Obedient-Greenhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$170

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

865

Trades

3,707

lifetime

Volume

$494.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

$627

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-29 09:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

71% 45% -$10,397

Sports

28% 36% -$7,720

Politics

1% 82% +$421

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	+478	$261	60¢	$284	+$24	10-28 22:43
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	+992	$363	28¢	$273	-$91	10-28 09:54
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	+735	$172	10¢	$70	-$103	10-28 09:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	22	$14.4K	9,598	9,598	+0	Petr Yan	+$4,799	10-24 20:59
UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	26	$9.8K	9,370	6,270	+3,100	Ailin Perez	+$2,748	09-27 01:58
cs2 hotu jjh 2026 08 09	14	$6.4K	5,612	5,612	+0	JiJieHao	+$1,284	08-09 19:07
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	12	$6.0K	3,924	3,521	+403	Ismail Naurdiev	+$1,083	10-03 20:56
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	3	$5.9K	3,470	3,470	-0	Islam Makhachev	+$1,033	08-16 04:21
ufc gau stador 2026 08 22	8	$5.0K	3,832	2,884	+948	Stan Dorsainvil	+$726	08-22 22:22
UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	23	$4.7K	7,818	583	+7,235	Daniel Santos	-$3,506	10-24 15:38
ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15 go the distance	19	$4.6K	3,538	3,538	+0	Yes	+$1,581	08-16 03:26
ufc ant gre3 2026 08 22	23	$4.6K	5,234	2,261	+2,973	Gregory Rodrigues	-$408	08-23 02:56
UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	10	$4.5K	9,269	0	+9,269	Alexander Volkanovski	-$4,453	10-24 21:04
cs2 mgc mglz 2026 08 12	5	$4.1K	2,594	2,594	+0	TheMongolz	+$1,061	08-12 13:07
UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	7	$4.0K	8,511	1,539	+6,972	Grant Dawson	-$3,425	10-24 16:31
Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	13	$3.9K	8,206	1,646	+6,560	No Hoodwink	-$656	10-27 16:10
cs2 pre mzp 2026 08 08	3	$3.7K	2,552	2,552	+0	Prestige	+$1,384	08-08 13:56
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	6	$3.6K	2,233	2,233	+0	Dawn Bulls	+$855	10-21 13:24
ufc mas mar83 2026 08 22	7	$3.6K	2,835	2,835	+0	MarQuel Mederos	+$2,079	08-23 01:10
cs2 fokus og1 2026 06 23 game2	3	$3.5K	1,896	1,896	+0	OG	+$296	06-23 16:57
Counter-Strike: STATE vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs	37	$3.5K	6,182	716	+5,466	STATE	-$2,054	09-22 17:18
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group D	5	$3.2K	4,118	2,574	+1,544	BC.Game Esports	+$407	10-15 13:07
UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)	2	$3.2K	2,204	2,204	+0	Robelis Despaigne	+$1,202	09-20 00:58
Fight to Go the Distance?	29	$3.2K	3,768	1,847	+1,921	Yes	-$597	10-04 01:12
cs2 100t bcg 2026 08 09	10	$3.2K	4,002	2,693	+1,309	100 Thieves	+$108	08-09 15:09
cs2 sashi big5 2026 08 09	9	$3.1K	2,614	1,614	+1,000	BIG	+$76	08-09 18:10
Paris: Anastasia Zakharova vs Katie Boulter	3	$3.1K	2,291	2,291	+0	Anastasia Zakharova	+$1,435	05-13 11:50
Fight to Go the Distance?	35	$2.9K	2,089	2,089	+0	No	+$858	09-26 23:11
UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	5	$2.8K	1,679	1,679	+0	Abubakar Vagaev	+$551	10-24 15:38
cs2 g2 m80 2026 08 12	5	$2.8K	1,937	1,937	+0	G2	+$390	08-12 14:27
cs2 sng2 jjh 2026 08 08 game2	4	$2.8K	1,865	1,865	+0	JiJieHao	+$942	08-08 13:40
UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)	4	$2.8K	2,729	2,227	+502	Niko Price	+$520	10-10 22:49
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs	12	$2.5K	2,259	2,259	+0	Eternal Fire	+$727	10-23 22:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:49:16	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	926	27¢	$250	0xf102e6…
10-28 22:43:13	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	478	55¢	$261	0x98f682…
10-28 22:09:28	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	144	51¢	$74	0x510af3…
10-28 22:09:10	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	170	34¢	$57	0xc84a08…
10-28 19:36:16	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	TheMongolz	BUY	316	48¢	$150	0xa5526e…
10-28 19:36:01	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	188	36¢	$67	0xfc65aa…
10-28 16:47:43	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	811	38¢	$308	0xe24f68…
10-28 16:37:04	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0x815ec9…
10-28 16:26:40	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	450	38¢	$169	0x3631a6…
10-28 16:25:47	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	815	34¢	$279	0x5009dd…
10-28 15:42:14	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner	Eternal Fire	BUY	495	48¢	$235	0xf3a1ad…
10-28 15:39:55	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner	Eternal Fire	BUY	616	49¢	$300	0xa5f0a2…
10-28 15:39:14	Counter-Strike: DNK vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Dark Moon	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0xe53ce9…
10-28 15:38:49	Dota 2: angry birds vs Level Up Academy - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x12f71f…
10-28 15:37:46	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	395	45¢	$177	0xddbf88…
10-28 15:24:43	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	178	10¢	$18	0x87eaf0…
10-28 15:24:22	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xbd0c74…
10-28 15:24:17	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x39f527…
10-28 15:24:10	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2bf010…
10-28 15:24:07	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xf9beed…
10-28 15:24:07	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x4cb2a3…
10-28 15:24:07	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x2f5149…
10-28 15:24:04	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2a3a81…
10-28 15:24:02	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x051a6c…
10-28 15:23:59	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd9fd42…
10-28 15:23:59	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xcdec9d…
10-28 15:23:58	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x86d73b…
10-28 15:23:55	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x4985b7…
10-28 15:23:52	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x9f262c…
10-28 15:23:41	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	1,044	10¢	$104	0x61de81…
10-28 15:18:56	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x20087a…
10-28 15:18:52	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb60ab2…
