Jumpy-Earth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

872

lifetime

Volume

$2.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-17 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 45% $-46

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12AM ET	24	$143	88	78	+10	open	—	05-03 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	20	$116	98	98	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	20	$115	95	61	+35	open	—	05-03 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1AM ET	24	$102	111	53	+58	open	—	05-03 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	15	$101	1,993	54	+1,939	Up	$-4	05-08 01:40
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	12	$77	54	54	+0	open	—	05-02 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	18	$77	78	78	+0	open	—	05-03 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	11	$64	47	36	+11	open	—	05-03 04:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$61	43	565	-522	open	—	05-16 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	15	$56	78	0	+78	open	—	05-03 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	17	$49	79	0	+79	open	—	05-03 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	12	$46	199	17	+182	Down	$-4	05-09 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	20	$46	97	0	+97	open	—	05-03 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	8	$41	37	37	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	10	$37	39	22	+17	Up	$-2	05-08 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	13	$36	60	0	+60	open	—	05-03 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	6	$34	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	9	$32	203	0	+203	open	—	05-03 03:25
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$27	11	22	-11	open	—	05-16 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$27	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 06:54
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	30	$22	51	15	+36	open	—	05-16 03:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	4	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	05-02 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	8	$19	32	0	+32	open	—	05-03 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	7	$19	17	13	+4	Down	$-0	05-08 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$18	5	15	-10	open	—	05-16 13:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$18	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 01:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	3	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	$-0	05-02 15:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	3	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	$-0	05-02 15:04
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	22	$17	111	11	+100	open	—	05-16 03:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 00:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe3cfe0…
05-17 00:59:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdec4b1…
05-17 00:53:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7f25fc…
05-17 00:53:04	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x31f8f2…
05-17 00:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x049867…
05-17 00:44:31	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x39807f…
05-17 00:44:29	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xdf8b2d…
05-17 00:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0101e0…
05-17 00:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1d2f6b…
05-16 23:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbb59d7…
05-16 23:48:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd0047b…
05-16 23:48:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6cc6c3…
05-16 23:44:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa2076f…
05-16 23:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x228320…
05-16 23:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7736f6…
05-16 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x73936c…
05-16 23:14:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x908f0e…
05-16 23:14:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x06ece8…
05-16 22:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb03562…
05-16 22:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcfd782…
05-16 22:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa875f8…
05-16 22:14:05	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x97bf40…
05-16 22:03:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xae58a1…
05-16 21:59:26	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xc7b5ad…
05-16 21:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xe6ca89…
05-16 21:44:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x1e2d9e…
05-16 21:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc17dd1…
05-16 21:33:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf219f5…
05-16 21:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x688593…
05-16 21:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0xde4980…
05-16 21:14:05	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x02cf6f…
05-16 21:14:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2579be…
05-16 21:00:01	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x50a9d1…
05-16 20:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7be143…
05-16 20:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcf05c5…
05-16 20:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf9898e…
05-16 20:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x606c2d…
05-16 20:29:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x32340f…
05-16 20:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x12fef0…
05-16 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x433511…
05-16 20:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xffcfe5…
05-16 19:59:16	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd53fa4…
05-16 19:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x38199d…
05-16 19:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd7efd1…
05-16 19:48:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4b863e…
05-16 19:44:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x997154…
05-16 19:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf0c776…
05-16 19:34:58	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf51dca…
05-16 19:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4716cb…
05-16 19:29:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x36db3f…
05-16 19:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0d486e…
05-16 19:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb7fe0d…
05-16 19:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa99d83…
05-16 19:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc71016…
05-16 19:07:58	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9dc076…
05-16 19:07:18	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x2555f3…
05-16 18:59:02	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9bd155…
05-16 18:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x889b8f…
05-16 18:59:02	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x03030f…
05-16 18:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xfe6344…
05-16 18:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x99d92b…
05-16 18:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x3b2a9d…
05-16 18:44:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x356f3a…
05-16 18:29:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa2a604…
05-16 18:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x91d4c2…
05-16 18:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8ba52b…
05-16 18:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x609ceb…
05-16 18:14:30	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb56fa5…
05-16 18:14:11	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3fbdd2…
05-16 18:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3112fe…
05-16 18:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaace6f…
05-16 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9fe5fd…
05-16 18:13:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x67359a…
05-16 18:09:55	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6a1ab7…
05-16 18:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd3bbd0…
05-16 18:05:10	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x8fb1c5…
05-16 18:05:05	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe8e7cc…
05-16 18:05:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3c7b0a…
05-16 17:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x40b968…
05-16 17:44:12	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x148ea1…
05-16 17:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5568ed…
05-16 17:14:22	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xacdc6d…
05-16 17:14:04	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdd71d4…
05-16 17:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xa64448…
05-16 16:44:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb84b7f…
05-16 16:44:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5cdd43…
05-16 16:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa461ff…
05-16 16:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xee3668…
05-16 14:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xa48bf4…
05-16 14:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6c26cd…
05-16 14:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5a4fa0…
05-16 14:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xea2093…
05-16 14:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x26f918…
05-16 14:28:15	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x6ab519…
05-16 14:27:12	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x5c63a4…
05-16 14:25:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x849f5b…
05-16 14:25:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x52be96…
05-16 14:23:49	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2ba710…
05-16 14:23:02	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe065ff…
05-16 14:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1d9130…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	243	$25.7K	2,411	05-17 00:57
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	236	$74.6K	6,024	05-17 00:58
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	235	$16.2K	1,540	05-17 00:57
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	220	$7.60K	1,340	05-17 00:56
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	216	$5.05K	551	05-17 00:58
Numb-Ballpark-Marketing 0x619e…36ff	213	$6.43K	1,016	05-17 00:57
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	204	$93.7K	17,261	05-17 00:54
Thin-Hardboard 0xb34d…8387	201	$1.23K	604	05-17 00:58