1,430	50¢	$709	0xbdf599…
10-24 20:59:47	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	2,816	53¢	$1,500	0x0f39d1…
10-24 20:59:27	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	9,598	100¢	$9,588	0x4c1533…
10-24 20:58:38	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	982	48¢	$472	0x87f246…
10-24 20:58:36	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	432	48¢	$207	0x0a1588…
10-24 20:57:47	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	493	46¢	$227	0xd16f27…
10-24 20:57:47	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x3d550a…
10-24 20:57:45	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	887	46¢	$408	0xd8e726…
10-24 20:57:45	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	278	46¢	$128	0xcfcfaa…
10-24 20:57:12	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	664	45¢	$299	0x05abcb…
10-24 20:23:12	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xf61096…
10-24 20:21:53	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	494	75¢	$371	0x15705c…
10-24 20:21:47	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	467	75¢	$350	0xedd8c4…
10-24 20:21:35	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4595e5…
10-24 20:21:35	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x243792…
10-24 20:21:33	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	114	74¢	$84	0xb418cc…
10-24 20:21:33	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	122	74¢	$91	0xae7a34…
10-24 20:21:33	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa13f6d…
10-24 20:21:33	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	62	74¢	$46	0x9b94fe…
10-24 20:21:32	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0x6ad060…
10-24 20:21:30	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x5b4eff…
10-24 20:21:29	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	241	74¢	$178	0x7cd91d…
10-24 20:14:05	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	1,069	27¢	$289	0x84ac22…
10-24 20:09:18	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	396	29¢	$115	0x4972ed…
10-24 20:08:23	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	274	29¢	$80	0xba4a75…
10-24 20:08:21	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x541a86…
10-24 20:08:18	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	631	29¢	$183	0x31df23…
10-24 20:07:35	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	488	32¢	$155	0x9d2ca3…
10-24 19:59:50	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	1,885	53¢	$1,000	0xe627e7…
10-24 19:59:32	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	1,925	52¢	$1,000	0xa66362…
10-24 19:56:41	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	1,167	60¢	$700	0x79b779…
10-24 19:26:38	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0xa9b9b7…
10-24 19:26:11	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xb5d940…
10-24 19:26:11	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x897ade…
10-24 19:26:11	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x194576…
10-24 19:26:09	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x6738aa…
10-24 19:26:08	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	639	55¢	$351	0xb48d87…
10-24 19:15:41	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xf0551a…
10-24 19:14:53	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	1,500	49¢	$735	0x9547bf…
10-24 19:06:29	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	536	100¢	$535	0xcab64f…
10-24 19:02:57	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	380	2¢	$8	0xa1f990…
10-24 19:02:48	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x0437b9…
10-24 18:52:39	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	47	36¢	$17	0x9465b9…
10-24 18:52:12	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	110	36¢	$40	0xbce9ea…
10-24 18:52:02	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	798	32¢	$255	0x4838ab…
10-24 18:39:57	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xf4e417…
10-24 18:39:50	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	767	39¢	$300	0x1f044c…
10-24 18:25:06	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x5dfaa3…
10-24 18:16:42	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x3ac602…
10-24 18:12:12	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x93b1e9…
10-24 18:08:05	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0xc4c3a7…
10-24 17:54:27	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Dawn Bulls - Game 2 Winner	Dawn Bulls	BUY	289	48¢	$139	0xcede0d…
10-24 17:15:09	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	244	21¢	$51	0xae633e…
10-24 17:14:29	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x36ae0e…
10-24 17:14:21	UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Nikita Krylov	BUY	98	22¢	$22	0xf66f25…
10-24 17:13:06	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	407	12¢	$50	0xe27f9d…
10-24 16:31:57	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	558	18¢	$100	0x2dbb42…
10-24 16:30:02	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	SELL	1,539	18¢	$275	0xd92507…
10-24 16:29:48	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	1,003	30¢	$300	0x7b4012…
10-24 16:29:17	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	750	27¢	$200	0x4a7148…