Understated-League — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$589

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 08-11 14:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

72% 88% +$0

Politics

26% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 33% -$1

Crypto

1% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	08-11 14:16
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	04-26 13:50
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$61	61	0	+61	No	+$0	06-01 13:45
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	07-02 16:44
x banned in uk by march 31	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	03-17 14:11
Trump out as President by May 31?	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	05-29 13:02
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	06-25 15:36
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-03 13:37
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$2	04-23 05:52
will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-17 14:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	05-08 12:23
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-16 16:15
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	03-16 17:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	05-08 12:24
will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	5	$3	22	22	+0	No	-$1	04-03 12:22
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$3	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$1	05-08 12:27
bitcoin above 76k on march 18	2	$2	500	500	+0	No	+$0	03-18 13:41
bitcoin above 68k on april 8	2	$1	360	334	+26	Yes	-$1	04-08 14:34
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	1	$1	38	0	+38	No	-$1	05-08 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 14:16:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x7cd6f9…
07-02 16:44:56	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe288f6…
07-02 16:44:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0xd0189c…
06-25 15:36:46	Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xde624a…
06-01 13:45:34	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x8a0cdb…
05-29 13:02:16	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x17de72…
05-08 12:27:09	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c6e32…
05-08 12:26:55	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x83b108…
05-08 12:26:11	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x008e63…
05-08 12:24:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5bfe08…
05-08 12:23:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xf8a8ad…
04-26 13:50:50	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x472749…
04-23 05:52:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xdf5959…
04-08 15:48:01	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x64240c…
04-08 14:34:49	bitcoin above 68k on april 8	No	SELL	334	0¢	$0	0xb2417c…
04-08 14:34:27	bitcoin above 68k on april 8	No	BUY	360	0¢	$1	0x90bc49…
04-03 13:37:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x0fd6a4…
04-03 12:22:39	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0x1bf9f2…
03-18 13:41:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x3bf7bd…
03-18 13:34:25	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd1c52a…
03-17 14:12:59	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x93ea81…
03-17 14:11:09	x banned in uk by march 31	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xd100d2…
03-16 17:17:43	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c519c…
03-16 17:08:21	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x31f0b1…
03-16 16:37:13	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf8ca2c…
03-16 16:32:07	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x83e750…
03-16 16:31:01	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x7fcd4e…
03-16 16:15:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xda30bd…