10-28 15:18:49	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x1123ee…
10-28 15:18:47	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xfc495c…
10-28 15:18:40	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	52	41¢	$22	0x136fcb…
10-28 15:18:32	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner	Liquid	BUY	189	40¢	$76	0xf453a2…
10-28 14:35:14	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	1,176	17¢	$200	0xfb27f2…
10-28 14:33:05	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	558	18¢	$100	0x6d2c0b…
10-28 13:25:41	Dota 2: angry birds vs Level Up Academy - Game 2 Winner	Level Up Academy	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0xd22ce4…
10-28 13:14:38	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	128	16¢	$20	0x1be318…
10-28 13:08:52	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x8d3a03…
10-28 13:08:40	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x2409a6…
10-28 13:08:14	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	126	52¢	$65	0x9bd022…
10-28 13:08:08	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0xfbd993…
10-28 13:08:02	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	TheMongolz	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xcebcdf…
10-28 12:57:28	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	SELL	450	40¢	$180	0xca4391…
10-28 12:48:55	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	369	21¢	$77	0xe34a67…
10-28 12:48:43	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x649d6b…
10-28 12:48:34	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner	Nemiga	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0xffaa73…
10-28 12:43:43	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	459	37¢	$170	0x93827d…
10-28 12:38:38	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	SELL	606	44¢	$267	0x0407f3…
10-28 12:33:20	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	192	30¢	$58	0x1fc6d1…
10-28 12:31:38	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	SELL	450	39¢	$176	0xc03157…
10-28 12:28:55	Counter-Strike: DNK vs Dark Moon (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Dark Moon	BUY	179	50¢	$90	0x0b3d41…
10-28 12:08:38	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	332	32¢	$106	0x148433…
10-28 12:07:53	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	334	32¢	$107	0x94e503…
10-28 12:07:29	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	235	25¢	$59	0x9d5d93…
10-28 11:52:13	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x037469…
10-28 11:35:22	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	TheMongolz	BUY	211	52¢	$110	0xe4dd2a…
10-28 11:32:44	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	TheMongolz	BUY	111	50¢	$56	0x89040e…
10-28 11:22:02	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	TheMongolz	BUY	168	44¢	$74	0xbb91ef…
10-28 09:54:43	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xe2a24e…
10-28 09:54:31	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xcedf27…
10-28 09:54:20	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	263	35¢	$92	0x3e95a4…
10-28 09:52:47	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x4e8ab5…
10-28 09:51:44	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	No	BUY	370	52¢	$193	0x4c92cd…
10-28 09:51:32	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	BUY	395	53¢	$210	0x942e48…
10-28 08:05:55	Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)	Eternal Fire	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x25efde…
10-27 19:29:33	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	625	16¢	$98	0xb08b23…
10-27 19:25:39	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	178	25¢	$45	0x394336…
10-27 19:19:18	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	248	50¢	$124	0xc6bcc2…
10-27 19:19:12	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0x8d2ffe…
10-27 19:05:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	1,323	23¢	$300	0xc8aff1…
10-27 17:22:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	514	29¢	$150	0x49b9c3…
10-27 17:01:35	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0xe2d0b8…
10-27 16:10:59	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Inner Circle Esports	SELL	1,409	100¢	$1,408	0x804fe3…
10-27 16:10:48	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	No Hoodwink	SELL	1,646	100¢	$1,644	0xdd05d6…
10-27 15:08:15	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	1,508	8¢	$121	0x911b43…
10-27 15:06:11	Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0x997f15…
10-27 14:19:47	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x5c59bc…
10-27 14:19:21	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x805d95…
10-27 14:18:53	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	3,314	4¢	$133	0xc743dd…
10-27 14:08:45	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	495	20¢	$99	0xbbf93f…
10-27 14:08:05	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xaefe3e…
10-27 14:08:00	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	198	23¢	$46	0x11af95…
10-27 14:07:12	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	69	18¢	$12	0x6d2dd1…
10-27 14:07:05	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	201	18¢	$36	0xb219a1…
10-27 14:05:53	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	590	27¢	$161	0x6d3635…
10-27 14:04:35	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	No Hoodwink	BUY	1,646	61¢	$1,007	0x8290d6…
10-27 14:02:11	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	815	49¢	$400	0xf114ba…
10-27 13:59:42	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Mena Warriors	BUY	828	48¢	$400	0xa0cddd…
10-27 13:56:24	Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	BIG	SELL	117	10¢	$12	0x9e62d4…
10-27 13:56:15	Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	BIG	SELL	390	10¢	$39	0x89a445…
10-27 13:51:35	Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	BIG	BUY	507	11¢	$56	0x7f75b2…
10-27 13:25:23	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	SELL	489	39¢	$191	0x82d02d…
10-27 13:15:42	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	SELL	1,956	38¢	$749	0xe4e83d…
10-27 12:45:38	Counter-Strike: magic vs BIG - Map 2 Winner	BIG	BUY	714	56¢	$400	0xb2e3d3…
10-27 12:40:21	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	1,204	4¢	$51	0x352dd6…
10-27 12:01:20	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	1,875	16¢	$300	0x33e12f…
10-27 11:53:59	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Liquid	BUY	152	25¢	$38	0xb03338…