Simplistic-Tributary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

1,986

Trades

2,158

lifetime

Volume

$94.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-29 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Other

79% 99% +$77

Sports

16% 100% +$16

Crypto

3% 98% +$2

Tech

1% 96% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
wta muchova gauff 2026 07 09 match total 22pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	07-09 15:28
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:13
will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500	8	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-08 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-27 17:22
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-05 08:56
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	8	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	+$0	05-19 00:48
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	8	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	8	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	6	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:47
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x416cb5…
10-29 16:56:20	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f1396…
10-29 15:14:22	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x65f016…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd8f655…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x380d0f…
10-28 15:38:17	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x29f5b1…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16a415…
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6fa5ec…
10-25 15:58:05	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2c78c8…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x53d29e…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb0c53f…
10-24 16:58:48	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x654d32…
10-24 14:15:03	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x76d911…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x812534…
10-24 13:22:12	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7a3825…
10-24 13:00:03	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x41e51d…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd05b9d…
10-23 19:53:41	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce608a…
10-23 19:42:08	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4ace1f…
10-23 18:51:42	KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Severstal Cherepovets	Spartak Moscow	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f3720…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe18fd1…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb6408f…
10-22 20:15:35	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xb249b4…
10-22 03:02:53	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x938a0d…
10-21 20:56:17	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc48f6b…
10-21 19:01:12	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #12 Group Stage	Spirit Academy	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4c0d4a…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2191d4…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8b5b43…
10-20 19:44:39	Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x904e1f…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x71ed54…
10-20 18:37:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x220a99…
10-20 16:59:05	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x243ac3…
10-20 01:44:35	Avalanche vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1e338d…
10-20 01:44:09	Avalanche vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x712dce…
10-19 19:21:03	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfef4b7…
10-19 19:19:05	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x439aef…
10-19 19:16:06	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0bbe88…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd86096…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e5179…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xca7d12…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4df515…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x005219…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1450d4…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xbd65e1…
10-15 20:32:45	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x99c106…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98632b…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xedb25d…
10-14 12:40:53	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3d285c…
10-14 12:40:18	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x86f64e…
10-14 12:39:56	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7601d2…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb9be3e…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9ab810…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x15a9f8…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f8b62…
10-13 18:15:40	Will Italy win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29aa3a…
10-13 15:55:04	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x719c18…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd35b17…
10-13 01:33:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xdebb2a…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdc0843…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0dd170…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb6fab8…
10-11 10:49:50	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x1c2f97…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7ec72d…
10-11 05:32:23	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf697af…
10-10 23:31:49	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x73f34a…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x69df09…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcd6ea3…
10-09 14:48:54	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x67d1ec…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x97e049…
10-08 19:36:26	Braga: Vilius Gaubas vs Duje Ajdukovic	Vilius Gaubas	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x24b47d…
10-08 05:28:16	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa26ff7…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xfb381d…
10-07 14:01:46	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf599a9…
10-07 08:29:05	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina	Alex Molcan	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd08754…
10-07 06:30:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x800d29…
10-06 22:21:09	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xa15730…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd2a447…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f3a50…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x04b28d…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x348497…
10-05 13:56:19	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x779868…
10-05 06:24:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd0beda…
10-04 23:23:17	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x93fac4…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xecf8cc…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x72d284…
10-03 16:04:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on October 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefb59f…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7bf89a…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x858f59…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x96e320…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x87b279…
10-02 19:33:53	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e25d4…
10-02 14:17:59	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x18eaf5…
10-02 14:15:36	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xb403d0…
10-02 14:15:26	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x92ce2d…
10-02 14:12:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9fbf78…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x028997…
10-02 13:03:29	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc10ec0…
10-02 12:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb96143…
10-02 06:25:15	Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd46888…
10-02 03:44:36	Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x42bef5…