Hot-Pulley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

4,113

Trades

124,972

lifetime

Volume

$498.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-21 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 35% -$47,879

Other

0% 12% -$80

Politics

0% 0% -$46

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 23:45 UTC	813	$3.9K	10,313	0	+10,313	Down	-$3,614	07-07 23:53
xrp up or down january 12 2pm et	165	$1.8K	1,764	1,279	+485	Up	+$772	01-12 20:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 23:15 UTC	370	$1.7K	2,428	0	+2,428	Up	+$733	07-07 23:21
ethereum up or down january 2 10am et	466	$1.7K	6,364	0	+6,364	Up	+$112	01-02 16:00
ethereum up or down january 5 5pm et	140	$1.6K	1,491	1,019	+472	Up	+$217	01-06 01:52
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 23:15 UTC	322	$1.4K	2,029	0	+2,029	Up	+$603	07-07 23:21
xrp up or down january 18 11am et	212	$1.2K	3,844	0	+3,844	Down	-$626	01-18 16:59
ethereum up or down january 19 6pm et	165	$1.2K	1,748	464	+1,284	Up	+$194	01-20 00:08
ethereum up or down january 15 7pm et	166	$1.2K	1,833	464	+1,369	Down	+$424	01-16 01:52
ethereum up or down february 7 11am et	106	$1.1K	4,619	0	+4,619	Down	-$1	02-07 17:00
ethereum up or down january 13 11am et	211	$1.1K	2,353	0	+2,353	Down	-$572	01-13 16:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 23:45 UTC	243	$1.1K	2,265	0	+2,265	Down	-$1,105	07-07 23:54
bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 8am et	24	$1.0K	1,830	0	+1,830	Up	-$224	06-27 12:22
xrp up or down january 4 1am et	176	$1.0K	2,076	0	+2,076	Up	+$9	01-04 06:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 02:40 UTC	73	$1.0K	2,211	0	+2,211	Up	+$178	06-28 02:44
ethereum up or down january 18 9am et	133	$982	1,419	506	+913	Down	+$546	01-18 15:14
xrp up or down january 2 10am et	220	$937	2,660	0	+2,660	Up	-$113	01-02 15:59
xrp up or down january 21 8am et	153	$928	1,884	0	+1,884	Down	+$364	01-21 14:00
ethereum up or down january 4 6pm et	257	$924	2,350	0	+2,350	Up	-$93	01-04 23:59
ethereum up or down january 8 9pm et	395	$906	3,841	0	+3,841	Up	-$626	01-09 02:59
solana up or down june 26 2026 8pm et	11	$896	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	-$796	06-27 00:34
ethereum up or down january 4 2am et	188	$893	2,158	0	+2,158	Up	+$21	01-04 07:58
ethereum up or down january 8 5pm et	220	$892	2,222	0	+2,222	Up	+$538	01-08 23:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 23:15 UTC	189	$890	1,287	0	+1,287	Up	+$397	07-07 23:21
xrp up or down january 16 9am et	200	$885	2,020	0	+2,020	Down	-$50	01-16 14:59
xrp up or down february 8 7am et	102	$873	2,290	0	+2,290	Up	+$387	02-08 13:00
ethereum up or down january 15 5am et	205	$863	2,088	0	+2,088	Down	-$227	01-15 11:00
xrp up or down january 4 4pm et	118	$855	1,274	411	+863	Up	-$34	01-05 13:41
xrp up or down january 11 5am et	264	$844	2,369	0	+2,369	Up	+$765	01-11 10:59
ethereum up or down january 6 5pm et	210	$838	2,027	0	+2,027	Up	+$425	01-06 22:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 09:22:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x0845ed…
08-21 09:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5a40ff…
08-21 05:21:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xdab60d…
08-21 05:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0xffddc5…
08-21 05:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0268d4…
08-21 04:58:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0390c0…
08-21 04:53:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x955228…
08-21 04:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x7b912e…
08-21 02:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7420a7…
08-21 02:58:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x83eb41…
08-21 02:57:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x554416…
08-21 02:52:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x21332b…
08-21 02:52:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x15d608…
08-21 02:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa80c25…
08-21 02:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3fcf6a…
08-21 02:40:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7bd9fc…
08-21 02:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8aac66…
08-21 02:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xea0fa6…
08-21 02:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x15e953…
08-21 02:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xd569a9…
08-21 02:33:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x53f088…
08-21 02:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2100b5…
08-21 02:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcd96c5…
08-21 02:23:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2e9da7…
08-21 02:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xa5379b…
08-20 22:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xc2b7fd…
08-20 22:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7f7198…
08-20 22:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x425b21…
08-20 22:42:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd37487…
08-20 22:39:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcc9b80…
08-20 22:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd1fa45…
08-20 22:28:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x01c5d9…
08-20 22:27:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xed393c…
08-20 22:27:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x6216c3…
08-20 22:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x17502d…
08-20 22:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x1ec194…
08-20 22:17:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x21d51b…
08-20 22:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x7573a7…
08-20 22:13:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf291e3…
08-20 22:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6d00d5…
08-20 22:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x348cb4…
08-20 21:57:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6f881a…
08-20 21:46:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe615a3…
08-20 21:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x152e66…
08-20 21:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x5645b9…
08-20 21:09:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xad756e…
08-20 21:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x830013…
08-20 21:08:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x34b27e…
08-20 21:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xadf213…
08-20 21:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xa8cef4…
08-20 20:48:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe2ad5d…
08-20 20:44:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x697954…
08-20 20:44:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xe2fa05…
08-20 20:38:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf4462e…
08-20 20:30:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x8a390b…
08-20 20:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x04e616…
08-20 20:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x94e9b0…
08-20 20:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x1e91b6…
08-20 20:21:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd8733a…
08-20 20:18:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8f9b4b…
08-20 20:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd5c71c…
08-20 20:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xe7c384…
08-20 20:09:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xcd5ea9…
08-20 20:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0xaeb934…
08-20 20:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x42c88b…
08-20 19:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd1795c…
08-20 19:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xdb7277…
08-20 19:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x198dc2…
08-20 19:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x29c561…
08-20 19:59:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x8335fb…
08-20 19:59:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x00b1d5…
08-20 19:58:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xc4638c…
08-19 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xd70053…
08-19 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xadf310…
08-19 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x7eb3ed…
08-19 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x60696f…
08-19 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x39b0f7…
08-19 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x333b6b…
08-19 22:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x097083…
08-19 22:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x28dc7d…
08-19 22:36:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1df803…
08-19 22:13:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe2fbaf…
08-19 21:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8053be…
08-19 21:49:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xcaf579…
08-19 21:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x050f56…
08-19 21:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x90fdcb…
08-19 21:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x1c9594…
08-19 21:48:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x635205…
08-19 21:48:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6f6ea7…
08-19 21:48:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf20dd8…
08-19 21:46:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x2a725d…
08-19 21:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x62ba01…
08-19 21:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4a4b3f…
08-19 21:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x234cda…
08-19 21:41:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x169df0…
08-19 21:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xdbfd27…
08-19 21:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xcffb3b…
08-19 21:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9d66d7…
08-19 21:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x86b438…
08-19 21:41:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x859010…